Despite its high economic growth, Chinas public expenditure management faces profound challenges: 1) The retrenchment of the Plan puts more of the burden for the macro and microeconomic policy on the budget. 2) Extra-budgetary funds and quasi-fiscal operations of the banking system undermine fiscal discipline, which contributed to the repeated bouts of inflation. 3) Shifting spending to the Governments priorities is slow, and is in part undone during budget implementation. Over time, this could threaten sustainable growth and equitable growth. 4) While overall social indicators are high, regional disparities remain large. Government services seem overstaffed, which could escalate costs if wages continue to rise. To address these challenges, China needs to reform its public expenditure management. Chinas first priority is restoring fiscal discipline - to delineate a clear budget constraint for every line ministry and unit, and break down the sectoral budgets into organizational budgets. To forge a stronger link between the State Councils policy priorities and the budget, China needs to revamp its budget process. The State should focus on articulating the governments strategic priorities, but leave detailed planning for achieving these priorities to line ministries. Decentralized administration can be a major asset for cost-effective service delivery, if accountability for performance is improved.
The demand for high-speed communications required by cutting-edge applications has put a strain on the already saturated wireless spectrum. The incorporation of antenna arrays at both ends of the communication link has provided improved spectral efficiency and link reliability to the inherently complex wireless environment, thus allowing for the thriving of high data-rate applications without the cost of extra bandwidth consumption. As a consequence to this, multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems have become the key technology for wideband communication standards both in single-user and multi-user setups. The main difficulty in single-user MIMO systems stems from the signal detection stage at the receiver, whereas multi-user downlink systems struggle with the challenge of enabling non-cooperative signal acquisition at the user terminals. In this respect, precoding techniques perform a pre-equalization stage at the base station so that the signal at each receiver can be interpreted independently and without the knowledge of the overall channel state. Vector precoding (VP) has been recently proposed for non-cooperative signal acquisition in the multi-user broadcast channel. The performance advantage with respect to the more straightforward linear precoding algorithms is the result of an added perturbation vector which enhances the properties of the precoded signal. Nevertheless, the computation of the perturbation signal entails a search for the closest point in an in nite lattice, which is known to be in the class of non-deterministic polynomial-time hard (NP-hard) problems. This thesis addresses the difficulties that stem from the perturbation process in VP systems from both theoretical and practical perspectives. On one hand, the asymptotic performance of VP is analyzed assuming optimal decoding. Since the perturbation process hinders the analytical assessment of the VP performance, lower and upper bounds on the expected data rate are reviewed and proposed. Based on these bounds, VP is compared to linear precoding with respect to the performance after a weighted sum rate optimization, the power resulting from a quality of service (QoS) formulation, and the performance when balancing the user rates. On the other hand, the intricacies of performing an efficient computation of the perturbation vector are analyzed. This study is focused on tree-search techniques that, by means of an strategic node pruning policy, reduce the complexity derived from an exhaustive search and yield a close-to-optimum performance. To that respect, three tree-search algorithms are proposed. The xed-sphere encoder (FSE) features a constant data path and a non-iterative architecture that enable the parallel processing of the set of vector hypotheses and thus, allow for high-data processing rates. The sequential best-node expansion (SBE) algorithm applies a distance control policy to reduce the amount of metric computations performed during the tree traversal. Finally, the low-complexity SBE (LC-SBE) aims at reducing the complexity and latency of the aforementioned algorithm by combining an approximate distance computation model and a novel approach of variable run-time constraints. Furthermore, the hardware implementation of non-recursive tree-search algorithms for the precoding scenario is also addressed in this thesis. More specifically, the hardware architecture design and resource occupation of the FSE and K-Best xed-complexity treesearch techniques are presented. The determination of the ordered sequence of complexvalued nodes, also known as the Schnorr-Euchner enumeration, is required in order to select the nodes to be evaluated during the tree traversal. With the aim of minimizing the hardware resource demand of such a computationally-expensive task, a novel non-sequential and lowcomplexity enumeration algorithm is presented, which enables the independent selection of the nodes within the ordered sequence. The incorporation of the proposed enumeration technique along with a fully-pipelined architecture of the FSE and K-Best approaches, allow for data processing throughputs of up to 5 Gbps in a 4x4 antenna setup. ; Aplikazio abangoardistek beharrezko duten abiadura handiko komunikazioen eskaerak presio handia ezarri du dagoeneko saturatuta dagoen haririk gabeko espektruan. Komunikazio loturaren bi muturretan antena array-en erabilerak eraginkortasun espektral eta dagarritasun handiagoez hornitu du berez