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Severe global economic impacts of recent financial crises made it more important understanding how market patterns are transmitted, intensifying the need to determine the relationship between financial markets. With investment flows transferred from stock to government bond markets during financial crises, researchers draw their attention to bond markets, exposing strengthening comovements between them. The aim of this research was to prepare the methodology for identification and assessment of the factors influencing government bond market comovements and to test this methodology in the global environment. Research methodology was based on the proposed model that includes government bond market comovements and global, fundamental and bilateral factors influencing them. Empirical research was carried out in 75 government bond markets in 2008-2016. The results showed that government bond markets significantly commoved in clusters. The influence of global factors on government bond market comovements was less strong than expected, while fundamental factors had a strong influence on the comovements: the more similar two countries were in their fundamentals, the stronger their government bond markets commoved. Only one bilateral factor – foreign direct investment – had an influence on government bond market comovements. The fact that government bond market comovements were more dependent on fundamental rather than the global factors creates more diversification possibilities for investors as well as more possibilities for governments to reduce their cost of debt by improving their fundamentals.

Severe global economic impacts of recent financial crises made it more important understanding how market patterns are transmitted, intensifying the need to determine the relationship between financial markets. With investment flows transferred from stock to government bond markets during financial crises, researchers draw their attention to bond markets, exposing strengthening comovements between them. The aim of this research was to prepare the methodology for identification and assessment of the factors influencing government bond market comovements and to test this methodology in the global environment. Research methodology was based on the proposed model that includes government bond market comovements and global, fundamental and bilateral factors influencing them. Empirical research was carried out in 75 government bond markets in 2008-2016. The results showed that government bond markets significantly commoved in clusters. The influence of global factors on government bond market comovements was less strong than expected, while fundamental factors had a strong influence on the comovements: the more similar two countries were in their fundamentals, the stronger their government bond markets commoved. Only one bilateral factor – foreign direct investment – had an influence on government bond market comovements. The fact that government bond market comovements were more dependent on fundamental rather than the global factors creates more diversification possibilities for investors as well as more possibilities for governments to reduce their cost of debt by improving their fundamentals.

Severe global economic impacts of recent financial crises made it more important understanding how market patterns are transmitted, intensifying the need to determine the relationship between financial markets. With investment flows transferred from stock to government bond markets during financial crises, researchers draw their attention to bond markets, exposing strengthening comovements between them. The aim of this research was to prepare the methodology for identification and assessment of the factors influencing government bond market comovements and to test this methodology in the global environment. Research methodology was based on the proposed model that includes government bond market comovements and global, fundamental and bilateral factors influencing them. Empirical research was carried out in 75 government bond markets in 2008-2016. The results showed that government bond markets significantly commoved in clusters. The influence of global factors on government bond market comovements was less strong than expected, while fundamental factors had a strong influence on the comovements: the more similar two countries were in their fundamentals, the stronger their government bond markets commoved. Only one bilateral factor – foreign direct investment – had an influence on government bond market comovements. The fact that government bond market comovements were more dependent on fundamental rather than the global factors creates more diversification possibilities for investors as well as more possibilities for governments to reduce their cost of debt by improving their fundamentals.

Severe global economic impacts of recent financial crises made it more important understanding how market patterns are transmitted, intensifying the need to determine the relationship between financial markets. With investment flows transferred from stock to government bond markets during financial crises, researchers draw their attention to bond markets, exposing strengthening comovements between them. The aim of this research was to prepare the methodology for identification and assessment of the factors influencing government bond market comovements and to test this methodology in the global environment. Research methodology was based on the proposed model that includes government bond market comovements and global, fundamental and bilateral factors influencing them. Empirical research was carried out in 75 government bond markets in 2008-2016. The results showed that government bond markets significantly commoved in clusters. The influence of global factors on government bond market comovements was less strong than expected, while fundamental factors had a strong influence on the comovements: the more similar two countries were in their fundamentals, the stronger their government bond markets commoved. Only one bilateral factor – foreign direct investment – had an influence on government bond market comovements. The fact that government bond market comovements were more dependent on fundamental rather than the global factors creates more diversification possibilities for investors as well as more possibilities for governments to reduce their cost of debt by improving their fundamentals.

Severe global economic impacts of recent financial crises made it more important understanding how market patterns are transmitted, intensifying the need to determine the relationship between financial markets. With investment flows transferred from stock to government bond markets during financial crises, researchers draw their attention to bond markets, exposing strengthening comovements between them. The aim of this research was to prepare the methodology for identification and assessment of the factors influencing government bond market comovements and to test this methodology in the global environment. Research methodology was based on the proposed model that includes government bond market comovements and global, fundamental and bilateral factors influencing them. Empirical research was carried out in 75 government bond markets in 2008-2016. The results showed that government bond markets significantly commoved in clusters. The influence of global factors on government bond market comovements was less strong than expected, while fundamental factors had a strong influence on the comovements: the more similar two countries were in their fundamentals, the stronger their government bond markets commoved. Only one bilateral factor – foreign direct investment – had an influence on government bond market comovements. The fact that government bond market comovements were more dependent on fundamental rather than the global factors creates more diversification possibilities for investors as well as more possibilities for governments to reduce their cost of debt by improving their fundamentals.

