International audience ; The purpose of this paper is to explore the possible implications for national representation and for the principle of vote equality, of the 2018 constitutional National Assembly reform project. This could, among other changes, lead to a 30% decrease in the number of national parliamentarians in France (i.e. from 577 to 404). The study does not follow the classic lines of electoral geography, which generally deals with gerrymandering, spatial analysis of the vote, or its explanation using sociodemographic or geographic variables. Our objective is rather to identify and, applying spatial analysis and political science, understand the potential impacts of a decrease in the number of MPs (Members of Parliament) on national representation. Using GIS analyses, we first demonstrate that the present electoral boundaries produce major inequalities in population and territory representation. For example, with the current 577 MPs the inhabitants of certain legislative districts are better represented, as they are up to 2.34 times less numerous in designating their local MP. Moreover, the size of the current constituencies can vary from 3 to 5589 km². With the planned decrease in the number of MPs, the issue is to know if it will widen these demographic and territorial representation inequalities. As the way to allocate the new 404 MPs in the national territory has not been defined yet, we explore the impacts of different allocation methods which more or less take into account the current constraints for the definition of electoral boundaries (for example the fact that each "department" must have a parliamentary seat). More particularly, the two classic paradigms for allocating seats are compared: the largest remainder method, and the highest averages or Sainte-Laguë method. The first, based on proportionality, is enshrined in the French Constitution, while the second is based on a divisor method. We show how these two approaches do not target the same objective, and how their impacts on ...
International audience ; The purpose of this paper is to explore the possible implications for national representation and for the principle of vote equality, of the 2018 constitutional National Assembly reform project. This could, among other changes, lead to a 30% decrease in the number of national parliamentarians in France (i.e. from 577 to 404). The study does not follow the classic lines of electoral geography, which generally deals with gerrymandering, spatial analysis of the vote, or its explanation using sociodemographic or geographic variables. Our objective is rather to identify and, applying spatial analysis and political science, understand the potential impacts of a decrease in the number of MPs (Members of Parliament) on national representation. Using GIS analyses, we first demonstrate that the present electoral boundaries produce major inequalities in population and territory representation. For example, with the current 577 MPs the inhabitants of certain legislative districts are better represented, as they are up to 2.34 times less numerous in designating their local MP. Moreover, the size of the current constituencies can vary from 3 to 5589 km². With the planned decrease in the number of MPs, the issue is to know if it will widen these demographic and territorial representation inequalities. As the way to allocate the new 404 MPs in the national territory has not been defined yet, we explore the impacts of different allocation methods which more or less take into account the current constraints for the definition of electoral boundaries (for example the fact that each "department" must have a parliamentary seat). More particularly, the two classic paradigms for allocating seats are compared: the largest remainder method, and the highest averages or Sainte-Laguë method. The first, based on proportionality, is enshrined in the French Constitution, while the second is based on a divisor method. We show how these two approaches do not target the same objective, and how their impacts on ...
International audience ; The purpose of this paper is to explore the possible implications for national representation and for the principle of vote equality, of the 2018 constitutional National Assembly reform project. This could, among other changes, lead to a 30% decrease in the number of national parliamentarians in France (i.e. from 577 to 404). The study does not follow the classic lines of electoral geography, which generally deals with gerrymandering, spatial analysis of the vote, or its explanation using sociodemographic or geographic variables. Our objective is rather to identify and, applying spatial analysis and political science, understand the potential impacts of a decrease in the number of MPs (Members of Parliament) on national representation. Using GIS analyses, we first demonstrate that the present electoral boundaries produce major inequalities in population and territory representation. For example, with the current 577 MPs the inhabitants of certain legislative districts are better represented, as they are up to 2.34 times less numerous in designating their local MP. Moreover, the size of the current constituencies can vary from 3 to 5589 km². With the planned decrease in the number of MPs, the issue is to know if it will widen these demographic and territorial representation inequalities. As the way to allocate the new 404 MPs in the national territory has not been defined yet, we explore the impacts of different allocation methods which more or less take into account the current constraints for the definition of electoral boundaries (for example the fact that each "department" must have a parliamentary seat). More particularly, the two classic paradigms for allocating seats are compared: the largest remainder method, and the highest averages or Sainte-Laguë method. The first, based on proportionality, is enshrined in the French Constitution, while the second is based on a divisor method. We show how these two approaches do not target the same objective, and how their impacts on ...
