Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: estimating the effect of California's tobacco control program
In: Technical working paper series 335
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In: Technical working paper series 335
In: NBER working paper series 10604
In: NBER working paper series 10859
In: NBER working paper series 8478
In: NBER Working Paper No. w24403
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In: American economic review, Band 96, Heft 2, S. 50-56
ISSN: 1944-7981
In: NBER Working Paper No. w12678
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In: American economic review, Band 93, Heft 1, S. 113-132
ISSN: 1944-7981
This article investigates the economic effects of conflict, using the terrorist conflict in the Basque Country as a case study. We find that, after the outbreak of terrorism in the late 1960's, per capita GDP in the Basque Country declined about 10 percentage points relative to a synthetic control region without terrorism. In addition, we use the 1998–1999 truce as a natural experiment. We find that stocks of firms with a significant part of their business in the Basque Country showed a positive relative performance when truce became credible, and a negative relative performance at the end of the cease-fire.
In: NBER Working Paper No. w14756
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In: NBER Working Paper No. w15301
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In: NBER Working Paper No. t0325
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In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 4073
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In: American journal of political science, Band 59, Heft 2, S. 495-510
ISSN: 1540-5907
In recent years, a widespread consensus has emerged about the necessity of establishing bridges between quantitative and qualitative approaches to empirical research in political science. In this article, we discuss the use of the synthetic control method as a way to bridge the quantitative/qualitative divide in comparative politics. The synthetic control method provides a systematic way to choose comparison units in comparative case studies. This systematization opens the door to precise quantitative inference in small-sample comparative studies, without precluding the application of qualitative approaches. Borrowing the expression from Sidney Tarrow, the synthetic control method allows researchers to put 'qualitative flesh on quantitative bones.' We illustrate the main ideas behind the synthetic control method by estimating the economic impact of the 1990 German reunification on West Germany. Adapted from the source document.
In: American journal of political science: AJPS, Band 59, Heft 2, S. 495-510
ISSN: 0092-5853
In: American Journal of Political Science. 2014, Forthcoming
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