Prošlost i budućnost indijsko-pakistanskih odnosa ; The Past and The Future of India-Pakistan Relations
Ovaj rad govori o indijsko-pakistanskim odnosima, a u središtu je pozornosti njihov sukob koji je nastao osamostaljenjem od Britanije te podjelom teritorija na dvije države. U radu se daje povijesni pregled koji slijedi hipotezu da povijesni odnosi, u kombinaciji s trenutnim vodstvima tih dviju država, upućuju na mogućnost ponovnog izbijanja sukoba koji bi mogao prerasti u regionalni, pa čak i svjetski problem. Nadalje, daje se pregled trenutnih odnosa i savezništava sukobljenih strana. Nastavno na početnu hipotezu, prikazan je scenarij nuklearnog sukoba koji bi stvorio neizmjernu štetu za regije Kašmir i Džammu. One većinom industrijski ovise o prirodi, a upravo se oko njih vodi glavni sukob. U zaključku se nazire doza optimizma jer se velike sile najvjerojatnije neće direktno uključiti u mogući ratni sukob, no mnoge opasnosti ipak postoje. Povijest ukazuje na mogućnost da Indija i Pakistan zarate i po peti put. Moglo bi se očekivati da će provokacija rata ponovno doći s pakistanske strane, a trenutnom indijskom vodstvu ne bi dugo trebalo da na takvu provokaciju odgovori. ; This paper deals with the subject of India-Pakistan relations with a primary focus on the conflict which arose between them due to gaining independence from Britain and the subsequent division of territory into the two countries. This paper provides a historical overview which follows the hypothesis that historical relations combined with the two countries' current leaderships indicate the possibility of conflict recurrence that could evolve into a regional and even global problem. Furthermore, it gives an overview of the conflicting parties' current relations and alliances. Following the initial hypothesis, a scenario is presented of a nuclear conflict that would inflict immense damage on the Kashmir and Jammu regions if realised. They both have industries that rely primarily on natural resources and it is these regions that are the focal points of the conflict. The conclusion allows for some optimism, as the great powers most likely would not become directly involved in the possible armed conflict. However, many dangers persist. History suggests that India and Pakistan could go to war for the fifth time. A war-provoking act can be expected to once again come from the Pakistani side, and the current Indian leadership would not much hesitate to respond to such provocation.