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FY 2012-2013. Project Leads: Lowenthal, Micah D. ; CISAC enables a unique Track II dialogue among technical, military, and policy experts that addresses arms control problems from a technical perspective, and identifies the most promising opportunities for collaboration via official channels. The overall goal of the dialogue is the maintenance and reinforcement of a resilient and transparent strategic stability with Russia. ; NA ; Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.

Abstract: Review of the book by Milovidov V. D. Simmetry of delusions. Uncertainty factors of the global financial market under the technological revolution. Moscow, Magistr, 2019. 336 p. (In Russian).Author declares the absence of conflict of interests.

The Artificial Intelligence systems have already become a reality. The work on their development is going very successfully, and therefore this reality requires monitoring and reflection, moreover, understanding not only how artificial intel­ligence can be developed, but also what the price can be, the consequences of the widespread use and applying of such technology. In the article, this theme is considered in the context of the work of K. Schwab, who put forward the idea that a new, Fourth, industrial revolution is beginning today. It is in this context that the phenomenon of AI and its applications is being raised and considered to­day. Therefore, the Fourth industrial revolution itself is considered in the row with other industrial revolutions that are singled out today. In the course of re­viewing the history of industrial revolutions, the author shows that now Schwab's concept looks somewhat unfinished. The first three industrial revolutions have some main distinguishing features, the Fourth industrial revolution so far looks like it consists of equivalent components. In accordance with this, it is shown that the dominant discovery in the Fourth industrial Revolution is still present, and these are developments in the field of AI. An important question of the arti­cle is how to save people in the context of the industrial expansion of AI. In this regard, the theme of universal basic income discussed today is considered. Ac­cording to the author, this tool alone is not enough for people to go through the introduction of robots and AI painlessly. The author draws attention to the fact that people who are unemployed, but at the same time have a basic income, will be threatened by an overly comfortable home environment, leading to degradation.

The article is devoted to the study of intra-firm labor mobility and the opportunities for updating the composition of research personnel, including managers. The information base was the data from the questionnaire survey of the personnel of the institutes of the Russian Academy of Sciences, carried out by the Institute of Socio-Economic Studies of Population RAS in 2015. The age limit set for heads of institutions, the established standards for young research fellows and other measures have changed the mechanism of labor mobility. Changes in the position of researchers of different categories have been analyzed with the account of the factors facilitating career growth or, on the contrary, complicating it. It turned out that junior researchers and top-management were the most mobile categories in the personnel hierarchy. The summary picture of the career advancement to top management, on the one hand, showed its availability for employees with different starting opportunities, and on the other hand, provided insight into the personnel reserves of candidates for the position of director and deputy director for research. Career attitudes were correlated with the assessment of the reality of their implementation. The process of accelerated rejuvenation of the RAS personnel can be described as controversial, especially in connection with the large-scale changes in the top management. The internal potential of candidates for director's post was also investigated. According to the study, it is not high enough, and the chances of a person from the outside are significant. It looks like normalization of the intra-firm mobility of researchers, including rotation of managerial personnel, is possible not so much by administrative regulation, as through the all-round development of the scientific environment in which there is a qualitative professional growth of scientific personnel.

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