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Forging the Sword: Conventional U.S. Army Forces Advising Host Nation (HN) Forces
In: Armor: the professional development bulletin of the armor branch, Band 115, Heft 5, S. 40-44
ISSN: 0004-2420
The Lancaster Index:A unique and indispensable defense and security research tool
In: Defense analysis, Band 14, Heft 2, S. 195-197
ISSN: 1470-3602
The Lancaster Index: A Unique and Indispensable Defense and Security Research Tool
In: Defense analysis, Band 14, Heft 2, S. 195-198
ISSN: 0743-0175
Participation in Democratic Citizenship Education
In: Social studies: a periodical for teachers and administrators, Band 81, Heft 5, S. 206-209
ISSN: 2152-405X
Estimating equilibrium real interest rates in real-time
In: Discussion paper
In: Series 1, Studies of the Economic Research Centre 32/2004
World Affairs Online
Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks
In: Research working papers 02,05
Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting?
In: Research working paper 00,05
The Importance of Trend Inflation in the Search for Missing Disinflation
In: Economic commentary, S. 1-6
ISSN: 0428-1276
Some inflation-forecasting models based on the Phillips curve suggest that there should have been more disinflation since the Great Recession than has shown up in core PCE or core CPI data. One way researchers have found to make the disinflation disappear is to remove the long-term unemployed from the overall unemployment measure that is typically used in the models. This analysis shows that the disinflation arises in such models because of the way they account for the long-term trend in inflation. Under a different measurement of trend inflation, which historical forecast accuracy suggests should be preferable, the recent path of inflation can be reasonably well explained by an inflation-forecasting model that incorporates the overall unemployment rate.
Policy Rules in Macroeconomic Forecasting Models
In: Economic commentary, S. 1-6
ISSN: 0428-1276
This Commentary describes how some of the Cleveland Fed's macroeconomic forecasting models have been modified to use a Taylor rule for monetary policy. After briefly describing the Taylor rule implementation, the article shows that the Taylor rule included in one of our models successfully captures the course of monetary policy in the most recent episode of policy tightening.
Train for the Fight
In: Armor: the professional development bulletin of the armor branch, Band 113, Heft 3, S. 32-34
ISSN: 0004-2420
Employment Fluctuations in U.S. Regions and Industries: The Roles of National, Region‐Specific, and Industry‐Specific Shocks
In: Journal of labor economics: JOLE, Band 16, Heft 1, S. 202-229
ISSN: 1537-5307
The Defence Industry in East-Central Europe: Restructuring and Conversion
In: Europe Asia studies, Band 50, Heft 5, S. 919
ISSN: 0966-8136