konplexua den haririk gabeko ingurunea, modu honetan banda zabalera gehigarririk gabeko abiadura handiko aplikazioen garapena ahalbidetuz. Honen ondorioz, multiple-input multiple output (MIMO) sistemak banda zabaleko komunikazio estandarren funtsezko teknologia bihurtu dira, erabiltzaile bakarreko ezarpenetan hala nola erabiltzaile anitzeko inguruneetan. Erabiltzaile bakarreko MIMO sistemen zailtasun garrantzitsuena hartzailean ematen den seinalearen detekzio fasean datza. Erabiltzaile anitzeko sistemetan, aldiz, erronka nagusiena datu jasotze ez kooperatiboa bermatzea da. Prekodi kazio teknikek hartzaile bakoitzaren seinalea kanalaren egoera orokorraren ezagutzarik gabe eta modu independiente baten interpretatzea ahalbidetzen dute estazio nagusian seinalearen pre-ekualizazio fase bat inposatuz. Azken aldian, prekodi kazio bektoriala (VP, ingelesez vector precoding) proposatu da erabiltzaile anitzeko igorpen kanalean seinalearen eskuratze ez kooperatiboa ahalbidetzeko. Perturbazio seinale baten erabilerak, prekodi katutako seinalearen ezaugarriak hobetzeaz gain, errendimenduaren hobekuntza nabarmen bat lortzen du prekodi kazio linearreko teknikekiko. Hala ere, perturbazio seinalearen kalkuluak sare in nitu baten puntu hurbilenaren bilaketa suposatzen du. Problema honen ebazpenaren konplexutasuna denbora polinomialean ez deterministikoa dela jakina da. Doktoretza tesi honen helburu nagusia VP sistemetan perturbazio prozesuaren ondorioz ematen diren zailtasun teoriko eta praktikoei irtenbide egoki bat ematea da. Alde batetik, seinale/zarata ratio handiko ingurunetan VP sistemen errendimendua aztertzen da, beti ere deskodetze optimoa ematen dela suposatuz. Perturbazio prozesuak VP sistemen errendimenduaren azterketa analitikoa oztopatzen duenez, data transmisio tasaren hainbat goi eta behe borne proposatu eta berrikusi dira. Borne hauetan oinarrituz, VP eta prekodi kazio linealaren arteko errendimendu desberdintasuna neurtu da hainbat aplikazio ezberdinen eremuan. Konkretuki, kanalaren ahalmen ponderatua, zerbitzu kalitatearen formulazio baten ondorioz esleitzen den seinale potentzia eta erabiltzaileen datu transmisio tasa orekatzean lortzen den errendimenduaren azterketa burutu dira. Beste alde batetik, perturbazio bektorearen kalkulu eraginkorra lortzeko metodoak ere aztertu dira. Analisi hau zuhaitz-bilaketa tekniketan oinarritzen da, non egitura sinple baten bitartez errendimendu ia optimoa lortzen den. Ildo horretan, hiru zuhaitz-bilaketa algoritmo proposatu dira. Alde batetik, Fixed-sphere encoder-aren (FSE) konplexutasun konstateak eta arkitektura ez errekurtsiboak datu prozesaketa abiadura handiak lortzea ahalbidetzen dute. Sequential best-node expansion (SBE) delako algoritmo iteratiboak ordea, distantzia kontrol politika baten bitartez metrika kalkuluen kopurua murriztea lortzen du. Azkenik, low-complexity SBE (LC-SBE) algoritmoak SBE metodoaren latentzia eta konplexutasuna murriztea lortzen du ordezko distantzien kalkuluari eta exekuzio iraupenean ezarritako muga aldakorreko metodo berri bati esker. Honetaz gain, prekodi kazio sistementzako zuhaitz-bilaketa algoritmo ez errekurtsiboen hardware inplementazioa garatu da. Zehazki, konplexutasun nkoko FSE eta K-Best algoritmoen arkitektura diseinua eta hardware baliabideen erabilera landu dira. Balio konplexuko nodoen sekuentzia ordenatua, Schnorr-Euchner zerrendapena bezala ezagutua, funtsezkoa da zuhaitz bilaketan erabiliko diren nodoen aukeraketa egiteko. Prozesu honek beharrezkoak dituen hardware baliabideen eskaera murrizteko, konplexutasun bajuko algoritmo ez sekuentzial bat proposatzen da. Metodo honen bitartez, sekuentzia ordenatuko edozein nodoren aukeraketa independenteki egin ahal da. Proposatutako zerrendapen metodoa eta estruktura fully-pipeline baten bitartez, 5 Gbps-ko datu prozesaketa abiadura lortu daiteke FSE eta K-Best delako algoritmoen inplementazioan. ; La demanda de comunicaciones de alta velocidad requeridas por las aplicaciones más vanguardistas ha impuesto una presión sobre el actualmente saturado espectro inalámbrico. La incorporación de arrays de antenas en ambos extremos del enlace de comunicación ha proporcionado una mayor e ciencia espectral y abilidad al inherentemente complejo entorno inalámbrico, permitiendo así el desarrollo de aplicaciones de alta velocidad de transmisión sin un consumo adicional de ancho de banda. Consecuentemente, los sistemas multiple-input multiple output (MIMO) se han convertido en la tecnología clave para los estándares de comunicación de banda ancha, tanto en las con guraciones de usuario único como en los entornos multiusuario. La principal di cultad presente en los sistemas MIMO de usuario único reside en la etapa de detección de la señal en el extremo receptor, mientras que los sistemas multiusuario en el canal de bajada se enfrentan al reto de habilitar la adquisición de datos no cooperativa en los terminales receptores. A tal efecto, las técnicas de precodi cación realizan una etapa de pre-ecualización en la estación base de tal manera que la señal en cada receptor se pueda interpretar independientemente y sin el conocimiento del estado general del canal. La precodifi cación vectorial (VP, del inglés vector precoding) se ha propuesto recientemente para la adquisición no cooperativa de la señal en el canal de difusión multiusuario. La principal ventaja de la incorporación de un vector de perturbación es una considerable mejora en el rendimiento con respecto a los métodos de precodi cación lineales. Sin embargo, la adquisición de la señal de perturbación implica la búsqueda del punto más cercano en un reticulado in nito. Este problema se considera de complejidad no determinística en tiempo polinomial o NP-complejo. Esta tesis aborda las di cultades que se derivan del proceso de perturbación en sistemas VP desde una perspectiva tanto teórica como práctica. Por un lado, se analiza