Abstract We tested the theory of relative deprivation in the context of the Polish labour market during the post-crisis period from 2009 to 2015. This period witnessed the highest incidence of temporary contracts in the European Union, providing novel evidence on the causal relationship between the type of employment contract and political attitudes. Our findings suggest that temporary workers are more supportive of income redistribution but less supportive of democracy. Additionally, a shift from permanent to temporary contracts among prime-aged employees leads to a decrease in their support for democracy. Although this effect is modest in magnitude, the article points to an important mechanism influencing shifts in political attitudes. Our findings suggest that the effect of temporary employment on political attitudes is more pronounced among socio-demographic groups less accustomed to unstable employment.
In: Wiadomości statystyczne / Glówny Urza̜d Statystyczny, Polskie Towarzystwo Statystyczne: czasopismo Głównego Urze̜du Statystycznego i Polskiego Towarzystwa = The Polish statistician, Band 64, Heft 10, S. 7-35
The aim of this paperis to present the methodology and the results of the estimation of the number of foreigners staying in Poland. Administrative data sources were used in the research. The authors adopted the capture-recapture method based on log-linear models. As a result, the number of foreigners staying in Poland in 2015 and 2016 has been estimated at around 500,000 persons (95% CI: 369,000–724,000) and around 744,000 persons (601,000–943,000), respectively. The study is the first comprehensive analysis of this kind which aims at estimating the number of foreigners in Poland, and thus fitsin the current of research on hard-to-survey populations. It has to be remembered, however, that capture-recapture method requires close observance of its strict rules in order to be effective, which is also discussed in depth in the paper.