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CPI Inflation in October
Blog: Econbrowser
Headline CPI flat (below +0.1% consensus), and core CPI inflation at 0.2% (below +0.3% consensus). Here are some pictures of central tendency, trend: Figure 1: Headline CPI inflation, y/y (blue), core CPI inflation y/y (tan), trimmed mean CPI inflation m/m ann'd (tan), median CPI inflation m/m ann'd (pink), headline CPI instantaneous, T=12, a=4 per Eeckhout […]
CPI detailed report
The Trend Break in CPI
Blog: Econbrowser
Readers [1] [2] inquired why there appears to be a trend break in (log) CPI at 2022M06. My best guess is the spike in oil prices. Figure 1: CPI (blue, left scale), core CPI (tan, left scale), and WTI oil price (bold black, right scale), all in logs, 2022M02=0. Source: BLS, EIA via FRED, and […]
Mismeasurement of the CPI
In: NBER working paper series 9436
La Cpi bientôt finie ?
In: Esprit, Band Janvier, Heft 1, S. 17-21