el rendimiento de VP asumiendo una decodi cación óptima en escenarios de alta relación señal a ruido. Debido a que el proceso de perturbación di culta la evaluación analítica del rendimiento de los sistemas de VP, se proponen y revisan diversas cotas superiores e inferiores en la tasa esperada de transmisión de estos sistemas. En base a estas cotas, se realiza una comparación de VP con respecto a la precodi cación lineal en el ámbito de la capacidad suma ponderada, la potencia resultante de una formulación de calidad de servicio y el rendimiento obtenido al equilibrar las tasas de transmisión de los usuarios. Por otro lado, se han propuesto nuevos procedimientos para un cómputo e ciente del vector de perturbación. Estos métodos se basan en técnicas de búsqueda en árbol que, por medio de diferentes políticas de podado, reducen la complejidad derivada de una búsqueda exhaustiva y obtienen un rendimiento cercano al óptimo. A este respecto, se proponen tres algoritmos de búsqueda en árbol. El xed-sphere encoder (FSE) cuenta con una complejidad constante y una arquitectura no iterativa, lo que permite el procesamiento paralelo de varios vectores candidatos, lo que a su vez deriva en grandes velocidades de procesamiento de datos. El algoritmo iterativo denominado sequential best-node expansion (SBE) aplica una política de control de distancias para reducir la cantidad de cómputo de métricas realizadas durante la búsqueda en árbol. Por último, el low-complexity SBE (LC-SBE) tiene por objetivo reducir la complejidad y latencia del algoritmo anterior mediante la combinación de un modelo de cálculo aproximado de distancias y una estrategia novedosa de restricción variable del tiempo de ejecución. Adicionalmente, se analiza la implementación en hardware de algoritmos de búsqueda en árbol no iterativos para los escenarios de precodi cación. Más especí camente, se presentan el diseño de la arquitectura y la ocupación de recursos de hardware de las técnicas de complejidad ja FSE y K-Best. La determinación de la secuencia ordenada de nodos de naturaleza compleja, también conocida como la enumeración de Schnorr-Euchner, es vital para seleccionar los nodos evaluados durante la búsqueda en árbol. Con la intención de reducir al mínimo la demanda de recursos de hardware de esta tarea de alta carga computacional, se presenta un novedoso algoritmo no secuencial de baja complejidad que permite la selección independiente de los nodos dentro de la secuencia ordenada. La incorporación de la técnica de enumeración no secuencial junto con la arquitectura fully-pipeline de los algoritmos FSE y K-Best, permite alcanzar velocidades de procesamiento de datos de hasta 5 Gbps para un sistema de 4 antenas receptoras.
Access to finance is a key component of poverty reduction, as it enables individuals to make economic decisions that can improve their welfare. The equality of access among different groups in society is also crucial for correctly allocating the positive benefits of improved financial services. In Turkey, bank account, debit card, and credit card ownership, which can serve as the main indicators of access to finance, are at a remarkably high level. However, adjusting the coverage rate of these indicators by controlling for age, education, gender, an income reveals that gender is the main source of inequality in Turkey at the individual level. Despite the progress made in addressing the gender disparity in access to finance between 2011 and 2014, females in Turkey continue to be financially less included. Moreover, Turkey's low level of savings and high rate of informal borrowing compared with its peers diminish individuals' resilience to future shocks. Promisingly, Turkey has been able to improve its rate of savings significantly over the past few years, although it continues to be among the countries that save at a lower level.
In M.-V. werden wesentliche politische Entscheidungen regelmäßig von Hinweisen auf Bevölkerungsprognosen begleitet. Dabei sind es Bevölkerungsvorausberechnungen, deren Ergebnisse maßgeblich von den getroffenen Annahmen, den zugrundeliegenden Bevölkerungsdaten und der Methodik abhängen. In Kombination mit deren weiteren Prinzipien handelt es sich eher um Modelle, deren Aussagekraft bezüglich eines langen Prognosezeitraumes stark limitiert ist. Da alternative Instrumente demgegenüber deutlich zurückstehen, können Infrastrukturentscheidungen nicht in ausreichendem Maße abgesichert werden. Vor dem Hintergrund, dass M.-V. bspw. durch eine geringe Bevölkerungsdichte oder eine Vielzahl kleiner Gemeinden gekennzeichnet ist, sollte es die oberste Prämisse sein, langfristig weithin akzeptierte Strukturen zu schaffen, die den Gemeinden eine Perspektive gibt. In diesem Sinne ist der bisherige Ansatz der Stärkung der Zentren und der infrastrukturellen Marginalisierung der übrigen Gemeinden nicht erstrebenswert. Diesem Ansatz wird eine Flexibilisierung von Infrastruktur entgegengestellt, mit der alles erfasst wird, was im politisch gesetzten Auftrag bestehende Funktionsdefizite ausgleicht oder abdeckt. Gleichzeitig wird dem Begriff der Daseinsvorsorge eine Absage erteilt, da von Grunddaseinsfunktionen bei einem staatlichen Rückzug aus der Fläche nicht mehr gesprochen werden kann. Andernfalls würden bspw. die über 65-Jährigen nicht in die Zentren "flüchten". Zudem muss festgehalten werden, dass mit der Flexibilisierung des Begriffes Infrastruktur auch eine Neuinterpretation der Begriffe Mobilität und Verkehr einhergeht. Mobilität zeichnet bisher durch eine technische Überbetonung aus und zielt auch auf Ortsveränderungen ab. Damit überschneidet sich Mobilität definitorisch mit Verkehr. Zugleich ist die Rolle der Infrastruktur von nachrangiger Bedeutung. Die Integration des flexiblen Infrastrukturbegriffes führt zu einer Mobilität, die einfach die Fähigkeit zur Interaktion beschreibt und Verkehr wird zu konkreten Handlungen von Subjekten oder sozialen Gruppen. Beide sind dann nur noch von den individuellen Präferenzen und der Infrastruktur abhängig, wobei die Unplanbarkeit der individuellen Präferenzen festgehalten werden muss. Die infrastrukturelle Abhängigkeit zeigt sich auch bei Vulnerabilität und Resilienz. Während Vulnerabilität für Prozesse und deren Wirkungen auf Systeme sowie Organisationen in Abhängigkeit von Infrastruktur steht, bezeichnet Resilienz den Umgang mit vulnerablen Prozessen in Abhängigkeit von der Infrastruktur und der Zielsetzung. Aufgrund der nur unzureichend vorhandenen Informationen über die Gemeinden in M.