Fragilidade financeira externa e os limites da politica cambial no Real
In: Brazilian journal of political economy: Revista de economia política, Band 19, Heft 73, S. 72-93
ISSN: 0101-3157
This article assesses the impacts of Brazil's exchange-based stabilization plan (Plano Real) on the country's external financial fragility and discusses alternative exchange policies to overcome the external vulnerability. An index for external financial fragility is applied to a time series of foreign sector variables from 1992 to 1997. The evidences show that Brazilian external financial fragility has grown during the first three years and half after the Real Plan, particularly in 1996 and 1997. The authors conclude that the scope for changes in current exchange policy is restricted: The government is prisoner of a self-inflicted "exchange-trap". (Rev Econ Polit/DÜI)