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Productivity Growth in the English National Health Service from 1998/1999 to 2013/2014
Productivity growth is a key measure against which National Health Service (NHS) achievements are judged. We measure NHS productivity growth as a set of paired year‐on‐year comparisons from 1998/1999–1999/2000 through 2012/2013–2013/2014, which are converted into a chained index that summarises productivity growth over the entire period. Our measure is as comprehensive as data permit and accounts for the multitude of diverse outputs and inputs involved in the production process and for regular revisions to the data used to quantify outputs and inputs. Over the full‐time period, NHS output increased by 88.96% and inputs by 81.58%, delivering overall total factor productivity growth of 4.07%. Productivity growth was negative during the first two terms of Blair's government, with average yearly growth rate of −1.01% per annum (pa) during the first term (to 2000/2001) and −1.49% pa during the second term (2000/2001–2004/2005). Productivity growth was positive under Blair's third term (2004/2005–2007/2008) at 1.41% pa and under the Brown government (2007/2008–2010/2011), averaging 1.13% pa. Productivity growth remained positive under the Coalition (2010/2011–2013/2014), averaging 1.56% pa. © 2016 The Authors Health Economics Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
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Productivity growth in the English National Health Service from 1998/1999 to 2013/2014
Productivity growth is a key measure against which National Health Service (NHS) achievements are judged. We measure NHS productivity growth as a set of paired year-on-year comparisons from 1998/1999–1999/2000 through 2012/2013– 2013/2014, which are converted into a chained index that summarises productivity growth over the entire period. Our measure is as comprehensive as data permit and accounts for the multitude of diverse outputs and inputs involved in the production process and for regular revisions to the data used to quantify outputs and inputs. Over the full-time period, NHS output increased by 88:96% and inputs by 81:58%, delivering overall total factor productivity growth of 4:07%. Productivity growth was negative during the first two terms of Blair's government, with average yearly growth rate of 1:01% per annum (pa) during the first term (to 2000/2001) and 1:49% pa during the second term (2000/2001– 2004/2005). Productivity growth was positive under Blair's third term (2004/2005–2007/2008) at 1:41% pa and under the Brown government (2007/2008–2010/2011), averaging 1:13% pa. Productivity growth remained positive under the Coalition (2010/2011–2013/2014), averaging 1:56% pa.
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Health, policy and geography: Insights from a multi-level modelling approach☆
Improving the health and wellbeing of citizens ranks highly on the agenda of most governments. Policy action to enhance health and wellbeing can be targeted at a range of geographical levels and in England the focus has tended to shift away from the national level to smaller areas, such as communities and neighbourhoods. Our focus is to identify the potential for targeting policy interventions at the most appropriate geographical levels in order to enhance health and wellbeing. The rationale is that where variations in health and wellbeing indicators are larger, there may be greater potential for policy intervention targeted at that geographical level to have an impact on the outcomes of interest, compared with a strategy of targeting policy at those levels where relative variations are smaller. We use a multi-level regression approach to identify the degree of variation that exists in a set of health indicators at each level, taking account of the geographical hierarchical organisation of public sector organisations. We find that for each indicator, the proportion of total residual variance is greatest at smaller geographical areas. We also explore the variations in health indicators within a hierarchical level, but across the geographical areas for which public sector organisations are responsible. We show that it is feasible to identify a sub-set of organisations for which unexplained variation in health indicators is significantly greater relative to their counterparts. We demonstrate that adopting a geographical perspective to analyse the variation in indicators of health at different levels offers a potentially powerful analytical tool to signal where public sector organisations, faced increasingly with many competing demands, should target their policy efforts. This is relevant not only to the English context but also to other countries where responsibilities for health and wellbeing are being devolved to localities and communities.
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Against All Odds: The Contribution of the Healthcare Sector to Productivity. Evidence from Italy and UK from 2004 to 2011
In: CEIS Working Paper No. 418
SSRN
Working paper
Disseminating findings from the Data Analysis with Privacy Protection for Epidemiological Research (DAPPER) workshop: IJPDS (2017) Issue 1, Vol 1:281 Proceedings of the IPDLN Conference (August 2016)
In: International journal of population data science: (IJPDS), Band 1, Heft 1
ISSN: 2399-4908
ABSTRACT
ObjectivesThe effective exploitation of what are often called big data is increasingly important. They provide the evidence in evidence-based health care and underpin scientific progress in many domains including social/economic policy. Typically, an optimal analysis involves working directly with microdata; i.e. the detailed data relating to each individual in the dataset. But there are many ethico-legal and other governance restrictions on physically sharing microdata. Furthermore, researchers or institutions may have an extensive intellectual property investment in complex microdata and although keen for other researchers to analyse their data they may not wish to give them a physical copy. These restrictions can discourage the use of optimum approaches to analysing pivotal data and slow scientific progress. Data science groups across the world are exploring privacy-protected approaches to analysing microdata without having to physically share the data.