-V. stand die Verbesserung der empirischen Basis gegenüber de-taillierten Maßnahmen im Fokus. Ganz allgemein vollzog sich auf der Gemeindeebene zwischen 1990 und 2012 eine sehr vielschichtige Entwicklung. Das betrifft neben der Einwohnerzahl auch die altersgruppenspezifische Betrachtung, die der Beschäftigung sowie die Gemeindefinanzen. In Bezug zu den Einwohnerzahlen führte der Zensus zu eine deutlichen Bereinigung der Statistik. Jedoch wurde eine Rückrechnung für frühere Jahre per Gerichtsentscheid für unzulässig erklärt. Daher behalten die Werte vor 2011 ihre Gültigkeit. Während in den Jahren vor 2000 eine deutliche Suburbanisierung erkennbar war und sich in den Stadt-Umland-Bereichen entsprechende arbeitsräumliche Verflechtungen etablierten, hat sich die Suburbanisierung in der Folgezeit stark abgeschwächt und teilweise ins Gegenteil verkehrt. Getragen wird diese Entwicklung insbesondere durch die 20 - 25 sowie die über 65-Jährigen. Während bei den 20 - 25 Jährigen die ökonomischen Motive überwiegen, welche eine selektive Reurbanisierung stützt, hat die Wanderung der über 65-Jährigen eher infrastrukturelle Gründe. Die infrastrukturelle Marginalisierung der kleinen Gemeinden trifft auf eine Altersgruppe, die in zunehmenden Maße zu keiner Kompensation mehr fähig ist und so in Richtung der zentralen Orte abwandert. Alternativ zieht es diese Altersgruppe auch in touristisch bedeutsame Gemeinden. Damit tritt eine planerisch opportune Wanderungsbewegung ein, welche die Prämisse der Stärkung der Zen-tren unterstützt. Diese Segregation vollzieht sich vor einer dispersen Siedlungsstruktur, welche durch die politische Rahmensetzung und gezielte Vermarktungsstrategien in der Vergangenheit verfestigt wurde, die den individuellen Präferenzen viel Freiraum ermöglichte. Die Infrastrukturkonzentration destabilisiert die Strukturen und fördert wiederum die Arbeitsplatzkonzentration in den Zentren. Allein die Ober- und Mittelzentren vereinten 2012 60 % der SV Beschäftigungsverhältnisse. Die Arbeitsplätze sind damit weit stärker konzentriert als die Bevölkerung und hohe Auspendlerquoten die Folge. Dabei obliegt der Ausgleich infrastruktureller Defizite den Gemeinden, die wiederum eine hohe fremdbestimmte Ausgabenlast zu bewältigen haben. Demgegenüber steht ein KFA, der sich nicht an den realen Aufwendungen orientiert, so dass infolgedessen die Investitionen reduziert wurden. Des Weiteren sind finanzielle Spielräume kaum vorhanden. Im Ergebnis markiert bspw. die selektive Bevölkerungsentwicklung oder die Handlungsunfähigkeit der Gemeinden, die aus der Entwicklung der Gemeindefinanzen resultiert, jeweils einen vulnerablen Prozess, die bisher nicht adäquat bewältigt werden. Die Stärkung der Zentren kann nur im Hinblick auf die politische Zielsetzung als eine positive Resilienzstrategie für eine Handvoll Gemeinden bezeichnet werden. Um eine zukünftige Alternativendiskussion anzuregen, wurden die Gemeinden im Anschluss einer multivariaten Analyse unterzogen. Zur Absicherung der Ergebnisse wurde eine Prüfung auf Normalverteilung sowie eine Untersuchung auf stochastische Unabhängigkeit vorgeschaltet. Die Prüfung auf Normalverteilung hat ergeben, dass diese für keine der 165 Variablen vorlag. Die maßgebliche Ursache hierfür liegt in der Betrachtungsebene der administrativen Einheiten und dem hohen Anteil der Gemeinden bis 2.000 Einwohner. Allerdings sind die Gemeinde gerade Untersuchungsgegenstand dieser Arbeit, so dass sich eine Änderung der Betrachtungsebene ausschloss. Folglich führte die Gliederung der administrativen Einheiten in M.-V. in Abhängigkeit von den Einwohnerzahlen zu Autokorrelationen zwischen den einzelnen Variablen. Diese Zusammenhänge bestanden auch bei Variablen mit einem zeitlichen Trend, so dass als Folge der Prüfung auf stochastische Unabhängigkeit die Clusteranalyse in zwei Analysen mit jeweils einem Variablenblock geteilt wurde. Die Anzahl der betrachteten Variablen reduzierte sich hierbei auf insgesamt 88. Das Resultat der ersten Clusteranalyse waren 5 Klassen, wobei Rostock eine eigene Klasse bildete. Die anderen Städte wie Greifswald, Stralsund, Neubrandenburg, Wismar sowie Schwerin formten ihrerseits einen Cluster und die übrigen Gemeinden verteilten sich auf die anderen drei Klassen. Insbesondere zahlreiche Tourismusgemeinden und zentrale Orte traten in einem eigenen Cluster deutlich hervor. Die Dominanz der großen Gebietskörperschaften zeigte sich auch in der zweiten Clusteranalyse, wobei sich die Struktur mit 6 Klassen als sehr stabil erwies. Die Ergebnisse wurden nach-folgend in einer Typisierung zusammengefasst, wobei sich 14 Regionaltypen erga-ben, deren Interpretation 7 Haupttypen offenbarte. Neben Rostock als Regiopole treten u. a. Regionalzentren, Kleinstgemeinden oder Gemeinden mit eingeschränkter Leistungsfähigkeit auf. Durchaus bemerkenswert ist der Umstand, dass einige Gemeinden von Usedom und Rügen eher Stadt-Umland-Gemeinden entsprechen und solche mit einer eingeschränkten Leistungsfähigkeit eher im Osten des Landes anzutreffen sind. Daneben sind Tourismusgemeinden ähnlich strukturiert wie Mittelzentren und zahlreiche Grundzentren grenzen sich lediglich über ihren Status von anderen Landgemeinden ab. Darüber hinaus grenzt sich diese Gliederung deutlich