The 2016 presidential election: the causes and consequences of a political earthquake
In: Voting, elections, and the political process
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In: Voting, elections, and the political process
By bringing together two bodies of literature - the presidency and political parties - this book makes two important contributions. First, it addresses the gap between presidential public actions and the perceived limited effect they have on public opinion. By examining the short-term effect of speeches of presidents on the entire public, the long-term effect of the speeches on their partisans, and on the reputations of their parties for handling policy, the book shows that presidents are effective leaders of public opinion. Second, the book adds to the scholarly interest in how political parties are viewed by the electorate in terms of policy substance. It suggests that Americans possess coherent reputations of the parties for handling policy challenges, and that these reputations contribute to the party identifications of Americans. The effect of presidents on the reputations and, in turn, party attachments position them as leaders of the party system.
By bringing together two bodies of literature - the presidency and political parties - this book makes two important contributions. First, it addresses the gap between presidential public actions and the perceived limited effect they have on public opinion. By examining the short-term effect of speeches of presidents on the entire public, the long-term effect of the speeches on their partisans, and on the reputations of their parties for handling policy, the book shows that presidents are effective leaders of public opinion. Second, the book adds to the scholarly interest in how political parties are viewed by the electorate in terms of policy substance. It suggests that Americans possess coherent reputations of the parties for handling policy challenges, and that these reputations contribute to the party identifications of Americans. The effect of presidents on the reputations and, in turn, party attachments position them as leaders of the party system
In: Presidential studies quarterly: official publication of the Center for the Study of the Presidency, Band 49, Heft 4, S. 798-826
ISSN: 1741-5705
This article builds on the satisficing and attribution theories to propose a model of presidential approval where issue priorities moderate the association between presidents' policy performance evaluations and overall approval. The data include aggregate time‐series and cross‐sectional individual‐level data of presidential approval, presidential performance evaluations, and issue priorities from Reagan to Obama. The results demonstrate that people give more weight to the issues they prioritize, and therefore their evaluation of the president's performance on those issues matters more in their overall assessment of the president. The impact of issue priorities on approval varies by topic but is not further moderated by party affiliation. The results advance our understanding of the individual determinants of presidential approval and the role that issue priorities play in public opinion.
Presidents, public opinion, and the political parties -- Assessing presidential communications -- The effect of presidential rhetoric on the attentive audience -- The short term effect of presidential rhetoric -- Presidential leadership of partisan opinion -- The public agenda and the reputations of the parties for handling policy -- Presidential rhetoric and the public agenda -- Presidential rhetoric and party reputations for handling policy -- The interplay of macrohandling and macropartisanship -- The party politics of presidential rhetoric
"This book demonstrates that presidents are successful leaders of public opinion - once we recognize the dynamics of public opinion, and the partisan nature of the presidents' activities and public response to them. Presidents have a significant advantage over every other political actor in reaching and affecting the views and preferences of Americans"--
In: International journal of public opinion research, Band 25, Heft 1, S. 1-22
ISSN: 1471-6909
Examining American attitudes toward Israel, this article demonstrates that religious beliefs and elite polarization both play a significant role in predicting public opinion about foreign policy. It is argued that the growing gap in partisan support for Israel is explained by two related transformations in the American political parties: the emergence of new religious cleavages and the polarization of the political parties. Using a time series of public attitudes toward Israel since 1967, it is revealed that the partisan support is strongly explained by religious preferences, that these religious preferences have aligned with partisan identification in the 1990s, and that the polarization between Democratic and Republican elites in recent years has further distanced the attitudes of Republican and Democratic identifiers. Adapted from the source document.
In: Political research quarterly: PRQ ; official journal of the Western Political Science Association and other associations, Band 66, Heft 2
ISSN: 1938-274X
This paper examines the direct, short-term effect of presidential communications on policy preferences. Using panel studies and post-speech surveys, I demonstrate that following a speech, public opinion changes in the direction of the president. This effect is strongest among people who watch the president. While the number of people who tune to the president may be small, indeed getting smaller over time, it is composed of people who participate in the political process, are more likely to affect it, and therefore are of interest to opinion leaders. The findings reveal that presidents are effective leaders of public opinion. Adapted from the source document.
In: Political research quarterly: PRQ ; official journal of Western Political Science Association, Pacific Northwest Political Science Association, Southern California Political Science Association, Northern California Political Science Association, Band 66, Heft 2, S. 336-351
ISSN: 1065-9129
In: Political research quarterly: PRQ ; official journal of the Western Political Science Association and other associations, Band 66, Heft 2, S. 336-351
ISSN: 1938-274X
This paper examines the direct, short-term effect of presidential communications on policy preferences. Using panel studies and post-speech surveys, I demonstrate that following a speech, public opinion changes in the direction of the president. This effect is strongest among people who watch the president. While the number of people who tune to the president may be small, indeed getting smaller over time, it is composed of people who participate in the political process, are more likely to affect it, and therefore are of interest to opinion leaders. The findings reveal that presidents are effective leaders of public opinion.
In: Presidential studies quarterly: official publication of the Center for the Study of the Presidency, Band 42, Heft 1, S. 208-209
ISSN: 1741-5705
In: Presidential studies quarterly, Band 42, Heft 1, S. 208-210
ISSN: 0360-4918
In: The Forum: a journal of applied research in contemporary politics, Band 9, Heft 4
ISSN: 1540-8884
In: APSA 2009 Toronto Meeting Paper
SSRN
Working paper
In: APSA 2009 Toronto Meeting Paper
SSRN
Working paper