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Democracy will remain under pressure in Africa, with key elections coming up in 2024. While conflict risks could intensify, the decline of Western influence will continue. Structural socio-economic challenges are likely to persist despite economic growth. The Africa Cup of Nations will be a highlight at the beginning of the year. We present here a list of "Ten Things to Watch in Africa" in 2024. Politics: With the recent wave of military coups, democracy has come under pressure. Further coups remain a risk, especially in countries with politicised militaries and political crises. Important general elections will, inter alia, be held in Ghana and South Africa where heavy losses for the ruling parties are expected. Peace and security: Coups are often connected to armed conflicts. The spillover of jihadism and related ethno-regional tensions in West Africa will be a major security challenge. In the Horn of Africa, the ceasefire in Ethiopia's Tigray Region seems to be holding but the country remains instable. Internationally: Similar to Russia's war on Ukraine, the Israel-Hamas conflict also divides African governments. The relative decline of Western influence is likely to continue, not least regarding military presence. Growing anti-immigration sentiment in Europe has made migration a salient issue in African-European relations. Socio-economic development: African economies are set to experience continued growth that will, however, vary across countries, while debt remains a formidable challenge. Green deals are likely to remain sluggish.

In Syriens Kurdengebieten ist eine unerwartete Dynamik entstanden. Die Türkei ist beunruhigt, da die türkisch-kurdische PKK militärisch mit den syrischen Kurden kooperiert. Dem kann Ankara einen politischen Prozess entgegen setzen. (APuZ)

Except in the years of the Cold War, the discourse of the centre had a major impact on German foreign policy. After the end of the Cold War, the emphasis on the centre role of Germany is likely to reemerge. This article traces the different manifestations of the discourse of the centre from the founding of the Reich in 1871 to the end of the Cold War in 1990. It is argued that the context of the discourse today is different from previous historical experiences and that Germany's centre role is not likely to be or to become incompatible with the present European security architecture. (German Politics / FUB)