von der des Landes mit den ländlichen Gestaltungsräumen ab. Zur Identifizierung dieser wurden Kriterien herangezogen, die stochastisch nicht unabhängig sind, welche zur Basis für ein politisch motiviertes Ranking wurden. Die damit aufgeworfene These von der fragwürdigen Zukunftsfähigkeit, ist in erster Linie politisch determiniert. Insgesamt zeigt sich mit der Handlungsmaxime "Stärkung der Zentren" ein vulnerabler Prozess, der sich in der Gemeindeentwicklung deutlich niederschlägt. Zur Vermeidung einer weiteren Vertiefung ist zunächst eine theoretische Neuausrichtung, wie sie in Grundzügen vorgestellt wurde, notwendig. Dabei ist die Forderung, dass Infrastruktur flexibilisiert werden muss, nicht neu. Sie wurde bspw. schon in Zusammenhang neuer interkommunaler Kooperationsformen postuliert. Die bisherige normative Fixierung der langfristigen Infrastrukturentwicklung über ROG und LPlG manifestiert die Reduzierung des ländlichen Raumes auf seinen existentiellen Kern und ignoriert gewachsenen Strukturen und individuelle Präferenzen der lokalen Bevölkerung. Im nächsten Schritt sollten die Bevölkerungsprognosen um andere Instrumente ergänzt werden, um frühzeitig bestimmte Entwicklungen aufzudecken und zu gestalten. Hierbei sollten die Akteure vor Ort, insbesondere die Gemeinden, auch in der Lage sein, die Gestaltungskompetenz wahrzunehmen. Das setzt voraus, dass zur Erfüllung der Pflichtaufgaben keine Liquiditätskredite erforderlich sind. Sollte eine aufgabengerechte Finanzausstattung nicht möglich sein, muss die derzeitige Aufgabenverteilung zwischen den Kommunen, dem Land sowie dem Bund neu geregelt werden. Eine fremdbestimmte Aufgabenträgerschaft und starre Richtwerte hinsichtlich der infrastrukturellen Ausgestaltung sind Mittel der Vergangenheit, die eine Flexibilisierung und mehr gemeindliche Selbstverantwortung nicht zulassen. Danach kann man beginnen über eine Gemeindegebietsreform Organisationsschwächen zu beseitigen und eine Resilienzstrategie zu verfolgen, die sich nicht allein in einer weiteren Infrastrukturkonzentration erschöpft. ; In Mecklenburg-West Pomerania essential political decisions are regularly accompanied by indications of projections by the population. These population´s projections´ results depend to a large extent on assumptions, population data and the methodology used. In combination with their further principles, these are rather models, the significance of which is strongly limited in relation to a long prognosis period. As alternative instruments are clearly less adequate, infrastructure decisions cannot be sufficiently covered. Against the background that Mecklenburg-West Pomerania, for example, is characterized by a low population density or a multitude of small municipalities, it should be the top premise to create widely accepted structures which give a perspective to the communities. So the previous approach to strengthening the centers and infrastructural marginalization of other municipalities is not desirable. This approach is made possible by a more flexible infrastructure, with which everything is recorded and which compensates or covers existing functional deficits in political tasks. At the same time, the term "services for the public" is denied, since there is no longer any reason to speak of basic existential functions in case of a state withdrawal from the area. Otherwise, the over 65-year-olds would not "escape" to the city centers. In addition, it is important to note that a more flexible interpretation of the concept of infrastructure also includes a reinterpretation of the concepts of mobility and transport. Mobility so far has been characterized by technical over-interpretation and is also aimed at changes in location. So the definition of mobility overlaps with the definition of traffic. At the same time, the role of infrastructure is of subordinate importance. The integration of a flexible infrastructure concept leads to a definition of mobility that simply describes the ability to interact, whereas traffic describes concrete actions of subjects or social groups. Both are dependent on individual preferences and infrastructure only, while the unpredictability of individual preferences must be documented. Infrastructural dependency is also evident in vulnerability and resilience. While vulnerability stands for processes and their effects on systems as well as organizations depending on infrastructure, resilience describes a handling of vulnerable processes depending on infrastructure and objectives. Due to insufficient information about communities in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania, the focus was on an improvement of the empirical basis compared to detailed measures. Since chapter 2.5 drew a wide conclusion, the following text will be limited to the essentials. Between 1990 and 2012 there was a very complex development at the community level in general. Apart from the number of inhabitants, this also applies to age group-specific considerations, considerations of employment and to community finances. In relation to the number of inhabitants, the census led to a clear adjustment of statistics. However, a retroactive accounting for previous years was declared inadmissible through court decision. Therefore, the values before 2011 remain valid. While a clear suburbanization was apparent before 2000, and the city-surrounding areas were able to establish appropriate interdependencies of working space, suburbanization in the later period has strongly weakened and partially reversed. This development is particularly supported by 20 to 25 as well as by over 65-year-olds. While in 20 to 25-year-olds, which support a selective reurbanization, economic motives prevail, the migration of over 65-year-olds has rather infrastructural reasons. The infrastructural marginalization of small communities comes upon an age group which is