Indicator values (IndVal) mimic ranking byF-ratio in real-world vegetation data
In: Community ecology: CE ; interdisciplinary journal reporting progress in community and population studies, Band 14, Heft 2, S. 139-143
ISSN: 1588-2756
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In: Community ecology: CE ; interdisciplinary journal reporting progress in community and population studies, Band 14, Heft 2, S. 139-143
ISSN: 1588-2756
In: The Chinese economy: translations and studies, Band 46, Heft 5, S. 5-35
ISSN: 1558-0954
In: Journal of property research, Band 31, Heft 1, S. 45-63
ISSN: 1466-4453
Who owns the U.S. government debt and why does it matter? Sandy Brian Hager talks about the concentration of debt ownership, regressive transfer payments, and the class logic behind the 'fix-the-debt' campaign. Original research that bites. Duration: 26 minutes.
BASE
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 57, Heft 6, S. 1109-1127
ISSN: 1552-8766
A number of recent studies argue that there is decline in armed conflict within and between nations. Gohdes and Price run against the grain in arguing that there is no evidence for a decrease in battle deaths in armed conflicts after World War II and that the trend reported in our earlier articles is spurious. However, they do not plausibly justify this thesis. We reexamine the argument for a decline, exploring nonlinearities in the data and potential biases due to measurement error. We find that very strong assumptions must hold in order for measurement errors to explain the trend in battle deaths. [Reprinted by permission of Sage Publications Inc., copyright holder.]
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 57, Heft 6, S. 1109-1127
ISSN: 1552-8766
A number of recent studies argue that there is decline in armed conflict within and between nations. Gohdes and Price run against the grain in arguing that there is no evidence for a decrease in battle deaths in armed conflicts after World War II and that the trend reported in our earlier articles is spurious. However, they do not plausibly justify this thesis. We reexamine the argument for a decline, exploring nonlinearities in the data and potential biases due to measurement error. We find that very strong assumptions must hold in order for measurement errors to explain the trend in battle deaths.
In: Journal of Monetary Economics, Band 58, Heft 3, S. 290-304
In: Journal of East Asian Economic Integration, Band 15, Heft 4
SSRN
In: American behavioral scientist: ABS, Band 53, Heft 9, S. 1251-1256
ISSN: 1552-3381
In: The journal of communist studies and transition politics, Band 26, Heft 1, S. 1-24
ISSN: 1352-3279
World Affairs Online
In: Bank of Greece Economic Bulletin, Issue 34, Article 3
SSRN
In: European Union politics: EUP, Band 11, Heft 2, S. 309-327
ISSN: 1741-2757
Forecasting plays an increasingly important role in the scientific study of European Union politics and in political science in general. This is because forecasts are not only indispensable for (political) actors who need to form expectations about future events, but can also be used to judge the validity of (competing) theoretical models. While the debate about whether political science should engage in forecasting is largely over, many questions about how this should be done in everyday research are still open. One of these is how forecasts of political time series can be derived from theoretical models. Using a practical example from European Union research, we start to address this question. We first show how forecasts of political time series can be derived from both theoretical and atheoretical models. Subsequently, we use an atheoretical time series (ARMA) imputation approach to demonstrate how they can be fruitfully integrated in order to overcome some of the limitations to making forecasts of political time series which are based on theoretical models.
In: American behavioral scientist: ABS, Band 53, Heft 9, S. 1251-1257
ISSN: 0002-7642
In: Journal of economic and social measurement, Band 34, Heft 2-3, S. 119-132
ISSN: 1875-8932
In: Children & schools: a journal of the National Association of Social Workers, Band 31, Heft 1, S. 46-56
ISSN: 1545-682X