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The deadly weekend attacks by Hamas against mainly young people at a musical festival in Israel reveals a new and challenging shift in how terrorist organisations are approaching their political goals. Hybrid forms of warfare are not new, but their characteristics are likely to trouble state responses.
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From COVID-19 misinformation to authoritarian crackdowns on democratic protests or hybrid warfare involving information manipulation, the negative impacts that crises have on the information environment can be challenging to reverse, threatening the physical safety of civilians and the democratic stability of societies.
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I spent part of last week in Kingston, which has been my Canadian home away from home. It was far from my first KCIS, but the first one in a while thanks to the pandemic. The Kingston Consortium on International Security is a product of a partnership between Queen's Centre for International and Defence Policy, NATO Defence College, the US Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute, and the Canadian Army. Thanks to Stéfanie von Hlatky, nearly all of these folks (not quite the Army) became CDSN partners with KCIS becoming part of the CDSN's efforts to build various bridges. These days, Stephanie Martel runs CIDP, and this was her first KCIS, and she got a heap of assistance from Howard Coombs and the one consistent actor in all of this-Maureen Bartram, who is CIDP's main staff person.KCIS was at a new location which had bulk candy!Each year, the partners pick a theme. This year's was the unchanging nature of war with the Ukraine-Russia war hanging over most of the sessions, one way or another. Oh, and Clausewitz was cited a lot. The conference had a bunch of Canadian senior officers present, mostly army, and very few American officers, unlike the old days. The panels focused on a variety of issues from human security to changes in hybrid warfare, to women, peace, and security in conflict zones, to a special panel of US AWC SSI folks zooming on to share their lessons from the Ukraine-Russia War, to technology and the new wars. RAdm (ret) Patterson There were also some speeches with Q&A: Retired Rear Admiral Rebecca Patterson, now a Senator and guest on the Battle Rhythm podcast; Charlotte McGlade of the Canadian Red Cross; BG John Errington, Strategic Joint Staff, and CDS Wayne Eyre. I was the moderator for the last one, so that is what I will discuss below.First, a caveat--people kept mentioning Chatham House Rule, so I am not sure what I can say. The speeches are going to be streamed, but the Q&A was to be Chatham-ed. Not sure how the moderated chat part of the talk is supposed to be discussed. So, I will try to be vague, focusing mostly on my questions and less on Eyre's answers. Not sure if that does the trick. I will say that Eyre was engaging both before and after the talk, meeting with a variety of interested folks. It is not my first chat with him as I first met him at a KCIS in 2019, that he was on the podcast in 2021, he contacted me about another BR podcast (he didn't recall that until I brought it up during our session), and we bumped into each other at a reception at the Korean Embassy in Ottawa. He knows me well enough that his Star Wars references in his talk (greatest teacher failure is) were aimed at me.So, I asked him:
How is civil-military relations at the top different than whatever you learned in your professional military education?
Which barriers/challenges in recruitment/retention are the hardest to address?
How are you thinking about the sustainability of the Latvia mission?
How do we know we are making progress in culture change?
What is the first thing you will tell your successor when you hand things over? The civ-mil question led to Eyre discussing Eliot Cohen's book Supreme Command, which focuses on teh unequal dialogue between civilian leaders and the military--that both sides should be open and honest with each other, but that at the end of the day, after a decision is made by the civilians, it is the job of the military to carry on with the civilians' intent. I am pretty sure his two immediate predecessors didn't read or heed this book.The recruitment/retention question led to some discussion of some of the successes, like allowing permanent citizens to join, and an acknowledgement that the traditional recruiting demo is getting smaller---white straight dudes like himself. I don't want to misremember what Eyre said on culture change progress, but if I remember correctly, the sense of it was on whether retention improves, whether the folks in the force report that things are getting better.The successor question was most interesting as, well, Vance had reportedly tried to eliminate potential successors so that he could stay a long time, and that worked. Eyre discussed how he is already training the cohort of possible replacements by giving them time with and exposure to folks like the Defence Minister, the Defence Committee, and the Prime Minister. They will have far more experience with the key civilian actors (plus parliament) than Eyre had, as he famously had no handover--he just got a call to show up as Acting CDS and had to start doing the job immediately. And, yes, I had a good time while I was there. The opening reception was a great chance to meet folks I had met at previous KCIS's and at other CDSN events as well as meet new folks. To the right are Aditi Malhotra, editor of Canadian Army Journal and a veteran of our Summer Institute, and Melissa Jennings, the CDSN Chief Operating Officer. I got a chance to meet all kinds of interesting folks over the 2+ days. So, if you can get to a future KCIS, do so. You learn a lot, you meet sharp people, and Kingston is lovely in the fall.