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Creating a counter insurgency plan: Elements required based upon a comparative analysis of research findings
The development of a counter-insurgency doctrine is an evolutionary process: no two insurgencies are the same. However, certain fundamental principals remain consistent and these can be applied to meet the required circumstances. The creation of an overarching plan encompassing a combination of military, political and social actions under the strong control of a single authority is central. Therefore, understanding the basics allows for the development of a tactical strategy based upon a structured plan. Compiling the 'Plan' should be based upon the lessons learnt from the past. To this end, the methodology used is supported by a literature review and interviews from participants in a limited assessment of the two historical conflicts: Malaya and Kenya. Based upon the findings, a condensed table is presented to aid analysis, using a French doctrinal approach as a tool for interpretation. In addition, this is supported by quotes from the respondents involved in the research process. These findings are the preliminary results of a research study looking at what was effective during the prosecution of the selected insurgencies. Outcomes indicate that the fundamental principals are pertinent today and are therefore generally applicable.
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The Socioeconomic Status of Women and Patterns of Forcible Rape for Major U.S. Cities
In: Sociological focus: quarterly journal of the North Central Sociological Association, Band 32, Heft 1, S. 43-63
ISSN: 2162-1128
DETERRENCE, BRUTALIZATION, AND THE DEATH PENALTY: ANOTHER EXAMINATION OF OKLAHOMA'S RETURN TO CAPITAL PUNISHMENT
In: Criminology: the official publication of the American Society of Criminology, Band 36, Heft 4, S. 711-734
ISSN: 1745-9125
A replication and extension of a weekly ARZMA analysis (1989–1991) by Cochran et al. (1994), which appeared in Criminology, confirms that Oklahoma's return to capital punishment in 1990, after a 25‐year moratorium, was followed by a significant increase in killings involving strangers. Moreover, a multivariate autoregressive analysis, which includes measures of the frequency of executions, the level of print media attention devoted to executions, and selected sociodemographic variables, produced results consistent with the brutalization hypothesis for total homicides, as well as a variety of different types of killing involving both strangers and nonstrangers. No prior study has shown such strong support for the capital punishment and brutalization argument. However, there is also a suggestion of a possible lagged deterrent effect for the level of media coverage of executions for nonfelony murders involving strangers. The analysis indicates that the impact of capital punishment in Oklahoma during the 1989–1991 period was much more extensive than suggested by the earlier study. Recommendations are made for further research examining additional jurisdictions and time periods to determine the generalizability of the patterns found for Oklahoma.
Reducing Malapportionment in Japan's Electoral Districts: The Supreme Court Must Act
Japan's Constitution does not expressly mandate periodic census and reapportionment of electoral districts. The Election Law only suggests reapportionment. Consequently, rapid population shifts in postwar Japan created endemic voter imbalances. The Japanese Supreme Court has made some attempts to prod the national parliament to take ameliorative action, but the result has always been "too little, too late." Nevertheless, the evidence shows that the parliament does heed the Court's decisions. This Comment urges the Court to tighten the three to one ratio it has developed for allowable voter imbalances to two to one or better, and to abandon doctrines like the "reasonable period" that postpone declarations of unconstitutionality and subsequent legislative action.
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Restructuring the Federal Establishment
In: Public personnel management, Band 14, Heft 2, S. 105-129
ISSN: 1945-7421
Poverty, Inequality, and City Homicide Rates: Some Not So Unexpected Findings
In: Criminology: the official publication of the American Society of Criminology, Band 22, Heft 4, S. 531-550
ISSN: 1745-9125
AbstractMessner's recent investigation of homicide and relative and absolute economic deprivation is replicated here, but cities rather than SMSA's and three years (1950, 1960, 1970) rather than one (1970) are considered. Because of tremendous intra‐unit variation for SMSAs with respect to homicides and sociodemographic characteristics (an important variation that is masked when data are aggregated on a SMSA level), cities are a preferable unit of analysis in cross‐sectional investigations of homicide. Where M e s m found a significant negative relationship between percentage of poverty (absolute deprivation) and homicides, I consistently find the opposite pattern as predicted. In both studies, however, there is only a slight and nonsignificant relationship between relative economic deprivation (income inequality) and homicides. Unlike Messner, however, I do not consider this finding surprising. At best, there is only a weak theoretical linkage between homicide and relative economic deprivation. Accordingly, the results of this investigation for both absolute and relative deprivation are neither "perplexing" nor do they warrant the "serious reconsideration of the linkages between poverty, inequality and the homicide rate" that Messner (1982: 112) calls for.
CAPITAL PUNISHMENT AND LETHAL ASSAULTS AGAINST POLICE
In: Criminology: the official publication of the American Society of Criminology, Band 19, Heft 4, S. 608-625
ISSN: 1745-9125
AbstractThis investigation provides a multivariate analysis of the deferrent effect of the death penalty on the rate of lethal assaults against the police. Examining statelevel data for the period 1961 to 1971, we hypothesize a significant inverse relationship between the rate of police killings and (1) the statutory provision for capital punishment and (2) the execution rate of convicted murderers. Contrary to the deferrence hypotheses, no support is found for the argument that the provision and use of the death penalty provides an added measure of protection for the police. Rather, variation in police killings rates, like the general homicide rate, would appear to be largely a function of various sociodemographic factors.
