Noxious or democratizing help? Foreign aid and the Arab Awakening ; Žala ar pagalba demokratizacijai? Užsienio parama ir "Arabų pavasaris"
Foreign aid is a hotly debated issue in political science. Its normative evaluations range from very positive to strictly negative. Recent studies have shed light on the difference between effects of foreign aid in Cold War and post-Cold War periods, as well as a crucial distinction between democratic and authoritarian aid. This article examines the relationship between foreign aid and democratization in countries affected by the Arab Awakening. Democratic and authoritarian aid flows of 1990-2009 are compared and cluster analysis is performed to group countries according to received aid. Results obtained show that such statistical computation groups countries more or less in accord with the processes of regime change that they have undergone during the Arab Awakening. These findings further support the thesis that effects of foreign aid depend on the type of donor states. If more aid came from democratic sources the country is more likely to experience regime change and if its funding came from authoritarian sources, the regime becomes more entrenched. This research, however, does not fully answer the question, whether aid itself influences the likelihood of transition or democratic countries are more likely to support those countries that already are on the edge of transition. It seems that the former theory is better supported, but further research is needed to solve this problem.