Suchergebnisse

This paper investigates the inflation convergence of 82 Indonesian cities and discusses the remarkable regional inflation programmes in Indonesia. By employing a dynamic panel regression, the paper shows that Indonesia experienced an inflation convergence from 2013 to 2018. An intriguing finding is that the cities in Java-Bali, the largest density area, experienced a slower speed of convergence than that in cities outside the Java-Bali. This paper alleges that the development of logistic transportation and the formulation of an inflation control programme, such as the Tim Pengendalian Inflasi Daerah (TPID) or Regional Inflation Controlling Team (RICT) that has just been stationed and has commenced their duties in East Indonesia, might play an essential role in the convergence. Moreover, the coordination between the central and regional governments, represented by TPID/RICT, in implementing the effective policy (i.e. prioritising development outside Java-Bali and fostering inter-region cooperation in the commodity supply chain) is effective in stabilising and reducing the inflation rate.

This study was conducted to examine the effect of unemployment rate, labor force, investment, inflation rate, and government expenditure on economic growth in Indonesia in the long term and short term for the period 1986-2015. This research uses cointegration and Error Correction Model (ECM) method. The results of ECM treatment with EViews 8 indicate that the unemployment rate and capital have significant positive effects, labor force and inflation rate have significant negative effects, and government expenditure has an insignificant effect on economic growth in Indonesia within the study period.

Income inequality in Indonesia remains a controversial issue in the context of Indonesian macroeconomic condition that is evolving in output and government spending, and its increase in consumption accompanied by inflation and slowing of bank credit. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship among macroeconomics, monetary and income inequality through a broad theoretical model by adopting a panel Structural Vector Auto-regression (SVAR) model to get more sample size during the period 2005-2018 at 33 provinces in Indonesia. The main results indicate that the variables of output and inflation have positive relationships. The relationship between output and income inequality is also significantly correlated, and those results supported by Kuznets's theory reveal that the relationship between economic growth and income inequality is positive in the short term. The relationship between inflation and income inequality is positive as well in Indonesia. This result is by the fact that low-income families are considered more vulnerable to inflation. The impact of non-food consumption shocks increases income inequality, while Indonesian government spending and bank credit shocks reduce income inequality. Then the response of savings and bank credit to the shock of income inequality is positive.

The study on the effect of fuel subsidies toward oil import is a controversial topicdiscussions. This study will explore the effect of fuel subsidies on oil import by addingseveral independent variables, consist of; the number of vehichles, the exchange rateand inflation. Data use time series data from 1980-2013. The tool of analyze is OrdinaryLeast Squares Method (OLS).Based on the results show that the simultaneous testexplains that the fuel subsidies, the number of vehichles, the exchange rate, and inflationhave a significant effect on oil import. However partially, the variables of fuel subsidies,the number of vehichles, and the exchange rate have a positive and significant effecton oil import. Inflation does not affect on oil import. The coefficient of determinationuses Adjusted R-square test is about 98%. The implication of this study is governmentscan increase oil production Indonesia. The government should facilitate the licensing ofinvestment and rejuvenate the old oil wells. It aims to reduce Indonesia dependence onoil import so that it can save foreign exchange reserves.

This study discusses food crop agriculture in 29 districts in East Java, where many people are engaged in this field. This research defines two stages of equality. In this study using two model approaches, namely the first Model Analysis conducted using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and the second model Partial least square (PLS). Research results Increasing agricultural productivity or efficiency is important to do with a variety of strategies both intensification and agricultural intensification.Improving the quality of rural community resources is very to be done. Good quality resources will increase the absorption of high technology and will increase the productivity of farmers and workers in other sectors in rural areas, the Government's budget for development must continue to be increased both in nominal terms and the accuracy of its allocation so that it is absorbed into rural communities effectively and efficiently so that it can improve the welfare of rural communities and controlling the price of basic necessities in the region is also important to do. Bank Indonesia and in collaboration with local governments to form a Regional Inflation Control Team (TPID) must work better in maintaining stable inflation because the rural poor are relatively vulnerable to price increases

Abstract: This study aims to determine the role of unhulled paddy price increases in Indonesia's economic output, employment, and also for the welfare of farmers in Indonesia. The research data in the form of secondary data obtained from the Statistics Indonesia as unhulled paddy prices in Indonesia, GDP growth by sector, rural inflation in Indonesia, Indonesian final demand, employment Indonesia, and the Indonesia Input-Output tables. This study uses analytical techniques influence the government benchmark price to the price of unhulled paddy and input output analysis techniques. The results showed that the industrial sector of food, beverages, and tobacco, and other industries, as well as transport and communications sectors are the potential sectors that have the index of distribution power and the index of sensitivity degree. During the period 1987-2007, farmer terms of trade in seven national rice producing provinces had developed quite fluctuate mainly between 1997-2008. In general, the level of relative prosperity, or the purchasing power of the farmers did not increase significantly. Abstrak: Studi ini bertujuan mengetahui peranan kenaikan harga gabah pada output perekonomian di Indonesia, kesempatan kerja, dan juga pada kesejahteraan petani di Indonesia. Data penelitian berupa data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) seperti harga gabah di Indonesia, perkembangan Produk Domestik Bruto menurut sektor, perkembangan inflasi pedesaan di Indonesia, permintaan akhir Indonesia, ketenagakerjaanIndonesia, dan tabel Input-Output Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan teknik analisis pengaruh harga patokan pemerintah terhadap harga gabah dan teknik analisis input ouput. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa sektor industri makanan, minuman, dan tembakau; industri lainya serta; serta sektor pengangkutan dan komunikasi merupakan sektor-sektor yang potensial karena memiliki indeks daya penyebaran dan indeks derajat kepekaan tinggi. Selama periode 1987-2007, Nilai Tukar Petani (NTP) di tujuh provinsi ...