The County Community and Its Government
In: The annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Band 47, Heft 1, S. 14-25
ISSN: 1552-3349
Breaking the theft-chain-cycle: Property marking as a defensive tool
Any viable method of protecting property, dissuading the theft of property or ensuring the swift recovery of stolen property could be considered essential to general society. A number of crime preventive measures have been used in an attempt to achieve this objective. One such measure is property marking, employing various techniques to make property more readily identifiable. The study assesses technology to investigate effectiveness, both for dissuasion and for tracing once stolen. Mechanism for the disposal of stolen property forms an important part of this study, commencing with the mapping of the theft‐supply‐chain. Using a mixed methods approach, the research project has set out to identify if security technology could be used to break what is termed the 'theft‐chain‐cycle', whereby articles are stolen, stolen to order or for barter. The theft‐supply‐chain is not a single linear model; rather property passes through a number of formal and informal chains prior to reaching its "new" illegal owner. A significant factor is the ease of disposal linked to ease of detection using property marking to aid conviction. Based upon the findings, potential strategies and changes in legislation that better direct limited resources can be developed to assist in curbing the growing level of burglaries.
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BOOK REVIEWS
In: Journal of women & aging: the multidisciplinary quarterly of psychosocial practice, theory, and research, Band 18, Heft 3, S. 89-93
ISSN: 1540-7322
FELONY MURDER AND CAPITAL PUNISHMENT: AN EXAMINATION OF THE DETERRENCE QUESTION
In: Criminology: the official publication of the American Society of Criminology, Band 29, Heft 3, S. 367-395
ISSN: 1745-9125
A proper test of the deterrent effect of the death penalty must consider capital homicides. However, the criterion variable in most investigations has been total homicides—most of which bear no legal or theoretical relationship to capital punishment. To address this fundamental data problem, this investigation used Federal Bureau of Investigation data for 1976–1987 to examine the relationship between capital punishment and felony murder, the most common type of capital homicide. We conducted time series analyses of monthly felony murder rates, the frequency of executions, and the amount and type of television coverage of executions over the period. The analyses revealed occasional departures (for vehicle theft and narcotics killings) from the null hypotheses. However, on balance, and in line with the vast majority of capital punishment studies, this investigation found no consistent evidence that executions and the television coverage they receive are associated significantly with rates for total, index, or different types of felony murder.
POLICE KILLINGS AND CAPITAL PUNISHMENT: THE POST‐FURMAN PERIOD
In: Criminology: the official publication of the American Society of Criminology, Band 25, Heft 1, S. 1-26
ISSN: 1745-9125
In view of (1) escalating national attention and political and judicial activity centering on capital punishment during recent years and (2) concomitant changes in police killing rates, this paper investigates the impact of the death penalty on rates of lethal assaults against the police for the post‐Furman period, 1973–1984. In keeping with recent investigations of deterrence and general homicides, multiple regression is used as a means of controlling for the influence of possible confounding variables in examining the capital punishment/police killings relationship. Consistent with previous investigations, the present analysis provides no indication that our national return to capital punishment since Furman has had a systematic impact on police homicides. Law enforcement officers are not afforded an added measure of protection in death penalty compared to abolitionist states, nor is there anything but a chance association between the rate of police killings and the level of use of the death sentence for convicted murderers.
Report on the trigonometrical survey of a portion of the Colony and British Kaffraria
In: http://hdl.handle.net/2027/nyp.33433087548677
"Presented to both Houses of Parliament by command of His excellency the governor, April, 1863." ; At head of Title: Cape of Good Hope. ; Mode of access: Internet.
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Valuing Future Information Under Uncertainty Using Polynomial Chaos
In: Decision analysis: a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS, Band 5, Heft 3, S. 140-156
ISSN: 1545-8504
This paper estimates the value of information for highly uncertain projects whose decisions have long-term impacts. We present a mathematically consistent framework using decision trees, Bayesian updating, and Monte Carlo simulation to value future information today, even when that future information is imperfect. One drawback of Monte Carlo methods in multivariate cases is the large number of samples required, which may result in prohibitive run times when considerable computer time is required to obtain each sample, as it is in our example. A polynomial chaos approach suitable for black-box functions is used to reduce these computations to manageable proportions. To our knowledge, this is the first exposition of polynomial chaos in the valuation literature. In our example it provides a speed-up of more than two orders of magnitude.We demonstrate the approach with an oilfield example involving a future decision on where to place a new injection well relative to a fault. The example considers the value to the asset holder of a measurement, to be made in the future, that reveals the degree of reservoir compartmentalization caused by this fault. In conditions of high demand for rigs and other scarce capital-intensive oilfield equipment, it may be appropriate for the asset holder to agree to a forward contract for this critical measurement to be taken at a future date at some specified price. The service provider would be contractually bound to provide this measurement at this pre-agreed price within a specified time window, regardless of the prevailing price and availability of rigs and equipment. Despite the presence of financial uncertainty on future oil price and private uncertainty on reservoir variables that are largely unresolved by the measurement, our methodology provides a computationally efficient valuation framework, possibly leading to novel ways of setting up contract terms.