Suchergebnisse

Despues de 1989, el anuario estadistico de Cuba y el informe economico anual dejaron de publicarse, lo cual creo un vacio estadistico serio en el decenio de los noventa, una epoca crucial debido a la crisis y las reformas economicas. Ambas publicaciones se reanudaron en 1998, llenando en buena parte el vacio existente y suministrando nueva informacion. Este articulo analiza las nuevas series estadisticas, los cortes y cambios en los cuadros, los problemas para conectar las dos series, asi como las tendencias y cifras mas importantes. (Cuba Stud/DÜI)

We provide a framework for the Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models (EITM) initiative. The objective of EITM is to encourage political and social scientists to test empirical models that are directly connected to a formal model. As scholars merge formal and empirical analysis they minimize non-falsifiable research practices and lay the foundation for social scientific cumulation. Our EITM framework involves three steps. The first step is for researchers to unify theoretical mechanisms and applied statistical concepts. Step two is to develop measurable devices ("analogues") for these mechanisms and concepts. The final step is to unify the analogues. The significance of the EITM framework is that it encourages scholars to use a set of plausible facts or axioms and then model them in a rigorous mathematical manner to identify causal relations that explain empirical regularities. Adapted from the source document.

This paper tests some of the main fraud allegations of the 2006 presidential election in Mexico with the evidence from a statistical analysis of precinct-level data. First, I analyze the data flow from the quick count, the preliminary results (PREP) & the official district tally (computo distrital). Secondly, I analyze the size & distribution of errors in the polling-station acts & the partial recount. Lastly, I consider atypical precincts & the role of party representatives. My main conclusion is that, since most fraud allegations are not supported by the evidence, the presidential election outcome is statistically reliable. Adapted from the source document.