ApproachA two day international workshop was arranged focussing on privacy protected approaches to data analysis – particularly federated analysis where raw data remain at their original site of collection. The workshop considered the range of approaches that exist, and those that are currently being developed. It explored the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and challenges associated with these methods and identified situations where specific approaches have a particularly important role. The workshop included a number of practical sessions where potential users could watch demonstrations of the various approaches in action and run analyses themselves.
ResultsThe Data Analysis with Privacy Protection for Epidemiological Research (DAPPER) workshop was held 22-23rd August 2016, Bristol. We report back to the broader community on the outcomes of this workshop that focussed on exploring current approaches, tools and technical solutions that facilitate sensitive data to be shared and analysed.
ConclusionsThe workshop has helped map out key opportunities and challenges and assisted potential users, developers and other stakeholders (e.g. funders/journals) to recognise the strengths and weaknesses of different privacy protected analytic approaches. The workshop will encourage further methodological work in this field and better informed application of existing methods.
The impact of COVID-19 on mental health service utilisation in England
In: SSM - Mental health, Band 3, S. 100227
ISSN: 2666-5603
Response to COVID-19: was Italy (un)prepared?
On 31st January 2020, the Italian cabinet declared a 6-month national emergency after the detection of the first two COVID-19 positive cases in Rome, two Chinese tourists travelling from Wuhan. Between then and the total lockdown introduced on 22nd March 2020 Italy was hit by an unprecedented crisis. In addition to being the first European country to be heavily swept by the COVID-19 pandemic, Italy was the first to introduce stringent lockdown measures. The SARS-CoV-2 outbreak and related COVID-19 pandemic have been the worst public health challenge endured in recent history by Italy. Two months since the beginning of the first wave, the estimated excess deaths in Lombardy, the hardest hit region in the country, reached a peak of more than 23,000 deaths. The extraordinary pressures exerted on the Italian Servizio Sanitario Nazionale (SSN) inevitably leads to questions about its preparedness and the appropriateness and effectiveness of responses implemented at both national and regional levels. The aim of the paper is to critically review the Italian response to the COVID-19 crisis spanning from the first early acute phases of the emergency (March-May 2020) to the relative stability of the epidemiological situation just before the second outbreak in October 2020.
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Response to COVID-19: Was Italy (un)prepared?
In this paper, we aim to critically review the Italian response to the COVID-19 crisis spanning from the early acute phases of the emergency (March-May 2020) to the relative stability of the epidemiological situation just before the second outbreak in October 2020. In what follows, we first briefly describe how the Italian Servizio Sanitario Nazionale (SSN, National Health Services) is organised and the preparedness of the SSN before the epidemic started. Second, we describe the governance of the emergency set up by the government. Finally, we attempt a first assessment of the effects that the COVID-19 crisis had on the Italian healthcare system, separately addressing supply-side and demand-side considerations.
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Corona-regionalism? Differences in regional responses to COVID-19 in Italy
The paper discusses the responses to the COVID-19 crisis in the acute phase of the first wave of the pandemic (February-May 2020) by different Italian regions in Italy, which has a decentralised healthcare system. We consider five regions (Lombardy, Veneto, Emilia-Romagna, Umbria, Apulia) which are located in the north, centre and south of Italy. These five regions differ both in their healthcare systems and in the extent to which they were hit by the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic. We investigate their different responses to COVID-19 reflecting on seven management factors: (1) monitoring, (2) learning, (3) decision-making, (4) coordinating, (5) communicating, (6) leading, and (7) recovering capacity. In light of these factors, we discuss the analogies and differences among the regions and their different institutional choices.
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A New Approach To Measuring Health System Output and Productivity
In: National Institute economic review: journal of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Band 200, Heft 1, S. 105-116
ISSN: 1741-3036
A New Approach to Measuring Health System Output and Productivity
In: National Institute economic review: journal of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Band 200, S. 105-117
ISSN: 1741-3036
This paper considers methods to measure output and productivity in the delivery of health services, with an application to NHS hospital sector. It first develops a theoretical framework for measuring quality adjusted outputs and then considers how this might be implemented given available data. Measures of input use are discussed and productivity growth estimates are presented for the period 1998/9-2003/4. The paper concludes that available data are unlikely fully to capture quality improvements.
Dismantling the NHS?: Evaluating the Impact of Health Reforms
This book provides an in-depth analysis of the NHS reforms ushered in by UK Coalition Government under the 2012 Health and Social Care Act, arguably the most extensive reforms ever introduced in the NHS. Contributions from leading researchers from the UK, the US and New Zealand examine the reforms in the contexts of national health policy, commissioning and service provision, governance and others. Collectively, the chapters presents a broader assessment of the trajectory of health reforms in the context of marketisation, the rise of health consumerism and the revelation of medical scandals. This is essential reading for those studying the NHS, those who work in it, and those who seek to gain a better understanding of this key public service