Suchergebnisse

The concept of a just low-carbon transition is gaining academic and political traction. However, the question of how can a just transition be achieved and which policy tools are important remains to be addressed in a comprehensive way in the ecological macroeconomics literature. We aim to close this gap by scrutinizing the path towards a just transition and the role a wide range of potential policies play therein. We do so by applying an extended scenario discovery approach to a revised version of the EUROGREEN model (D'Alessandro et al., 2020), using random forest algorithms to identify the most relevant single policies. Our results underline a trade-off between emissions and inequality, via growth, implying a somewhat narrow path towards a just transition. However, certain policy mixes are able to inhibit this trade-off allowing for a just transition featuring limited growth. Here, the expansion of renewable energy supply and policies directly addressing the income distribution are particularly prevalent. In general, there is little common ground between policies aimed at emissions and inequality, calling for a wide range of coherent policies when stirring the economy towards a just transition. ; For a full description of the first version of the EUROGREEN model see: D'Alessandro, S., Cieplinski, A., Distefano, T., & Dittmer, K. (2020). Feasible alternatives to green growth. Nature Sustainability, 3(4), 329-335, DOI:10.5281/zenodo.3624944. Other Grants not in Open-AIRE: 1) financial support from P. Lamberts (member of the Greens|EFA group in the European Parliament). 2) funding from the Ecoesione project from the Italian Ministry for Ecological Transition, as part of the National Sustainable Development Strategy; 3) support of a fellowship from La Caixa Foundation (ID 100010434); the fellowship code is LCF/BQ/DI20/11780024.