Suchergebnisse

The UK Government is seeking views on bringing forward the end to the sale of new petrol, diesel and hybrid cars and vans from 2040 to 2035, or earlier if a faster transition appears feasible. Government is asking for views on: 1. the phase out date, 2. the definition of what should be phased out, 3. barriers to achieving the above proposals, 4. the impact of these ambitions on different sectors of industry and society, and 5. what measures are required by government and others to achieve the earlier phase out date. UKERC and other research groups have undertaken a range of research relevant to this inquiry over the last few years. The predominant focus has been the longer term transformation of the transport-energy system with particular focus on the electrification of light duty vehicles. This response takes a 'systemic' approach across the transport and electricity systems to how long term goals might be met and uses this to inform analysis of decisions on short to medium term targets. This consultation and impending publication of the 'Transport Decarbonisation Plan' mean now is a good time to consider the implications of a 'net zero' world that requires emissions to decrease faster and further than before.

This is an Open Access Article. It is published by Springer under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Licence (CC BY). Full details of this licence are available at: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ ; It is well-known that societal energy consumption and pollutant emissions from transport are influenced not only by technical efficiency, mode choice and the carbon/pollutant content of energy but also by lifestyle choices and socio-cultural factors. However, only a few attempts have been made to integrate all of these insights into systems models of future transport energy demand or even scenario analysis. This paper addresses this gap in research and practice by presenting the development and use of quantitative scenarios using an integrated transport-energy-environment systems model to explore four contrasting futures for Scotland that compare transport-related 'lifestyle' changes and socio-cultural factors against a transition pathway focussing on transport electrification and the phasing out of conventionally fuelled vehicles using a socio-technical approach. We found that radical demand and supply strategies can have important synergies and trade-offs between reducing life cycle greenhouse gas and air quality emissions. Lifestyle change alone can have a comparable and earlier effect on transport carbon and air quality emissions than a transition to EVs with no lifestyle change. Yet, the detailed modelling of four contrasting futures suggests that both strategies have limits to meeting legislated carbon budgets, which may only be achieved with a combined strategy of radical change in travel patterns, mode and vehicle choice, vehicle occupancy and on-road driving behaviour with high electrification and phasing out of conventional petrol and diesel road vehicles. The newfound urgency of 'cleaning up our act' since the Paris Agreement and Dieselgate scandal suggests that we cannot just wait for the 'technology fix'.

AbstractIndicators of the public provision of old age social care are routinely recorded in England and have been used for diverse purposes including performance monitoring. Despite long‐term policy guidance promoting more homogeneous service provision, large variations can still be observed between local authorities (the providers of state‐funded social care). Our aim is to better understand such variations in a small selection of key aggregate indicators. Drawing on multiple data sources and pursuing a two‐step strategy, we first assess the explanatory power of a set of structural predictors and then add to the models a set of specific care management 'process' predictors. We find that structural factors beyond the control of local authorities explain a considerable share of the observable variation. The additional explanatory power of care management characteristics is small in comparison. Therefore, our findings suggest that caution must be taken when aggregate indicators of service provision are used for performance monitoring purposes, as a degree of autonomy over outcomes may be implied which in light of the empirical evidence is unrealistic. Past attempts to influence the aggregate pattern of service provision – apparently seeking greater 'territorial justice'– are likely to have had adverse implications for service users and the uniformity of service delivery across England. Questions are raised about the adequate role of central government in a policy environment characterized by longstanding local government responsibility.

ABSTRACTObjectivesThe national oesophago-gastric cancer audit evaluates the care given to patients with OG cancer diagnosed in England and Wales, identifying areas for local services to improve and so achieve better patient outcomes. While the audit follows a standard approach by collecting a core dataset, it extends this by linking to other national databases in order to (1) reduce the burden of data collection, (2) add data that could not otherwise be obtained, (3) verify the quality of audit data. This presentation will provide an overview of the modern approach to national clinical audits and introduce anticipated future developments.
ApproachThe data collected by hospitals and submitted to the audit is expanded by linkage to radiotherapy data (RTDS), date of death from the Office for National Statistics and administrative hospital admission data (HES). The linked data enables the Audit to: (1) examine whether radiotherapy regimens used in definitive oncology comply with guideline recommendations, using dosage information drawn from RTDS; (2) publish comparative short-term survival figures for NHS trusts and surgeons using ONS date of death; and (3) assess the quality of data submitted from hospitals by comparing coded procedural information in HES and the audit dataset.
ResultsThe analysis of the linked data has led to several important audit findings, namely: (1) Access to RTDS data confirmed reasonable compliance with official guidelines on recommended radiotherapy dosing schedules. (2) Linked mortality data has provided robust and credible estimates of surgical outcomes and is a critical output to NHS trusts and surgeons, as well as the wider public. Our analysis has highlighted a gradual decline in post-operative mortality. (3) Linkage of audit and HES data identified gaps in the recording of endoscopic stenting, with many procedures not being submitted by participating trusts. These diverse results underline the usefulness of linked data in revealing a more complete picture of the care received by OG cancer patients.
ConclusionLinked data has become integral for the successful implementation of a national clinical audit, supplementing the core dataset with information that would otherwise be unavailable or difficult and costly to collect. Linkage enhances the audit's ability to assess health services' compliance with professional standards and to give service providers the opportunity to benchmark their performance. Future developments are expected to expand on this by including primary care service use before diagnosis.