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Fed's monetary policy mistake and the US post-COVID economic recovery
In: Journal of policy modeling: JPMOD ; a social science forum of world issues, Band 45, Heft 3, S. 669-676
ISSN: 0161-8938
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Remittances and The Myth of the Exchange Rate's Power: The Case of Mexico
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Market Consensus: A Case of Biased Estimates
Policymakers and governments usually defend their growth estimates with the argument that they are in line with the market consensus. However, in many emerging market economies the consensus has a strong bias given that an important component of participants are followers rather than genuine independent forecasters. In the case of Mexico and Chile there are empirical reasons to believe that the consensus is strongly biased toward official estimates. This paper addresses the empirical bias in the consensus forecast, the Granger statistical test to confirm the direction of the causality, and the main policy implications.
BASE
Monetary Policymaking As An Optimization Exercise
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Working paper
Mexico Under the Political–transition Cycle: 2018–2020
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Working paper
Structural Fiscal Rule: A Better Discipline than a Fiscal Council
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Working paper
On the Use of High-Frequency Economic Information to Anticipate the Current Quarter GDP: A Study Case for Mexico
In: Journal of Policy Modeling, Band 27, Heft 3
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