Agent-based computational modelling: applications in demography, social, economic and environmental sciences ; with 19 tables
In: Contributions to economics
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In: Contributions to economics
In: Rivista diritto ed economia dell'assicurazione 2004,3, Suppl.
In: Quaderni di impresa assicurativa
In: Population and development review, Volume 48, Issue 1, p. 9-30
ISSN: 1728-4457
AbstractScientific ideas on the human population tend to be rooted in a "slow demography" paradigm, which emphasizes an inertial, predictable, self‐contained view of population dynamics, mostly dependent on fertility and mortality. Yet, demography can also move fast. At the country level, it is crucial to empirically assess how fast demography moves by taking migratory movements into account, in addition to fertility and mortality. We discuss these ideas and present new estimates of the speed of population change, that is, country‐level population turnover rates, as well as the share of turnover due to migration, for all countries in the world with available data between 1990 and 2020. Population turnover is inversely related to population size and development, and migratory movements tend to become important factors in shaping demography for both small and highly developed countries. Longitudinally, we analyze annual turnover data for Italy and Germany, documenting the changing speed of population change over time and its determinants. Accepting the "fast and slow" demography perspective has several implications for science and policy, which we discuss.
In: Vienna yearbook of population research, Volume 2006, p. 1-17
ISSN: 1728-5305
In: National Institute economic review: journal of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Volume 194, p. 56-73
ISSN: 1741-3036
This paper documents the fundamental changes in family formation that took place in Europe during the last two decades of the twentieth century, as well as some possible explanations for these changes. First, European youth have postponed key demographic events, and the latest-late pattern of transition to adulthood emerged in the South. Second, lowest-low fertility emerged during the 1990s in the same area, spreading quickly to Central and Eastern Europe. Policies and economic trends, long-standing cultural factors and ideational change interact in shaping change and differences. Macro-level factors in turn interact with micro-level ones to shape outcomes. The new demographic regime of Europe is thus likely to persist.
In: Journal of population research, Volume 18, Issue 2, p. 119-142
ISSN: 1835-9469
In: Universale paperbacks Il Mulino 793
In: Contributions to Economics
Agent-Based Computational Demography (ABCD) aims at starting a new stream of research among social scientists whose interests lie in understanding demographic behaviour. The book takes a micro-demographic (agent-based) perspective and illustrates the potentialities of computer simulation as an aid in theory building. The chapters of the book, written by leading experts either in demography or in agent-based modelling, address several key questions. Why do we need agent-based computational demography? How can ABCD be applied to the study of migrations, family demography, and historical demography? What are the peculiarities of agent-based models as applied to the demography of human populations? ABCD is of interest to all scientists interested in studying demographic behaviour, as well as to computer scientists and modellers who are looking for a promising field of application
In: The American journal of sociology, Volume 123, Issue 5, p. 1296-1340
ISSN: 1537-5390
In: European journal of population: Revue européenne de démographie, Volume 28, Issue 2, p. 119-138
ISSN: 1572-9885
In: CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2646
SSRN
In: Population and environment: a journal of interdisciplinary studies, Volume 29, Issue 2, p. 68-82
ISSN: 1573-7810