Comparisons of Party Identification and Policy Preferences: The Impact of Survey Question Format
In: American journal of political science, Band 37, Heft 3, S. 941
ISSN: 1540-5907
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In: American journal of political science, Band 37, Heft 3, S. 941
ISSN: 1540-5907
In: American journal of political science: AJPS, Band 37, Heft 3, S. 941
ISSN: 0092-5853
In: Public opinion quarterly: journal of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Band 80, Heft 3, S. 597-621
ISSN: 0033-362X
In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 80, Heft 3, S. 597-621
ISSN: 1537-5331
In many post-election surveys, the proportion of respondents who claim to have voted is greater than government-reported turnout rates. These differences have often been attributed to respondent lying (e.g., Burden 2000). In a search for greater accuracy, scholars have replaced respondent self-reports of turnout with government records of their turnout (a.k.a. turnout validation). Some scholars have interpreted "validated" turnout estimates as more accurate than respondent self-reports because "validated" rates tend to be lower than aggregate self-reported rates and tend to be closer to government-reported rates. We explore the viability of turnout validation efforts. We find that several apparently viable methods of matching survey respondents to government records severely underestimate the proportion of Americans who were registered to vote. Matching errors that severely underestimate registration rates also drive down "validated" turnout estimates. As a result, when "validated" turnout estimates appear to be more accurate than self-reports because they produce lower turnout estimates, the apparent accuracy is likely an illusion. Also, among respondents whose self-reports can be validated against government records, the accuracy of self-reports is extremely high. This would not occur if lying was the primary explanation for differences between reported and official turnout rates. These findings challenge the notion that the practice of "turnout validation" offers a means of measuring turnout that is more accurate than survey respondents' self-reports.
In: Political communication: an international journal, Band 11, Heft 4, S. 391-411
ISSN: 1091-7675
In: Political communication, Band 11, Heft 4, S. 391-412
ISSN: 1058-4609
In: Public opinion quarterly: journal of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Band 66, Heft 3, S. 371-403
ISSN: 0033-362X
In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 66, Heft 3, S. 371-403
ISSN: 1537-5331