Suchergebnisse

Volltext // 2010 digitalisiert von: Bayerische Staatsbibliothek, München. Exemplar mit der Signatur: München, Bayerische Staatsbibliothek -- H.eccl. 3169 q-91/92

Seal Rocks is the largest colony of the Australian fur seal, Arctocephalus pusillus doriferus; annual pup
production in the late 1960s and early 1970s was estimated to be 210C-2200 by counting and tagging. In
the 1991-92 pupping season, the abundance of pups at Seal Rocks was estimated by counting and by
mark-recapture with repeated recapture sessions. Counts of pups from elevated positions on the island in
early December resulted in an estimate of 2440. In all, 816 pups were marked by shearing guard hairs from
the head in late December; pups were resighted in six recapture sessions. Mark-recapture estimates of the
number of pups alive in late December were calculated with a modified Petersen formula and with
Bayesian statistics (2817 and 2819 pups, respectively). These approaches require the same basic assumption
to be satisfied: that marked and unmarked pups have an equal probability of being recorded in recapture
sessions. About 29% of pups sighted in the recapture samples were marked. More-conservative 95%
confidence intervals resulted from the Bayesian method (2709-2933) than from modified Petersen statistics
(2725-2908), but the logic underlying confidence intervals is different in the two cases. Comparison of the
mark-recapture estimate and that based on direct counting for the 1991-92 breeding season indicates that
pup production at Seal Rocks has probably been higher than reported previously, by a factor of 1.15.

Book publishing in Eastern Europe is a large enterprise dominated by the USSR in style and organization. While the Soviet influence is generally thought to be one of censorship principally, this influence resulted in other changes in most Eastern European nations following their communization shortly after World War II. Censorship exists wherever there is communist rule—or, for that matter, wherever there exists a single ruling party. The influence of the Soviet Union on publishing, however, also extended into the areas of author payments, publishing house organization, and the distribution of books. Yugoslavia was under this influence until her break with Russia in 1948. However, starting in the early 1950s, book publishing followed the pattern of general change in Yugoslavia's economic and political systems. Mass decentralization occurred, and the market-price system was gradually introduced. Moral censorship slowly disappeared, and political control of what was published was minimized. It is impossible to judge at this point the full impact of these two essentially different publishing systems operating under governments controlled by Communist parties. In this publisher's opinion, however, the Soviet system assists in perpetuating a closed, monolithic society, while Yugoslavia's apparently assists in developing an open society that could lead to economic and political democracy.

Der in den Jahren 1994 und 1995 erfolgreich verlaufene Erholungsprozeß nach dem wirtschaftlichen Zusammenbruch 1993 ist 1996 zum Stillstand gekommen. Eine tragfähige Wirtschaftsentwicklung in Jugoslawien setzt die wechselseitige Anerkennung der jugoslawischen Nachfolgestaaten sowie den Aufbau eines funktionsfähigen Handelssystems, etwa einer Freihandelszone, auf dem Gebiet des ehemaligen Jugoslawien voraus. Die wirtschaftlichen Probleme der Bundesrepublik Jugoslawien machen eine Annäherung des Landes an westliche Regierungen und internationale Finanzinstitutionen, vor allem aber eine Mitgliedschaft im Internationalen Währungsfonds (IWF) notwendig. Probleme in diesem Zusammenhang sind zum einen ausbleibende Erfolge bei Privatisierung und Unternehmensrestrukturierung, zum anderen Belgrads Position in der Frage der Rechtsnachfolge des sozialistischen Jugoslawien. In den Verhandlungen mit dem IWF ist Jugoslawien zur Zeit nicht zu politischen Zugeständnissen als Voraussetzung für eine Mitgliedschaft im IWF bereit. (BIOst-Wpt)

Today, after the signing of the peace agreement in Paris, when the end of the Yugoslav war is in sight, one frequently hears the questions: Could the war have been avoided and could a confederation have saved Yugoslavia? Namely, in late 1990 and early 1991, the republics now outside Yugoslavia (Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia-Hercegovina and Macedonia) proposed that Yugoslavia be reorganised as a confederation which would, as they claimed, have fulfilled their main political aspirations. The Serbian side refused resolutely, and, soon afterwards, war started in Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia-Hercegovina, which was actually their war of liberation. Now, when the republics in the territory of ex-Yugoslavia are internationally recognised, when they have largely recognised each other and when we are witnessing the restoration of economic and other relations between the peoples who shared a common state for seventy-three years, we may justifiably ask: Would it not have been better if the Serbian side had accepted a confederation and, thus, preserved some kind of Yugoslavia, than, by its persistent refusal, have lead the secessionist republics to take up arms?

Likelihood of secession for the six republics and two autonomous provinces.