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IN EXAMINING PATTERNS IN INTERNATIONAL CRISIS, THE AUTHORS OFFERS ONE PATH TO CONCERTED ATTACK ON A CENTRAL PHENOMENON IN WORLD POLITICS. AFTER SURVEYING THE RELEVANT LITERATURE, INCLUDING COMPETING DEFINITIONS, THEY SET FORTH A CONCEPTUAL MAP OF INTERNATIONAL CRISIS VARIABLES: ACTOR ATTRIBUTES (AGE, TERRITORY, REGIME, CAPABILITY, VALUES): SYSTEM CHARACTERISTICS (SIZE, GEOGRAPHY, STRUCTURE, ALLIANCE CONFIGURATION, STABILITY); AND THE CRISIS DIMENSIONS THEY WISH TO EXPLAIN (TRIGGER, ACTOR, BEHAVIOR, SUPERPOWER ACTIVITY, AND THE ROLE OF INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS-THAT IS, CRISIS MANAGEMENT, OUTCOME, AND CONSEQUENCES). FROM THIS TAXONOMY THEY HAVE DEVELOPED A RESEARCH FRAME WORK ON INTERNATIONAL CRISIS, AND, AS AN ILLUSTRATION OF MORE NARROW EXPLANATORY DEVICES A CRISIS MANAGEMENT-OUTCOME MODEL. THREE CLUSTERS OF HYPOTHESES ON THE SUBSTANCE AND FORM OF CRISIS OUTCOMES, AND THE DURATION OF CRISIS, ARE THEN TESTED AGAINST THE EVIDENCE FROM 185 CASES FOR THE PERIOD FROM 1945 TO 1962. ULTIMATE AIM IS TO ILLUMINATE INTERNATIONAL CRISIS OVER A 50-YEAR PERIOD, 1930-1980, ACROSS ALL CONTINENTS CULTURES, AND POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEMS IN THE CONTEMPORARY ERA.

In examining patterns in international crises, the authors offer one path to a cocerted attack on a central phenomenon in world politics. After surveying the releva literature, including competing definitions, they set forth a conceptual map of int national crisis variables: actor attributes (age, territory, regime, capability, values system characteristics (size, geography, structure, alliance configuration, stability); a the crisis dimensions they wish to explain (trigger, actor behavior, superpower activity, and the role of international organizations—that is, crisis management, of come, and consequences). From this taxonomy they have developed a research frar work on international crisis, and, as an illustration of more narrow explanatory devie a crisis management-outcome model. Three clusters of hypotheses on the substar and form of crisis outcomes, and the duration of crises, are then tested against I evidence from 185 cases for the period from 1945 to 1962. The ultimate aim is illuminate international crises over a 50-year period, 1930–1980, across all continer cultures, and political and economic systems in the contemporary era.

As everyone who has taught a course on international politics can readily attest, there are few events which evoke as strong a reaction from students as does a major surprise. Surprise leaves a deep imprint upon the student, generating two simultaneous reactions which push the student in opposite directions. On the one hand, the student is impressed by the range of what can be accomplished by a skillfully undertaken course of action. At least for the moment, world politics no longer appears to him or her as an arena beset by problems totally without solutions. The strongly held desire of most students to believe that insight and vision can solve problems is reaffirmed.Surprise also produced a second reaction. Depending upon whether the event is perceived favorably or not, student reaction ranges from moral outrage, to puzzlement, to disbelief or exhilaration.

Rede Ben Gurions von 1958 vor dem Mapai Political Committee über die internationale Lage und die Position Israels im Weltsystem. (DÜI-Hns)

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