increasingly unable to compensate and thus moves towards more central locations. Alternatively, this age group is also attracted by communities of touristic interest. In this way there is a planning opportune migration which supports a strengthening of the centers. This segregation takes place before a dispersed settlement structure, which has been consolidated in the past by political framework and targeted marketing strategies, which allowed the individual preferences a great deal of freedom. The concentration of infrastructure destabilizes structures and, in turn, supports concentration of employment in the centers. In 2012 the upper and middle centers solely combined 60% of employment conditions for employees required to pay social security contributions (SV). Workplaces are therefore much more concentrated than the population which results in high commuter rates. The communities are responsible for balancing the infrastructural deficits, which in turn have to cope with a high, otherdirected output workload. On the other hand, there is a municipal financial equalization (KFA), which is not based on real expenses and which lead to a reduction of investments. In addition, there are hardly any financial scopes. As a result, for example, the selective population development or the paralysis of communities, which result from the development of community finances, mark a vulnerable process which has not yet been handled adequately. Strengthening the centers can only be described as a positive resilience strategy for a small number of communities in regards to political objectives. In order to stimulate a future discussion of alternatives, the communities were subsequently subject to multivariate analysis. In order to secure the results, a check for normal distribution as well as an investigation on stochastic independence was executed. The test for normal distribution showed that this was not the case for any of the 165 variables. The main reason for this is the choice of perspective on the administrative entities as well as the high proportion of municipalities with up to 2,000 inhabitants. However, the community is this paper's object of investigation, so that a change in the level of observation was impossible. Consequently, a structuring of Mecklenburg-West Pomerania's administrative units, which are depending on the number of inhabitants, leads to autocorrelations between the individual variables. These correlations also existed in variables with a temporal trend so that, as a result of the stochastic independence test, the cluster analysis was divided into two analyses, each consisting of one variable block. The number of variables considered thus reduced to a total of 88. The result of the first cluster analysis were 5 classes, with Rostock forming a separate class. The other cities, such as Greifswald, Stralsund, Neubrandenburg, Wismar, and Schwerin, formed another cluster and the rest of the communities is spread to the remaining three classes. Especially numerous tourist communities and central locations emerged clearly within their own cluster. The dominance of large regional authorities was also shown in the second cluster analysis, whereas a structure including 6 classes proved to be very stable. The results were then summarized in a typing, resulting in 14 regional types, whose interpretation revealed 7 main types. In addition to Rostock as a regiopolis, there were regional centers, small communities or municipalities with limited capacity. The fact that some communities of Usedom and Rügen rather tend to correspond to city-surrounding communities and that those with a limited capacity are more likely to be found in the east of the country is very remarkable. In addition, tourism communities are similarly structured as middle centers and numerous lower-order centers are only separated from other rural communities by their status. In addition, this structure is clearly different from that of rural design areas. In order to identify these, criteria were used which are not stochastically independent and which have become the basis for a politically motivated ranking. The consequential thesis of a questionable sustainability is, above all, politically determined. Overall, the guiding principle "strengthening of the centers" results in a vulnerable process, which is clearly reflected in community development. In order to avoid further specializations, a theoretical reorientation, as basically presented in this paper, is necessary. Demands for a more flexible infrastructure are not a novelty. It has already been postulated, for example, in the context of new inter-communal forms of cooperation. The previous normative fixation of the long-term infrastructure development via regional planning laws (ROG) and country planning acts (LPlG) manifests the reduction of rural areas to their existential core and ignores organically grown structures as well as individual preferences of the local population. As a next step, the population forecast should be supplemented by other instruments in order to identify and shape certain developments at an early stage. In this case local actors, particularly communities, should be able to make use of those shaping skills. This presupposes that no liquidity loans are required in order to fulfill the mandatory tasks. If sufficient financial resources cannot be made available, the current distribution of tasks between communities, the state and the federal government must be revised. An other-directed task assignment and rigid guidelines regarding the infrastructure design are outdated means which allow neither more flexibility nor more municipal self-responsibility. After that, it might be possible to eliminate organizational weaknesses through a district reform and pursue a resilience strategy, which is no longer limited to a further concentration of infrastructure.
Prior to the political and security crisis of 2012, Mali, a large landlocked country in West Africa already ranked among the poorest countries in the world. In early 2012, the vast northern regions fell under the control of extremist forces, while a coup d'état in Bamako threw the country into political instability and turmoil. A strong international military response in early 2013 prevented further destabilization, though part of the North remains outside government control and insecurity has spread to Bamako and the South. The signing of a peace agreement in June 2015 has revived hopes for peace and stability. The WBG has continued to support Mali throughout the crisis. An Interim Strategy Note (ISN, FY14-15) addressed the root causes of Mali's underestimated fragility, namely weak governance, extremely high demographic growth and the consequences of climate change. This CPF will continue to address the drivers of Mali's fragility, with a strong focus on governance, while building on the progress and experience of the ISN. Drawing from the recent Systematic Country Diagnostic (SCD), which stresses the criticality of improving rural livelihoods to sustainable poverty reduction, the Framework intends to contribute to improving rural incomes by increasing productivity and resilience in the four livelihood zones of the country. Accordingly, the CPF proposes orientations for the WBG engagement around three areas of focus: (i) improve governance, by strengthening public resource management at central and local levels and fostering citizen engagement; (ii) create economic opportunities, by enhancing the productive capacity of smallholders, increasing agricultural value added and diversification to catalyze transformation, and improving basic services by developing infrastructure and connectivity; and (iii) build resilience, by developing human capital, strengthening safety nets, improving risk management mechanisms for the poor and vulnerable and mitigating climate shock. A comprehensive program has been proposed for the first two years of the CPF that includes knowledge activities and development policy operations to address the binding constraints to poverty reduction, as well as citizen engagement, investment financing, partner-funded and joint IFC/IDA investments and guarantees. Key areas include the reinsertion of ex-combatants, competitiveness and agricultural productivity, statistical capacity, climate change, water and sanitation, safety nets programs, energy, irrigation and transport.
The objectives of the study are to: a) increase understanding of the effects and effectiveness of the implementation of the local government reform launched in 2006; and b) assess the impact of a World Bank-supported intervention that aimed to enhance effectiveness of the reforms by increasing local capacity and local participation. In line with these objectives, the study assessed the perceived effects and effectiveness of the implementation of the local government reform in selected provinces. The study also constitutes a baseline to allow for on-going assessment of progress and to inform corrective policy actions. The instruments and methods created during the study may be used in future assessments of the dynamics of local governance reform. These effects are reviewed in section two. The study also carried out a rigorous evaluation of the impact of an operational intervention carried out with World Bank support in the three regions of the study. This grant-funded project was aimed at increasing the effectiveness of participation of rural citizens in public life and increasing the capacity of local administrations to operate in the new legal and fiscal environment created by the decentralization reform. The summary of the impact evaluation can be found in section three.
These economic updates analyze the trends and constraints in Cameroon's economic development. Each issue, produced bi-annually, provides an update of recent economic developments as well as a special focus on a selected topical issue. The economic updates aim to share knowledge and stimulate debate among those interested in improving the economic management of Cameroon and unleashing its enormous potential. The notes thereby offer another voice on economic issues in Cameroon, and an additional platform for engagement, learning and change. The latest information confirms the expected recovery in economic activity in Cameroon. The upturn in the global economy and measures taken by the authorities to stimulate domestic production, real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in 2010 is estimated to have reached 3.2 percent (compared to 2 percent in 2009). As expected, most of this recovery was driven by the tertiary sector, which accounted for more than half of the estimated growth. The sector benefitted from a pick-up in timber-related transport and continued strong activities in mobile telephony stemming from a greater use of fiber optic, promotional campaigns during the Soccer World Cup, and the roll-out of new products. The recovery in the primary sector, with an estimated growth rate of about 4 percent in 2010, was led by a strong expansion in the timber sector, as well as in food crops. The non-oil secondary sector, meanwhile, is also estimated to have grown by about 4 percent, driven by a continued pick-up in construction activities and a rebound in food processing. Cameroon is a relatively small and mature oil producer, where oil production is declining. Depleting reserves, aging equipment, and more recently postponements of some development projects and investments because of the financial crisis explain this profile. The contribution of this sector to GDP growth has been mostly negative in recent years and oil production is estimated to have contracted by a further 12 percent in 2010 (to 23.2 million barrels).
Somalis face a daunting development challenge to overcome the legacy of two decades of sustained conflict and fragility, but substantial progress is now being made. Since 1991 and the collapse of the Siad Barre regime, Somalia has experienced cycles of conflict and fragility that fragmented the country, undermined legitimate institutions, and created widespread vulnerability. The new government that emerged following the Transitional Federal Government and the Roadmap to End the Transition in 2012 inherited a dysfunctional economy facing high levels of poverty and inequality, a youth bulge, high unemployment, and large infrastructure gaps. Against a backdrop of political progress marked by the emergence of new Federal Member States (FMSs) within the new constitutional framework and continued insecurity, the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) has embarked on a process of structural, legislative, and institutional reform. The economy is starting to respond: Somalis are returning from abroad to invest, shops are opening, and the property market is booming. This is the first economic update for Somalia since the 2005 World Bank country economic memorandum for Somalia. The long conflict made monitoring of economic and social data nearly impossible since the late 1980s. With the relative stability of the past few years, new data have become available. The update is divided into two parts. Part one presents information on the social, economic, and governance status of Somalia. Part two focuses on intergovernmental fiscal relations.
This paper reviews the experiences of intergovernmental fiscal systems (IGFS) to look for possible lessons for how Official Development Assistance (ODA) is delivered. Specifically, it compares IGFS and ODA in two specific respects. The first is the proportion of public resources that central governments make available to sub-national governments on a conditional basis, and how that compares with the proportion of non-earmarked ODA given to low income countries. The second is the role of performance outcome in resource allocation to sub-national governments and how that compares with the role of performance in ODA, particularly multilateral ODA allocation. The comparisons show that: (i) the share of earmarked ODA is more than three times higher than that of conditional grants in intergovernmental systems, suggesting that donors in ODA rely more on earmarking to influence the spending decisions of the recipient countries than their federal governments do on conditional grants to induce policy changes in their own sub-national governments; and (ii) none of the OECD countries currently use outcome measures in determining resource allocation to their sub-national governments for a variety of good reasons, and the recent debate as to whether multilateral ODA allocation should be based on development outcomes seems to ignore this experience.