International audience ; The purpose of this paper is to explore the possible implications for national representation and for the principle of vote equality, of the 2018 constitutional National Assembly reform project. This could, among other changes, lead to a 30% decrease in the number of national parliamentarians in France (i.e. from 577 to 404). The study does not follow the classic lines of electoral geography, which generally deals with gerrymandering, spatial analysis of the vote, or its explanation using sociodemographic or geographic variables. Our objective is rather to identify and, applying spatial analysis and political science, understand the potential impacts of a decrease in the number of MPs (Members of Parliament) on national representation. Using GIS analyses, we first demonstrate that the present electoral boundaries produce major inequalities in population and territory representation. For example, with the current 577 MPs the inhabitants of certain legislative districts are better represented, as they are up to 2.34 times less numerous in designating their local MP. Moreover, the size of the current constituencies can vary from 3 to 5589 km². With the planned decrease in the number of MPs, the issue is to know if it will widen these demographic and territorial representation inequalities. As the way to allocate the new 404 MPs in the national territory has not been defined yet, we explore the impacts of different allocation methods which more or less take into account the current constraints for the definition of electoral boundaries (for example the fact that each "department" must have a parliamentary seat). More particularly, the two classic paradigms for allocating seats are compared: the largest remainder method, and the highest averages or Sainte-Laguë method. The first, based on proportionality, is enshrined in the French Constitution, while the second is based on a divisor method. We show how these two approaches do not target the same objective, and how their impacts on ...
International audience ; The purpose of this paper is to explore the possible implications for national representation and for the principle of vote equality, of the 2018 constitutional National Assembly reform project. This could, among other changes, lead to a 30% decrease in the number of national parliamentarians in France (i.e. from 577 to 404). The study does not follow the classic lines of electoral geography, which generally deals with gerrymandering, spatial analysis of the vote, or its explanation using sociodemographic or geographic variables. Our objective is rather to identify and, applying spatial analysis and political science, understand the potential impacts of a decrease in the number of MPs (Members of Parliament) on national representation. Using GIS analyses, we first demonstrate that the present electoral boundaries produce major inequalities in population and territory representation. For example, with the current 577 MPs the inhabitants of certain legislative districts are better represented, as they are up to 2.34 times less numerous in designating their local MP. Moreover, the size of the current constituencies can vary from 3 to 5589 km². With the planned decrease in the number of MPs, the issue is to know if it will widen these demographic and territorial representation inequalities. As the way to allocate the new 404 MPs in the national territory has not been defined yet, we explore the impacts of different allocation methods which more or less take into account the current constraints for the definition of electoral boundaries (for example the fact that each "department" must have a parliamentary seat). More particularly, the two classic paradigms for allocating seats are compared: the largest remainder method, and the highest averages or Sainte-Laguë method. The first, based on proportionality, is enshrined in the French Constitution, while the second is based on a divisor method. We show how these two approaches do not target the same objective, and how their impacts on ...
International audience ; After different failures observed in the use of church tombs for alerting the population during the early 1930 and under a passive defense following the Second World War, the French government have decided to deploy the National Alert Network (NAN) since 1954. The signal sent by the sirens was intended to interrupt all the social activities, and the sound was likely to induce "adapted" behavior by the concerned authorities but also by the inhabitants. However, the NAN remains often not used to alert population, as recalled after the flash floods observed in the Aude basin river the 2018, October, 15th. Thus, this article involves to a further assessment and evaluation of supports and drawbacks of the NAN face to flash floods. Results obtained in the department of Vaucluse confirms that most of the sirens are not located in sensitive areas, thus we cannot hope to use such notifications for alerting the populations. Several improvements are explored, namely because the government has decided to replace this NAN with a new system, SAIP (System of Alert and Information for the Population), whose deployment began at the metropolitan scale in 2017 and whose operationality is expected for 2022. ; Depuis 1954, sous couvert d'une défense passive post-Seconde Guerre Mondiale, et pour pallier les défaillances d'utilisation des tocsins des églises pendant les inondations de 1930, l'État a déployé en France le RNA (Réseau National d'Alerte), composé essentiellement de sirènes. Le signal associé était destiné à interrompre toutes les activités sociales, et il était censé induire un comportement « approprié » de la part des autorités et des habitants concernés pour face à un danger, quelle qu'en soit la nature. Mais au fil des années, le RNA est devenu désuet et vieillissant et dans la majorité des cas, l'hésitation et les incertitudes sur les évolutions attendues des aléas en cours conduisent plus les autorités à une inaction plus qu'à une réelle réactivité. Pour autant, les sirènes restent l'outil ...
