Statistics and econometric models
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 12, Heft 4, S. 561-562
ISSN: 0169-2070
429 Ergebnisse
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In: International journal of forecasting, Band 12, Heft 4, S. 561-562
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 3, Heft 2, S. 343-344
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: CEPAL review, Band 1990, Heft 41, S. 193-198
ISSN: 1684-0348
In: Political analysis: PA ; the official journal of the Society for Political Methodology and the Political Methodology Section of the American Political Science Association, Band 3, S. 123-154
ISSN: 1476-4989
This article addresses the lack of cohesion in econometric model building. This incoherence contributes to model building based on statistical criteria—correcting residuals—and not theoretical criteria. The models we build, therefore, are not valid replications of theory. To deal with this problem, an agenda for model building is outlined and discussed. Drawing on the methodological approaches of Hendry, Qin, and Favero (1989), Hendry and Richard (1982, 1983), Sargan (1964), and Spanos (1986), this agenda incorporates a "general to simple" modeling philosophy, a battery of diagnostic tests, reduction theory, and the development of models that include short-term and long-term parameters. A comparison is made between a model based on this agenda and a model based on corrected residuals. The findings show that the agenda-based model outperforms the residual correction model.
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 16, Heft 3, S. 427-429
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Journal of economic dynamics & control, Band 16, Heft 1, S. 93-108
ISSN: 0165-1889
In: The Economic Journal, Band 95, Heft 378, S. 518
In: National Institute economic review: journal of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Band 114, S. 58-68
ISSN: 1741-3036
This article summarises research on the role of forward-looking behaviour in important sectors of a macro-econometric model. It is based on the work of a number of researchers at the National Institute over the last two years. Important changes are introduced into many central equations in the model We argue that on grounds of both the underlying theory and the plausibility of the empirical results, this work is a significant advance in explaining dynamic macro-economic behaviour.
In: Special Studies Paper 196, 4/1986, Division of Research and Statistics, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C.
SSRN
In: Journal of policy modeling: JPMOD ; a social science forum of world issues, Band 9, Heft 1, S. 83-123
ISSN: 0161-8938
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 19, Heft 3, S. 523-524
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 7, Heft 4, S. 539-540
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Journal of international economics, Band 19, Heft 3-4, S. 387-390
ISSN: 0022-1996
In: Mirovaja ėkonomika i meždunarodnye otnošenija: MĖMO, Heft 4, S. 20-26
In: Oxford Agrarian Studies, Band 18, Heft 1, S. 53-61