Severe global economic impacts of recent financial crises made it more important understanding how market patterns are transmitted, intensifying the need to determine the relationship between financial markets. With investment flows transferred from stock to government bond markets during financial crises, researchers draw their attention to bond markets, exposing strengthening comovements between them. The aim of this research was to prepare the methodology for identification and assessment of the factors influencing government bond market comovements and to test this methodology in the global environment. Research methodology was based on the proposed model that includes government bond market comovements and global, fundamental and bilateral factors influencing them. Empirical research was carried out in 75 government bond markets in 2008-2016. The results showed that government bond markets significantly commoved in clusters. The influence of global factors on government bond market comovements was less strong than expected, while fundamental factors had a strong influence on the comovements: the more similar two countries were in their fundamentals, the stronger their government bond markets commoved. Only one bilateral factor – foreign direct investment – had an influence on government bond market comovements. The fact that government bond market comovements were more dependent on fundamental rather than the global factors creates more diversification possibilities for investors as well as more possibilities for governments to reduce their cost of debt by improving their fundamentals.

The aim of this theoretical paper is to discuss the researches implemented in government bond and other financial markets, and to identify the most important global factors, influencing government bond market comovements. Even though, there exist various groups of factors, influencing government bond markets, this research is concentrated in the existence of global factors. If the influence of these factors is significant, investors cannot hedge from this influence by diversifying. The research in this paper is implemented by using the analysis, synthesis and systemization of the researches and other scientific literature. This research uses a novel approach by excluding and the most common global factors, influencing government bond market comovements and discussing the measures to assess the influence of these factors on the comovements. The research resulted in identification of 5 global factors, most commonly disclosed by other researchers as influencing government bond market comovements: global risk aversion, global market portfolio, money market uncertainty, commodity market uncertainty and economic policy uncertainty, with the most important factor being global risk aversion. The existence of these factors reduces the benefits from international diversification: if the markets are strongly influence by the same global factors, the deterioration of these factors will influence the investment portfolio in the same way. JEL Codes: F36, G11, G15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15544/ssaf.2016.01

This article examines comovements between stock and government bond markets in the EU countries. Previous authors mostly indicated significant highly volatile comovements between the markets. In addition, it was proven in several markets that in times of financial crisis the comovements between financial markets are becoming stronger and negative correlations appear indicating flight-to-quality from stocks to government bonds. Despite of that, there exists a tendency to analyze only financial markets of Eurozone countries leaving the rest of the EU members behind. The aim of this research was to fill this gap by providing insights of co-movements between stocks and government bond markets of al thel EU countries together with recommendations for portfolio diversification. The first stage of the research was implemented by using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Logarithmic returns on 52 market indices were used for calculations of correlation coefficients in the period of 1993–2012. The second stage of the research included the estimation of correlations in the period of 2008–2013, commonly referred to as financial crisis. In addition, statistical significance of coefficients was evaluated by testing Fisher's null hypothesis. The results of the research show that majority of correlation coefficients between stock and government bond indices were rather small and not significant during the full sample period with the exception in financial markets of Greece, Hungary, Lithuania and Romania (weak-medium statistically significant correlations). The results indicate financial markets in the countries mentioned being more related than in the rest of the EU countries, not being suitable for diversification between asset classes. [.]

This article examines comovements between stock and government bond markets in the EU countries. Previous authors mostly indicated significant highly volatile comovements between the markets. In addition, it was proven in several markets that in times of financial crisis the comovements between financial markets are becoming stronger and negative correlations appear indicating flight-to-quality from stocks to government bonds. Despite of that, there exists a tendency to analyze only financial markets of Eurozone countries leaving the rest of the EU members behind. The aim of this research was to fill this gap by providing insights of co-movements between stocks and government bond markets of al thel EU countries together with recommendations for portfolio diversification. The first stage of the research was implemented by using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Logarithmic returns on 52 market indices were used for calculations of correlation coefficients in the period of 1993–2012. The second stage of the research included the estimation of correlations in the period of 2008–2013, commonly referred to as financial crisis. In addition, statistical significance of coefficients was evaluated by testing Fisher's null hypothesis. The results of the research show that majority of correlation coefficients between stock and government bond indices were rather small and not significant during the full sample period with the exception in financial markets of Greece, Hungary, Lithuania and Romania (weak-medium statistically significant correlations). The results indicate financial markets in the countries mentioned being more related than in the rest of the EU countries, not being suitable for diversification between asset classes. [.]

This article examines comovements between stock and government bond markets in the EU countries. Previous authors mostly indicated significant highly volatile comovements between the markets. In addition, it was proven in several markets that in times of financial crisis the comovements between financial markets are becoming stronger and negative correlations appear indicating flight-to-quality from stocks to government bonds. Despite of that, there exists a tendency to analyze only financial markets of Eurozone countries leaving the rest of the EU members behind. The aim of this research was to fill this gap by providing insights of co-movements between stocks and government bond markets of al thel EU countries together with recommendations for portfolio diversification. The first stage of the research was implemented by using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Logarithmic returns on 52 market indices were used for calculations of correlation coefficients in the period of 1993–2012. The second stage of the research included the estimation of correlations in the period of 2008–2013, commonly referred to as financial crisis. In addition, statistical significance of coefficients was evaluated by testing Fisher's null hypothesis. The results of the research show that majority of correlation coefficients between stock and government bond indices were rather small and not significant during the full sample period with the exception in financial markets of Greece, Hungary, Lithuania and Romania (weak-medium statistically significant correlations). The results indicate financial markets in the countries mentioned being more related than in the rest of the EU countries, not being suitable for diversification between asset classes. [.]