ВІЙСЬКОВО-ПОЛІТИЧНЕ ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ ЯК УМОВА ЗАБЕЗПЕЧЕННЯ НАЦІОНАЛЬНОЇ БЕЗПЕКИ ДЕРЖАВИ
Stychynska A. B. Military-political forecasting as a condition for ensuring the national security of the state. – Article.Assessment of the military-political situation in the international and domestic dimensions is a basic condition for ensuring national security.A special role belongs to the forecast conclusions, which in their content remain plausible, but significantly increase the certainty of the main goal in decision-making. Successful long-term military-political forecasting makes it possible to pursue policy policies taking into account the positive and negative aspects of the domestic or international environment, the use of preventive measures, rational decisions and overall minimizationof costs for their implementation.The main tasks related to military-political forecasting include the following:– forecasting possible military dangers and threats, based on the analysis of the real military-political situation;– informing all subjects of military security about the nature and degree of danger of national interests, thestate of security objects and their ability to neutralize threats;– making decisions at the earliest possible stage on the prevention and neutralization of military threats,determining the capabilities of the state and the Armed Forces;– mobilization of all subjects of military security to address the tasks of rapid response to emerging threats,timely involvement of all forces and means to eliminate the existing danger;– analysis of the effectiveness of the measures taken to end the military threat and, if necessary, make adjustments to previously adopted decisions.Ensuring the military security of the state, which is the most important component of national security,is determined by many factors. These include: the real and potential capabilities of the state and its militaryorganization; the level of military-political leadership; the degree of social and political stability of society;coordination in the activities of the subjects of military security and others. But a special place ...