This study is highly selective and organized into four thematic chapters. Specifically, chapter 1 provides a snapshot of Burundi's political and macroeconomic context, and reviews the evolution of the decentralization process to better understand how institutional, political, and bureaucratic dynamics have shaped the historical trajectory of decentralization and generated the outcomes observed today. Chapter 2 provides a systematic investigation of the status of fiscal decentralization in Burundi, and identifies key policy issues to be considered to ensure the medium-term sustainability of the reform process while at the same time addressing the short-term financial needs of communes. Chapter 3 provides an in-depth diagnostic of a key service delivery responsibility recently devolved to communes—the provision of land registration services—and discusses the challenges and opportunities related to ongoing efforts to scale up access to these land services across 116 rural communes and Bujumbura. Chapter 4 shifts the focus to the nature of statecitizen relations in an effort to better understand how citizen engagement in the decision-making process may be improved and local authorities held accountable for the provision of basic services.
This assessment of accounting and auditing practices in Slovenia is part of a joint initiative of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) to prepare Reports on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC). The assessment focuses on the strengths and weaknesses of the accounting and auditing environment that influence the quality of corporate financial reporting and includes a review of both mandatory requirements and actual practice. This is the second A&A ROSC for Slovenia and based on information collected in 2013, early 2014. The first one was published in 2004. As the requirements of the EU acquis communautaire and international standards have already been adopted in the financial sector this assessment focuses on the proper application of these requirements, with the view that improved financial information raises the capacity of regulators to maintain financial stability, and improve the level of trust in the financial system, in the context of an ongoing recapitalization exercise. In the State Owned Enterprises, or SOEs, the report focuses on the requirements applicable to them and how well these are enforced, as well as to what extent the government uses the financial reporting and audit process to monitor SOEs and hold their management teams accountable. This report also considers SMEs financial reporting, including how current requirements compare with the latest revisions to the EU Accounting Directive, which further simplified requirements for smaller companies. Finally, audit oversight and quality assurance systems are assessed, including the feasibility of incorporating the audit oversight body as part of the financial sector supervisor.
Kenya is entering a decisive year. Three main developments will make 2012 extraordinary. First, Kenya will hold national elections for the first time since the traumatic post-election violence of 2007-08, which ended Kenya's high growth momentum abruptly. Second, Kenya's economy will need to navigate through a severe economic storm, which could well become a hurricane, especially if Europe enters into a recession. Third, the country will implement its most ambitious governance reforms ever, namely the devolution of responsibility to forty-seven new counties. Kenya's policy makers will need to display tremendous skill and steadfast leadership in order to balance the need for fiscal prudence, with ensuring that resource flows to new local governments are sufficient to meet their needs. High expectations of the promise of devolution need to be met by equally high quality planning and execution of its delivery. Kenya will enter 2012 from a weaker-than expected economic position. Kenya's economy is navigating rough economic waters, where existing structural weaknesses have been compounded by short-term shocks. The most visible sign of Kenya's economic challenge is the depreciating shilling, which reached an all time low against the US Dollar in October 2011. The elements behind this situation are high international food and fuel prices, the drought compounded by conflict in the horn of Africa, the Euro crisis, widening fiscal and current account deficits, and major inefficiencies in Kenya's agriculture sector. The recent developments are also undermining one of Kenya's main strengths over the last decade: the credibility and predictability of its macroeconomic policies.
This is the eleventh edition of the Kenya Economic Update. The special focus of this update examines the structural factors underpinning the poor performance of the manufacturing sector. Drawing on recent firm-level data from the 2010 Industrial Census and the 2013 Enterprise Survey. It investigates the extent to which the sector's lack of dynamism reflects problems in Kenya's business environment, which compares poorly to regional neighbors' on several manufacturing-relevant dimensions. The report has four main messages: First, Kenya begins 2015 in a sound economic position. After growing an estimated 5.4 percent in 2014, its economy is poised to be among the fastest growing in the region, with growth projected at 6.0 percent in 2015, 6.6 percent in 2016, and 7.0 percent in 2017. Second, the external sector remains weak and vulnerable, as import growth continue to outpace export growth and short-term flows finance the current account deficit. The large deficit points to underlying structural weaknesses in Kenya's economy, which need to be addressed. Third, Kenya needs to increase the competitiveness of the manufacturing sector so that it can grow, export, and create much-needed jobs. As a share of GDP, Kenya's manufacturing sector has been stagnant in recent years, and it has lost international market share; lastly, the weak business environmentis a key constraint for the manufacturing sector. Obstacles to doing business affect this sector more than many others because manufacturing needs access to capital for investments, infrastructure to import inputs and export and distribute finished products, affordable and reliable electricity to produce, labor to man operations, and fair and streamlined regulations and trade policies that allow firms to compete.
The world faces unprecedented opportunities to reduce global poverty and improve human welfare. Strong global growth and better economic policies in recent years have substantially reduced poverty in many developing countries. However, with the recent financial turmoil in the United States and rising prices for food, oil, and other commodities, the world economy faces heightened risks and volatility. Policymakers around the world face the challenge of maintaining momentum in growth, as well as of improving the quality of growth. This concern over quality is reflected in the highly uneven reduction in poverty, rising inequality in numerous countries, and widening environmental degradation during the past decade, a period of unprecedented high economic growth in developing countries. Unless these issues are confronted, gains from growth are likely to be undermined and the pace of growth, itself, will not be sustained. Growth is clearly linked to reductions in poverty. But the strength of this relationship depends on the quality or nature of growth. Various studies show that some growth patterns systematically reduce poverty and inequality, but others do not. And some growth patterns lead to underinvestment in human capital, overexploitation of natural resources, and degradation of the environment, patterns inimical to the sustainability of growth.
