Suchergebnisse

IN EXAMINING PATTERNS IN INTERNATIONAL CRISIS, THE AUTHORS OFFERS ONE PATH TO CONCERTED ATTACK ON A CENTRAL PHENOMENON IN WORLD POLITICS. AFTER SURVEYING THE RELEVANT LITERATURE, INCLUDING COMPETING DEFINITIONS, THEY SET FORTH A CONCEPTUAL MAP OF INTERNATIONAL CRISIS VARIABLES: ACTOR ATTRIBUTES (AGE, TERRITORY, REGIME, CAPABILITY, VALUES): SYSTEM CHARACTERISTICS (SIZE, GEOGRAPHY, STRUCTURE, ALLIANCE CONFIGURATION, STABILITY); AND THE CRISIS DIMENSIONS THEY WISH TO EXPLAIN (TRIGGER, ACTOR, BEHAVIOR, SUPERPOWER ACTIVITY, AND THE ROLE OF INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS-THAT IS, CRISIS MANAGEMENT, OUTCOME, AND CONSEQUENCES). FROM THIS TAXONOMY THEY HAVE DEVELOPED A RESEARCH FRAME WORK ON INTERNATIONAL CRISIS, AND, AS AN ILLUSTRATION OF MORE NARROW EXPLANATORY DEVICES A CRISIS MANAGEMENT-OUTCOME MODEL. THREE CLUSTERS OF HYPOTHESES ON THE SUBSTANCE AND FORM OF CRISIS OUTCOMES, AND THE DURATION OF CRISIS, ARE THEN TESTED AGAINST THE EVIDENCE FROM 185 CASES FOR THE PERIOD FROM 1945 TO 1962. ULTIMATE AIM IS TO ILLUMINATE INTERNATIONAL CRISIS OVER A 50-YEAR PERIOD, 1930-1980, ACROSS ALL CONTINENTS CULTURES, AND POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA.