Suchergebnisse

Preface and Introduction -- Preface to the Second Edition -- I. The Basic Concepts of Linear Models -- 1.1. Economic Equation Systems -- 1.2. Some Conventions of Notation -- 1.3. The Basic Block-Equation -- 1.4. Some Types of Relations -- 1.5. The Nature of Stochastic Relations -- 1.6. Instruments, Target-Variables and Data -- 1.7. The Conditional Forecast -- 1.8. The Reduced Form -- 1.9. Subsystems -- II. The Short-term Forecasting Model -- 2.1. What is' short-Term'? -- 2.2. An Example of a Short-Term Model -- 2.3. Linear Approximation -- 2.4. Production, Income and its Distribution -- 2.5. The Institutional Relations -- 2.6. The Demand for Production Factors -- 2.7. The Consumption Function -- 2.8. The Demand for Investment Goods -- 2.9. The Demand for Inventories -- 2.10. The Price Equations -- 2.11. Supply and Demand -- 2.12. Capacity -- 2.13. Built-in Stabilizers -- 2.14. The Use of Percentage Increments -- 2.15. Summary of the Short-Term Forecasting Model -- III. The (Static) Input-Output Model -- 3.1. Use of the Input-Output Model -- 3.2. The Input-Output Table -- 3.3. The Input-Output Production Model -- 3.4. The Matrix Formulae -- 3.5. Cumulative Input-Output Coefficients -- 3.6. Allocation under Capacity Limits -- 3.7. Artificial Sectors -- 3.8. The Input-Output Costing Model -- 3.9. Units of Measurement -- 3.10. The Requirements of Productiveness -- 3.11. The Generalized Input-Output Model -- 3.12. Regional Input-Output Models -- 3.13. History of Input-Output Analysis -- IV. Some Building Stones of Sectorized Models -- 4.1. The Extended Input-Output Model -- 4.2. Average and Marginal Input Coefficients -- 4.3. Stone's Linear Expenditure System -- 4.4. Price-Based Substitution in Input-Output Models -- 4.5. An Input-Output System with Substitution and Technical Progress -- 4.6. Unequal Lags -- V. Capital-Output Ratios -- 5.1. The Harrod-Domar Model -- 5.2. Those Awful Data -- 5.3. The Role of Technical Innovation -- 5.4. The Computation of Capital-Output Ratios -- 5.5. In Defence of the Gross Ratio -- VI. The Dynamics of Economic Growth -- 6.1. The Dynamic Input-Output Model -- 6.2. The Accelerator Model -- 6.3. The Quasi-Static Model -- 6.4. The National Plan -- VII. Dynamic Adjustment Models and their Convergence -- 7.1. The Dichotomy -- 7.2. The Causal Chain -- 7.3. The Cumulative Forecast -- 7.4. The Long-Run Equilibrium -- 7.5. The Problem of Stability -- 7.6. The' simple' Long-Term Model -- VIII. Forecast and Policy -- 8.1. Data and Instruments -- 8.2. The Policy Programming Problem -- 8.3. Tinbergen's Method of Instruments and Targets -- 8.4. Theil's Quadratic Programming Approach -- List of some of the Tables and the Examples to which they belong.