International audience ; After different failures observed in the use of church tombs for alerting the population during the early 1930 and under a passive defense following the Second World War, the French government have decided to deploy the National Alert Network (NAN) since 1954. The signal sent by the sirens was intended to interrupt all the social activities, and the sound was likely to induce "adapted" behavior by the concerned authorities but also by the inhabitants. However, the NAN remains often not used to alert population, as recalled after the flash floods observed in the Aude basin river the 2018, October, 15th. Thus, this article involves to a further assessment and evaluation of supports and drawbacks of the NAN face to flash floods. Results obtained in the department of Vaucluse confirms that most of the sirens are not located in sensitive areas, thus we cannot hope to use such notifications for alerting the populations. Several improvements are explored, namely because the government has decided to replace this NAN with a new system, SAIP (System of Alert and Information for the Population), whose deployment began at the metropolitan scale in 2017 and whose operationality is expected for 2022. ; Depuis 1954, sous couvert d'une défense passive post-Seconde Guerre Mondiale, et pour pallier les défaillances d'utilisation des tocsins des églises pendant les inondations de 1930, l'État a déployé en France le RNA (Réseau National d'Alerte), composé essentiellement de sirènes. Le signal associé était destiné à interrompre toutes les activités sociales, et il était censé induire un comportement « approprié » de la part des autorités et des habitants concernés pour face à un danger, quelle qu'en soit la nature. Mais au fil des années, le RNA est devenu désuet et vieillissant et dans la majorité des cas, l'hésitation et les incertitudes sur les évolutions attendues des aléas en cours conduisent plus les autorités à une inaction plus qu'à une réelle réactivité. Pour autant, les sirènes restent l'outil ...
International audience ; After different failures observed in the use of church tombs for alerting the population during the early 1930 and under a passive defense following the Second World War, the French government have decided to deploy the National Alert Network (NAN) since 1954. The signal sent by the sirens was intended to interrupt all the social activities, and the sound was likely to induce "adapted" behavior by the concerned authorities but also by the inhabitants. However, the NAN remains often not used to alert population, as recalled after the flash floods observed in the Aude basin river the 2018, October, 15th. Thus, this article involves to a further assessment and evaluation of supports and drawbacks of the NAN face to flash floods. Results obtained in the department of Vaucluse confirms that most of the sirens are not located in sensitive areas, thus we cannot hope to use such notifications for alerting the populations. Several improvements are explored, namely because the government has decided to replace this NAN with a new system, SAIP (System of Alert and Information for the Population), whose deployment began at the metropolitan scale in 2017 and whose operationality is expected for 2022. ; Depuis 1954, sous couvert d'une défense passive post-Seconde Guerre Mondiale, et pour pallier les défaillances d'utilisation des tocsins des églises pendant les inondations de 1930, l'État a déployé en France le RNA (Réseau National d'Alerte), composé essentiellement de sirènes. Le signal associé était destiné à interrompre toutes les activités sociales, et il était censé induire un comportement « approprié » de la part des autorités et des habitants concernés pour face à un danger, quelle qu'en soit la nature. Mais au fil des années, le RNA est devenu désuet et vieillissant et dans la majorité des cas, l'hésitation et les incertitudes sur les évolutions attendues des aléas en cours conduisent plus les autorités à une inaction plus qu'à une réelle réactivité. Pour autant, les sirènes restent l'outil ...
