Mass Media and the Scope for, and Magnitude of, Unique Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles
In: EEREV-D-23-01075
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In: EEREV-D-23-01075
SSRN
In: EJPE-D-23-00240
SSRN
In: Acta politica: AP ; international journal of political Science, Band 58, Heft 2, S. 306-336
ISSN: 1741-1416
In: Political behavior, Band 40, Heft 1, S. 3-19
ISSN: 1573-6687
In: Latin American politics and society, Band 55, Heft 3, S. 47-68
ISSN: 1548-2456
AbstractThere is no other country where the division between the old and young electorate is as striking as in Chile. For older voters, turnout exceeded, on average, 90 percent in 2009; for those aged less than 30, it fell below 30 percent. Using individual survey data from 2006, 2008, and 2010, this article studies the current socioeconomic composition of the Chilean young electorate. First, it shows that the young electorate is class-biased. Income is highly correlated with both registration and turnout even after controlling for education. Second, it presents evidence that class bias for the whole electorate has been increasing over time, due to generational replacement. The results are not promising for Chile's democracy in the years to come, since equal participation is worsening over time.
In: Latin American politics and society, Band 55, Heft 3, S. 47-68
ISSN: 1531-426X
World Affairs Online
SSRN
Working paper
SSRN
Working paper
In: CEPAL review, Heft 120, S. 71-93
World Affairs Online
In: Political studies review, Band 20, Heft 2, S. 304-313
ISSN: 1478-9302
Gender gaps in voter turnout are usually studied using opinion surveys rather than official census data. This is because administrative censuses usually do not disaggregate turnout according to voters' sex. Without this official information, much of the research on gender gaps in electoral turnout relies on survey respondents' self-reported behavior, either before or after an election. The decision to use survey data implies facing several potential drawbacks. Among them are the turnout overstatement bias and the attrition or nonresponse bias, both affecting the estimation of factors explaining turnout and any related statistical analysis. Furthermore, these biases may be correlated with covariates such as gender: men, more than women, may systematically overstate their electoral participation. We analyze turnout gender gaps in Chile, comparing national surveys with official administrative data, which in Chile are publicly available. Crucially, the latter includes the official record of sex, age, and the electoral behavior—whether the individual voted or not—for about 14 million registered individuals. Based on a series of statistical models, we find that analysis based on survey data is likely to rule out gender gaps in electoral participation. Carrying out the same exercises, but with official data, leads to the opposite conclusion, namely, that there is a sizable gender gap favoring women.
In: CEPAL review, Band 2016, Heft 120, S. 71-93
ISSN: 1684-0348
In: Revista CEPAL, Band 2016, Heft 120, S. 75-99
ISSN: 1682-0908
In: Journal of development economics, Band 133, S. 1-14
ISSN: 0304-3878
In: Journal of development economics, Band 133, S. 1-14
ISSN: 0304-3878
World Affairs Online