Mortality Decline, Impatience and Aggregate Wealth Accumulation with Risk-Sensitive Preferences
In: ETH Risk Center – Working Paper Series No. ETH-RC-14-006
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In: ETH Risk Center – Working Paper Series No. ETH-RC-14-006
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Working paper
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Working paper
In: Revue d'économie politique, Band 111, Heft 4, S. 597-599
ISSN: 2105-2883
The standard literature on the value of life relies on Yaari's (1965) model, whichincludes an implicit assumption of risk neutrality with respect to life duration. Tooverpass this limitation, we extend the theory to a simple variety of nonadditivelyseparable preferences. The enlargement we propose is relevant for the evaluation oflife-saving programs: current practice, we estimate, puts too little weight on mortalityrisk reduction of the young. Our correction exceeds in magnitude that introduced bythe switch from the notion of number of lives saved to the notion of years of life saved.
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The standard literature on the value of life relies on Yaari's (1965) model, whichincludes an implicit assumption of risk neutrality with respect to life duration. Tooverpass this limitation, we extend the theory to a simple variety of nonadditivelyseparable preferences. The enlargement we propose is relevant for the evaluation oflife-saving programs: current practice, we estimate, puts too little weight on mortalityrisk reduction of the young. Our correction exceeds in magnitude that introduced bythe switch from the notion of number of lives saved to the notion of years of life saved.
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In: Journal of political economy, Band 112, Heft 1, S. 240-248
ISSN: 1537-534X
In: The journal of human resources, Band 35, Heft 1, S. 177
ISSN: 1548-8004
In: Journal of risk and uncertainty, Band 48, Heft 2, S. 135-166
ISSN: 1573-0476
In: CCSS Working paper series No. ETH-RC-13-002
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In: IDEI working papers 432
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In: Journal of risk and uncertainty, Band 65, Heft 1, S. 33-56
ISSN: 1573-0476
AbstractWe analyze the impact of risk aversion and ambiguity aversion on the competing demands for annuities and bequeathable savings using a lifecycle recursive utility model. Our main finding is that risk aversion and ambiguity aversion have similar effects: an increase in either of the two reduces annuity demand and enhances bond holdings. We obtain this unequivocal result in the flexible intertemporal framework of Hayashi and Miao (2011) by assuming that the agent's preferences are monotone with respect to first-order stochastic dominance. Our contribution is then twofold. First, from a decision-theoretic point of view, we show that monotonicity allows one to obtain clear-cut results about the respective roles of risk and ambiguity aversion. Second, from the insurance point of view, our result that the demand for annuities decreases with risk and ambiguity aversion stands in contrast with what is usually found with other insurance products. As such, it may help explain the low annuitization level observed in the data.
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In: The Canadian journal of economics: the journal of the Canadian Economics Association = Revue canadienne d'économique, Band 44, Heft 1, S. 273-289
ISSN: 1540-5982
Abstract This paper studies the normative problem of redistribution between individuals who differ in their lifespans. We discuss aspects related to the objective function and argue that aversion to multiperiod inequality should be taken into account. Then, we study the properties of the social optimum both with full information and with asymmetric information. We highlight the role of aversion to multiperiod inequality and show that it has substantial consequences on the design of Social Security schemes. In particular, we show that for a low (resp. high) aversion to multiperiod inequality, a negative (resp. positive) implicit tax rate on continued activity is desirable.