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In 1969 an interdisciplinary committee for long-term forecasting was created at the Polish Academy of Sciences. Together with the central planning authorities, statistical offices and every branch of government it constituted a system of prognostication which remained legally in place between 1971 and 1976. This article regards prognostication as an institutionalized experiment based on one of the key myths of modernity – that future events can be known and shaped. The genealogy of long-term forecasts in Poland dates back to pre-war experiences with state planning and transnational transfers of knowledge since 1956. After an outline of its pre-history, this article describes the construction and programmatic ideas of the prognostic system and asks how its functioning affected participants' understandings of the future as a political category. Finally, this article makes the case that this state-run prognostication venture resulted in an amplitude of euphoria followed by frustration regarding future knowledge, which can be understood as an indirect but significant cultural symptom of the emerging political and economic crisis in the Polish People's Republic beginning in 1976.

In 1969 an interdisciplinary committee for long-term forecasting was created at the Polish Academy of Sciences. Together with the central planning authorities, statistical offices and every branch of government it constituted a system of prognostication which remained legally in place between 1971 and 1976. This article regards prognostication as an institutionalized experiment based on one of the key myths of modernity – that future events can be known and shaped. The genealogy of long-term forecasts in Poland dates back to pre-war experiences with state planning and transnational transfers of knowledge since 1956. After an outline of its pre-history, this article describes the construction and programmatic ideas of the prognostic system and asks how its functioning affected participants' understandings of the future as a political category. Finally, this article makes the case that this state-run prognostication venture resulted in an amplitude of euphoria followed by frustration regarding future knowledge, which can be understood as an indirect but significant cultural symptom of the emerging political and economic crisis in the Polish People's Republic beginning in 1976.

In 1969 an interdisciplinary committee for long-term forecasting was created at the Polish Academy of Sciences. Together with the central planning authorities, statistical offices and every branch of government it constituted a system of prognostication which remained legally in place between 1971 and 1976. This article regards prognostication as an institutionalized experiment based on one of the key myths of modernity – that future events can be known and shaped. The genealogy of long-term forecasts in Poland dates back to pre-war experiences with state planning and transnational transfers of knowledge since 1956. After an outline of its pre-history, this article describes the construction and programmatic ideas of the prognostic system and asks how its functioning affected participants' understandings of the future as a political category. Finally, this article makes the case that this state-run prognostication venture resulted in an amplitude of euphoria followed by frustration regarding future knowledge, which can be understood as an indirect but significant cultural symptom of the emerging political and economic crisis in the Polish People's Republic beginning in 1976. ; p. 277-299 ; 23 cm ; In 1969 an interdisciplinary committee for long-term forecasting was created at the Polish Academy of Sciences. Together with the central planning authorities, statistical offices and every branch of government it constituted a system of prognostication which remained legally in place between 1971 and 1976. This article regards prognostication as an institutionalized experiment based on one of the key myths of modernity – that future events can be known and shaped. The genealogy of long-term forecasts in Poland dates back to pre-war experiences with state planning and transnational transfers of knowledge since 1956. After an outline of its pre-history, this article describes the construction and programmatic ideas of the prognostic system and asks how its functioning affected participants' understandings of the future as a political category. Finally, this article makes the case that this state-run prognostication venture resulted in an amplitude of euphoria followed by frustration regarding future knowledge, which can be understood as an indirect but significant cultural symptom of the emerging political and economic crisis in the Polish People's Republic beginning in 1976. ; s. 277-299 ; 23 cm

Eine monographische Gesamtdarstellung des politischen Systems der Republik Polen suchte man bislang vergebens. In deutscher Sprache lag nichts mit gängigen politologischen Einführungen zu westeuropäischen Staaten oder dem politischen System der Bundesrepublik vor. [1] Dieses Desiderat ist nun behoben. Zwar bleibt auch nach einer Lektüre von Klaus Ziemers "Das politische System Polens. Eine Einführung" die polnische Politik für Überraschungen und Rätsel gut, jedoch ist dies keinesfalls dem Buch sondern vielmehr dem Profil seines Gegenstandes zuzuschreiben. Den Anspruch, die Spezifika der komplexen politischen Wirklichkeiten polnischer Politik verständlicher zu machen, löst das Buch durch eine Darstellung von geradezu enzyklopädischer Genauigkeit und Informationsdichte ein.

Erschienen zu Beginn des Jahres 2016 unternimmt "Democracy in Poland" eine Evaluation der polnischen Demokratie im Hinblick auf die vier im Untertitel genannten Aspekte und beruht auf quantitativen Daten für den Zeitraum von 1989 bis 2011. Das Buch will damit einen Beitrag zur politikwissenschaftlichen Forschungskontroverse über messbare Qualitätskriterien für das gute Funktionieren demokratischer politischer Systeme leisten. [1]

Artykuł przybliża socjologiczne myślenie o przyszłości w warunkach realnego socjalizmu, analizując cztery futurologiczne propozycje teoretyczne, powstałe w Polsce w latach 70. Umieszczone są one w szerokim kontekście ówczesnych debat międzynarodowych, ograniczenia swobody (i wyobraźni) naukowej w monocentrycznym systemie decyzyjnym i oficjalnego dyskursu przywiązanego do marksistowskiej teorii postępu. Analiza tekstów futurologicznych Jana Szczepańskiego, Stefana Nowaka, Waldemara Rolbieckiego i Andrzeja Sicińskiego, powstałych w tak ograniczonych warunkach, ujawnia jednak ich oryginalne propozycje teoretyczne, pokazujące możliwe sposoby sensownego myślenia o przyszłości, redefiniujące pojmowanie historii, podejmujące problem indywidualnego i zbiorowego sprawstwa i granic jego przewidywalności. Tak odczytane, koncepcje te zyskują aktualność we współczesnych dyskusjach o antropocenie, w historycznych badaniach przyszłości czy w socjologii oczekiwań.