Analysis and planning for sustainable, multi-purpose forestry in Sweden; selected results from the first phase of the Heureka Research Programme
In: Scandinavian journal of forest research
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In: Scandinavian journal of forest research
In: Journal of multi-criteria decision analysis, Band 25, Heft 1-2, S. 43-52
ISSN: 1099-1360
AbstractIn forest management planning, participatory planning processes are often encouraged as a means to acquire relevant information and to enhance the stakeholders' acceptability of alternative plans. This requires the aggregation of the stakeholders' preferences that can be done in a wide variety of manners. The aggregation process strives to reduce the information into a single set of preferences that simplifies the information and allows for the use of discrete decision support tools. Depending on how the preferences are aggregated, a wide range of plan rankings can emerge. Although this range of ranking complicates the issue of plan selection, it does highlight the uncertainty involved in aggregating stakeholder preferences. In this study, we suggest an alternative method of deriving rankings for a set of alternative management options. Our proposed method suggests treating acquired preferences as the uncertain elements of a stochastic programming problem and the results provide the decision maker with the acceptability probability for each plan. The method is illustrated with a case of pairwise comparisons from a set of stakeholders representing preferences from different interest groups in a community planning process.
Swedish moose (Alces alces) management has over the years transformed from a situation similar to what Hardin (1968) defined as a tragedy of the commons – i.e. where open access and unrestricted demands lead to over-exploitation – into a situation characterized by an abundance of moose. While high numbers of moose are preferred by hunters, they damage forests through grazing, causing conflicts between hunters and forest owners. In an attempt to resolve these disputes, the Swedish government is introducing a new local ecosystem-based management system. This paper analyzes this shift from managing a single resource to the broader perspective of ecosystem management and discusses to what extent it will contribute to conflict resolution. The results suggest that some of the problems highlighted may be solved through the implementation of an ecosystem management system. However, several challenges remain to be tackled, such as how to establish robust partnerships between forest owners and hunters for managing moose on land with a fragmented property rights structure. This can lead to different and conflicting objectives and, consequently, difficulties in reaching collective action. ; Future forests ; HUNTing for sustainability
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The transition towards the bio-based economy in the future increases the demand for raw materials from the forests. This will increase the extraction of wood from the forests but may adversely affect its biodiversity and other ecosystem services (ESS). The growth rate of most tree species in Sweden is predicted to increase because of changing climate. It will however be counterbalanced by an increased risk of damage due to extreme weather events such as storms. Therefore, it is necessary to develop adaptive management measures that exploit the benefits of climate change while minimizing the damages on growing stock, ESS and biodiversity resulting from its risks. It is further important to consider the trends in the global development for studying the future trends of production and nature conservation in Sweden . The demand for wood varies among the global development scenarios and greenhouse gas emission pathways. The aims of this study are: (i) to identify the impacts of climate change, EU forest policies and associated wood demand on Swedish forests, (ii) how the combination of different scenarios of EU forest policies and climate affects the harvest levels, carbon sequestration and future occurrence of a set of forest-dwelling species in Sweden and (iii) to formulate optimal combinations of different management regimes for sustainably achieving the demand for different wood assortments and environmental goals in Sweden as stipulated in EU and national forest policy statements under changing climatic conditions. In this study the demand for different wood assortments in Sweden will be simulated assuming different global and EU policy scenarios using the GLOBIOM model. The three policy scenarios are baseline, bioenergy and global bioenergy. In the baseline scenario, the increase in global demand for wood stabilizes by 2020 whereas in others the increase in wood demand stabilizes only after 2050. In the global bioenergy scenario, mitigation measures are implemented globally resulting in higher wood demand in comparison to the bioenergy scenario where mitigation measures are confined only to EU. Assuming the different demand for wood assortments, we will propose adaptive management measures like delaying final felling, avoiding thinning and speeding up final felling, green tree retention, continuous cover forestry and unmanaged forest along with a current management scenario. The simulations of the Swedish forest landscape with different adaptive management regimes will be performed using the Heureka model. Optimization will be done for maximizing various objectives like net present value, carbon sequestration and biodiversity. Biodiversity will be accounted for in the form of different species distribution models. The time period of the simulations will be from 2010 to 2100. Two future climate scenarios, a business as usual scenario (RCP8.5) and an optimistic scenario (RCP4.5) are also considered in this study. ; peerReviewed
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Swedish moose (Alces alces) management has over the years transformed from a situation similar to what Hardin (1968) defined as a tragedy of the commons – i.e. where open access and unrestricted demands lead to over-exploitation – into a situation characterized by an abundance of moose. While high numbers of moose are preferred by hunters, they damage forests through grazing, causing conflicts between hunters and forest owners. In an attempt to resolve these disputes, the Swedish government is introducing a new local ecosystem-based management system. This paper analyzes this shift from managing a single resource to the broader perspective of ecosystem management and discusses to what extent it will contribute to conflict resolution. The results suggest that some of the problems highlighted may be solved through the implementation of an ecosystem management system. However, several challenges remain to be tackled, such as how to establish robust partnerships between forest owners and hunters for managing moose on land with a fragmented property rights structure. This can lead to different and conflicting objectives and, consequently, difficulties in reaching collective action.
BASE
Swedish moose (Alces alces) management has over the years transformed from a situation similar to what Hardin (1968) defined as a tragedy of the commons – i.e. where open access and unrestricted demands lead to over-exploitation – into a situation characterized by an abundance of moose. While high numbers of moose are preferred by hunters, they damage forests through grazing, causing conflicts between hunters and forest owners. In an attempt to resolve these disputes, the Swedish government is introducing a new local ecosystem-based management system. This paper analyzes this shift from managing a single resource to the broader perspective of ecosystem management and discusses to what extent it will contribute to conflict resolution. The results suggest that some of the problems highlighted may be solved through the implementation of an ecosystem management system. However, several challenges remain to be tackled, such as how to establish robust partnerships between forest owners and hunters for managing moose on land with a fragmented property rights structure. This can lead to different and conflicting objectives and, consequently, difficulties in reaching collective action.
BASE