Suchergebnisse

xliii, [1], 158 p. ; 20 cm. (4to) ; "To His Excellency General Washington, commander in chief of the American Army. The memorial and representation of Dr. John Morgan, respecting his care of the sick, and manner of conducting the Department of the General Hospital committed to his care."--p. 1-24, 2nd count, with caption title. Followed by an Appendix, p. 25-158. The memorial is dated Fish-Kills, February 1st. 1777; a copy held by athe Library Company of Philadelphia was mistakenly recorded as having been printed by Samuel Louden at ; Fishkill (Sabin 50562, Evans 15446, Austin 1337).

Introduction to Sara Miglietti and John Morgan (eds). Governing the Environment in the Early Modern World: Theory and Practice. Abingdon and New York: Routledge, 2017

We study information transmission via polling. A policymaker polls constituents, who differ in their information and ideology, to determine policy. Full revelation is an equilibrium in a poll with a small sample, but not with a large one. In large polls, full information aggregation can arise in an equilibrium where constituents endogenously sort themselves into centrists, who respond truthfully, and extremists, who do not. We find polling statistics that ignore strategic behavior yield biased estimators and mischaracterize the poll's margin of error. We construct estimators that account for strategic behavior. Finally, we compare polls and elections. (JEL C42, D83)