'Career Preference', 'Transients' and 'Converts': A Study of Social Workers' Retention in Child Protection and Welfare
In: The British journal of social work, Volume 41, Issue 3, p. 520-538
ISSN: 1468-263X
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In: The British journal of social work, Volume 41, Issue 3, p. 520-538
ISSN: 1468-263X
In: Journal of social history, Volume 35, Issue 3, p. 760-761
ISSN: 1527-1897
In: Maritime monographs and reports 4
In: Springer eBook Collection
For the past 30 years international monetary economists have believed that exchange rate models cannot outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting as a result of the 1983 paper written by Richard Meese and Kenneth Rogoff. Marking the culmination of their extensive research into the Meese-Rogoff puzzle, Moosa and Burns challenge the orthodoxy by demonstrating that the naïve random walk model can be outperformed by exchange rate models when forecasting accuracy is measured by metrics that do not rely exclusively on the magnitude of forecasting error. The authors present compelling evidence, supported by their own measure: the 'adjusted root mean square error', to finally solve the Meese-Rogoff puzzle and provide a new alternative. Demystifying the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle will appeal to academics with an interest in exchange rate economics and international monetary economics. It will also be a useful resource for central banks and financial institutions.
In 2011 the Australian Government funded the Dementia Collaborative Research Centre–Assessment and Better Care (DCRC-ABC) to develop Behaviour Management, A Guide to Good Practice, Managing BPSD. We systematically reviewed academic and grey literature to examine the evidence for psychosocial, environmental and biological interventions for managing BPSD. Intervention studies were critically evaluated to determine the strength of the evidence. The document provides guidance for the Australian Government funded Dementia Behaviour Management Advisory Services (DBMAS). Additional considerations for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples and those from Culturally and Linguistically Diverse (CALD) backgrounds were incorporated. Training packages support the implementation of the evidence and practice-based principles of the Guide.
BASE
In: The Journal of sex research, Volume 43, Issue 4, p. 297-306
ISSN: 1559-8519
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted routine hospital services globally. This study estimated the total number of adult elective operations that would be cancelled worldwide during the 12 weeks of peak disruption due to COVID-19. Methods: A global expert response study was conducted to elicit projections for the proportion of elective surgery that would be cancelled or postponed during the 12 weeks of peak disruption. A Bayesian β-regression model was used to estimate 12-week cancellation rates for 190 countries. Elective surgical case-mix data, stratified by specialty and indication (surgery for cancer versus benign disease), were determined. This case mix was applied to country-level surgical volumes. The 12-week cancellation rates were then applied to these figures to calculate the total number of cancelled operations. Results: The best estimate was that 28 404 603 operations would be cancelled or postponed during the peak 12 weeks of disruption due to COVID-19 (2 367 050 operations per week). Most would be operations for benign disease (90·2 per cent, 25 638 922 of 28 404 603). The overall 12-week cancellation rate would be 72·3 per cent. Globally, 81·7 per cent of operations for benign conditions (25 638 922 of 31 378 062), 37·7 per cent of cancer operations (2 324 070 of 6 162 311) and 25·4 per cent of elective caesarean sections (441 611 of 1 735 483) would be cancelled or postponed. If countries increased their normal surgical volume by 20 per cent after the pandemic, it would take a median of 45 weeks to clear the backlog of operations resulting from COVID-19 disruption. Conclusion: A very large number of operations will be cancelled or postponed owing to disruption caused by COVID-19. Governments should mitigate against this major burden on patients by developing recovery plans and implementing strategies to restore surgical activity safely.
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