Suchergebnisse

AbstractThe robustness of the assigned prior distribution in a Bayesian estimation problem is examined. A Bayesian analysis for a stochastic intensity parameter of a Poisson distribution is summarized in which the natural conjugate is assigned as the prior distribution of the random parameter. The sensitivity analysis is carried out by assuming the existence of a true prior which is different in form from that of the assigned prior distribution. By using mean‐squared error as a measure of performance, the ensuing Bayes decision function is compared to the corresponding minimum variance unbiased estimator. Results indicate that the Bayes estimator is largely robust to deviations from the assigned prior and remains squared‐error superior to the MVU type within a broad region.

Introduction to DSGE modeling and Bayesian inference. DSGE modeling -- Turning a DSGE model into a Bayesian model -- A crash course in Bayesian inference -- Estimation of linearized DSGE models. Metropolis-Hastings algorithms for DSGE models -- Sequential Monte Carlo methods -- Three applications -- Estimation of nonlinear DSGE models. From linear to nonlinear DSGE models -- Particle filters -- Combining particle filters with MH samplers -- Combining particle filters with SMC samplers -- Appendix. Model descriptions -- Data sources.

AbstractRidge type analysis of the Theil–Goldberger mixed model, considered earlier by Saxena and Bhatta–charya (1983) for the non–Bayesian set–up, is discussed from the Bayesian view–point when a has a closed prior and the loss–function being squared error.

This thesis explores the theory and practice of sovereignty. I begin with a conceptual analysis of sovereignty, examining its theological roots in contrast with its later influence in contestations over political authority. Theological debates surrounding Gods sovereignty dealt not with the question of legitimacy, which would become important for political sovereignty, but instead with the limits of his ability. Read as an ontological capacity, sovereignty is coterminous with an existents activity in the world. As lived, this capacity is regularly limited by the ways in which space is produced via its representations, its symbols, and its practices. All collective appropriations of space have a nomos that characterizes their practice. Foucaults account of biopolitics provides an account of how contemporary materiality is distributed, an account that can be supplemented by sociological typologies of how city space is typically produced. The collective biopolitical distribution of space expands the range of practices that representationally legibilize activity in the world, thereby expanding the conceptual limits of existents and what it means for them to act up to the borders of their capacity, i.e., to practice sovereignty. The desire for total authorial capacity expresses itself in relations of domination and subordination that never erase the fundamental precarity of subjects, even as these expressions seek to disguise it. I conclude with a close reading of narratives recounting the lives of residents in Chicagos Englewood, reading their activity as practices of sovereignty which manifest variously as they master and produce space. ; Ph. D.

We propose to use the squared multiple correlation coefficient as an effect size measure for experimental analysis‐of‐variance designs and to use Bayesian methods to estimate its posterior distribution. We provide the expressions for the squared multiple, semipartial, and partial correlation coefficients corresponding to four commonly used analysis‐of‐variance designs and illustrate our contribution with two worked examples.