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This study aims to analyze Indonesia's export of textiles after the abolishment of the quota system from a gravity model perspective. The textile industry is selected because of its growth trend in Indonesia. Bilateral foreign aid is included as a proxy of the close friendship between Indonesia and its trading partners. Data were compiled from various sources, comprising target-export countries during 1999-2009, and a linear regression model was used to estimate the significance of gravity. The results show that the presence of foreign aid leads to higher volumes of textile exports. As expected, distance has a negative impact at a decreasing rate, and Indonesia's income per capita has a negative impact as well. This indicates that an increase in Indonesia's income per capita leads to higher domestic consumption. Similarly, the income per capita in export-target countries has a positive impact, wherein international demand for textile increases, leading to an increase in the export of Indonesian textiles. Increases in the price of textiles and the exchange rate lead to a lower volume of exports. Indonesia should increase investment in the textile industry to fulfill domestic demand and reduce its dependency on imported raw materials. Adapted from the source document.

This study aims to analyze Indonesia's export of textiles after the abolishment of the quota system from a gravity model perspective. The textile industry is selected because of its growth trend in Indonesia. Bilateral foreign aid is included as a proxy of the close friendship between Indonesia and its trading partners. Data were compiled from various sources, comprising target-export countries during 1999-2009, and a linear regression model was used to estimate the significance of gravity. The results show that the presence of foreign aid leads to higher volumes of textile exports. As expected, distance has a negative impact at a decreasing rate, and Indonesia's income per capita has a negative impact as well. This indicates that an increase in Indonesia's income per capita leads to higher domestic consumption. Similarly, the income per capita in export-target countries has a positive impact, wherein international demand for textile increases, leading to an increase in the export of Indonesian textiles. Increases in the price of textiles and the exchange rate lead to a lower volume of exports. Indonesia should increase investment in the textile industry to fulfill domestic demand and reduce its dependency on imported raw materials. Adapted from the source document.

This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major contributions. First, we combine data on civil wars with data on low level conflicts in a new ordinal measure capturing the two-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit estimator that allows for unobserved heterogeneity and corrects for endogeneity. Third, we identify the causal effect of foreign aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to recipients. We establish that the effect of foreign aid on the various transition probabilities is heterogeneous and can be substantial. Receiving bilateral aid raises the chances of escalating from small conflict to armed conflict, but we find no evidence that aid ignites conflict in truly peaceful countries.

This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major contributions. First, we combine data on civil wars with data on low level conflicts in a new ordinal measure capturing the two-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit estimator that allows for unobserved heterogeneity and corrects for endogeneity. Third, we identify the causal effect of foreign aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to recipients. We establish that the effect of foreign aid on the various transition probabilities is heterogeneous and can be substantial. Receiving bilateral aid raises the chances of escalating from small conflict to armed conflict, but we find no evidence that aid ignites conflict in truly peaceful countries.

This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major contributions. First, we combine data on civil wars with data on low level conflicts in a new ordinal measure capturing the two-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit estimator that allows for unobserved heterogeneity and corrects for endogeneity. Third, we identify the causal effect of foreign aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to recipients. We establish that the effect of foreign aid on the various transition probabilities is heterogeneous and can be substantial. Receiving bilateral aid raises the chances of escalating from small conflict to armed conflict, but we find no evidence that aid ignites conflict in truly peaceful countries.

This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major contributions. First, we combine data on civil wars with data on low level conflicts in a new ordinal measure capturing the two-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit estimator that allows for unobserved heterogeneity and corrects for endogeneity. Third, we identify the causal effect of foreign aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to recipients. We establish that the effect of foreign aid on the various transition probabilities is heterogeneous and can be substantial. Receiving bilateral aid raises the chances of escalating from small conflict to armed conflict, but we find no evidence that aid ignites conflict in truly peaceful countries.

This paper measures the links between aid from 14 rich to 113 developing economies and bilateral asylum applications during years 1993 to 2013. Dynamic panel models and Sys-GMM are used. Results show that asylum applications are related to aid nonlinearly in the level of development of origin countries, in a U-shaped fashion, where only the downward segment proves to be robust to all specifications. Asylum inflows from poor countries are negatively, significantly and robustly associated with aid in the short run, with mixed evidence of more lasting effects, while inflows from less poor economies show a positive but weak relation with aid. Moreover, aid leads to negative cross-donor spillovers. Applications linearly decrease with humanitarian aid. Voluntary immigration is not linked to aid. Overall, the reduction in asylum inflows is stronger when aid disbursements are conditional on economic, institutional and political improvements in the recipient economy.