International audience ; After different failures observed in the use of church tombs for alerting the population during the early 1930 and under a passive defense following the Second World War, the French government have decided to deploy the National Alert Network (NAN) since 1954. The signal sent by the sirens was intended to interrupt all the social activities, and the sound was likely to induce "adapted" behavior by the concerned authorities but also by the inhabitants. However, the NAN remains often not used to alert population, as recalled after the flash floods observed in the Aude basin river the 2018, October, 15th. Thus, this article involves to a further assessment and evaluation of supports and drawbacks of the NAN face to flash floods. Results obtained in the department of Vaucluse confirms that most of the sirens are not located in sensitive areas, thus we cannot hope to use such notifications for alerting the populations. Several improvements are explored, namely because the government has decided to replace this NAN with a new system, SAIP (System of Alert and Information for the Population), whose deployment began at the metropolitan scale in 2017 and whose operationality is expected for 2022. ; Depuis 1954, sous couvert d'une défense passive post-Seconde Guerre Mondiale, et pour pallier les défaillances d'utilisation des tocsins des églises pendant les inondations de 1930, l'État a déployé en France le RNA (Réseau National d'Alerte), composé essentiellement de sirènes. Le signal associé était destiné à interrompre toutes les activités sociales, et il était censé induire un comportement « approprié » de la part des autorités et des habitants concernés pour face à un danger, quelle qu'en soit la nature. Mais au fil des années, le RNA est devenu désuet et vieillissant et dans la majorité des cas, l'hésitation et les incertitudes sur les évolutions attendues des aléas en cours conduisent plus les autorités à une inaction plus qu'à une réelle réactivité. Pour autant, les sirènes restent l'outil ...
International audience ; After different failures observed in the use of church tombs for alerting the population during the early 1930 and under a passive defense following the Second World War, the French government have decided to deploy the National Alert Network (NAN) since 1954. The signal sent by the sirens was intended to interrupt all the social activities, and the sound was likely to induce "adapted" behavior by the concerned authorities but also by the inhabitants. However, the NAN remains often not used to alert population, as recalled after the flash floods observed in the Aude basin river the 2018, October, 15th. Thus, this article involves to a further assessment and evaluation of supports and drawbacks of the NAN face to flash floods. Results obtained in the department of Vaucluse confirms that most of the sirens are not located in sensitive areas, thus we cannot hope to use such notifications for alerting the populations. Several improvements are explored, namely because the government has decided to replace this NAN with a new system, SAIP (System of Alert and Information for the Population), whose deployment began at the metropolitan scale in 2017 and whose operationality is expected for 2022. ; Depuis 1954, sous couvert d'une défense passive post-Seconde Guerre Mondiale, et pour pallier les défaillances d'utilisation des tocsins des églises pendant les inondations de 1930, l'État a déployé en France le RNA (Réseau National d'Alerte), composé essentiellement de sirènes. Le signal associé était destiné à interrompre toutes les activités sociales, et il était censé induire un comportement « approprié » de la part des autorités et des habitants concernés pour face à un danger, quelle qu'en soit la nature. Mais au fil des années, le RNA est devenu désuet et vieillissant et dans la majorité des cas, l'hésitation et les incertitudes sur les évolutions attendues des aléas en cours conduisent plus les autorités à une inaction plus qu'à une réelle réactivité. Pour autant, les sirènes restent l'outil ...
International audience ; After different failures observed in the use of church tombs for alerting the population during the early 1930 and under a passive defense following the Second World War, the French government have decided to deploy the National Alert Network (NAN) since 1954. The signal sent by the sirens was intended to interrupt all the social activities, and the sound was likely to induce "adapted" behavior by the concerned authorities but also by the inhabitants. However, the NAN remains often not used to alert population, as recalled after the flash floods observed in the Aude basin river the 2018, October, 15th. Thus, this article involves to a further assessment and evaluation of supports and drawbacks of the NAN face to flash floods. Results obtained in the department of Vaucluse confirms that most of the sirens are not located in sensitive areas, thus we cannot hope to use such notifications for alerting the populations. Several improvements are explored, namely because the government has decided to replace this NAN with a new system, SAIP (System of Alert and Information for the Population), whose deployment began at the metropolitan scale in 2017 and whose operationality is expected for 2022. ; Depuis 1954, sous couvert d'une défense passive post-Seconde Guerre Mondiale, et pour pallier les défaillances d'utilisation des tocsins des églises pendant les inondations de 1930, l'État a déployé en France le RNA (Réseau National d'Alerte), composé essentiellement de sirènes. Le signal associé était destiné à interrompre toutes les activités sociales, et il était censé induire un comportement « approprié » de la part des autorités et des habitants concernés pour face à un danger, quelle qu'en soit la nature. Mais au fil des années, le RNA est devenu désuet et vieillissant et dans la majorité des cas, l'hésitation et les incertitudes sur les évolutions attendues des aléas en cours conduisent plus les autorités à une inaction plus qu'à une réelle réactivité. Pour autant, les sirènes restent l'outil ...