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Book Review: Economics of Markets: An Introduction to Economic Analysis
In: The American economist: journal of the International Honor Society in Economics, Omicron Delta Epsilon, Band 21, Heft 1, S. 89-89
ISSN: 2328-1235
Implications of Gender Differences on the Motivation to Volunteer in Hospitals
In: Journal of social service research, Band 22, Heft 4, S. 1-18
ISSN: 1540-7314
Personnel Management: Theory and Practice
In: Administrative Science Quarterly, Band 14, Heft 1, S. 146
Management in the Industrial World: An International Analysis
In: Administrative Science Quarterly, Band 5, Heft 2, S. 320
The "Kols" of Chota-Nagpore
In: Transactions of the Ethnological Society of London, Band 6, S. 1
ISSN: 2397-5261
Measuring Executive Effectiveness
In: Administrative Science Quarterly, Band 12, Heft 4, S. 638
Therapeutically Induced Changes in Couple Identity: The Role of We-ness and Interpersonal Processing in Relationship Satisfaction
In: Genetic, social, and general psychology monographs, Band 132, Heft 3, S. 241-284
ISSN: 1940-5286
Elective surgery cancellations due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Global predictive modelling to inform surgical recovery plans
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted routine hospital services globally. This study estimated the total number of adult elective operations that would be cancelled worldwide during the 12 weeks of peak disruption due to COVID-19. Methods: A global expert response study was conducted to elicit projections for the proportion of elective surgery that would be cancelled or postponed during the 12 weeks of peak disruption. A Bayesian β-regression model was used to estimate 12-week cancellation rates for 190 countries. Elective surgical case-mix data, stratified by specialty and indication (surgery for cancer versus benign disease), were determined. This case mix was applied to country-level surgical volumes. The 12-week cancellation rates were then applied to these figures to calculate the total number of cancelled operations. Results: The best estimate was that 28 404 603 operations would be cancelled or postponed during the peak 12 weeks of disruption due to COVID-19 (2 367 050 operations per week). Most would be operations for benign disease (90·2 per cent, 25 638 922 of 28 404 603). The overall 12-week cancellation rate would be 72·3 per cent. Globally, 81·7 per cent of operations for benign conditions (25 638 922 of 31 378 062), 37·7 per cent of cancer operations (2 324 070 of 6 162 311) and 25·4 per cent of elective caesarean sections (441 611 of 1 735 483) would be cancelled or postponed. If countries increased their normal surgical volume by 20 per cent after the pandemic, it would take a median of 45 weeks to clear the backlog of operations resulting from COVID-19 disruption. Conclusion: A very large number of operations will be cancelled or postponed owing to disruption caused by COVID-19. Governments should mitigate against this major burden on patients by developing recovery plans and implementing strategies to restore surgical activity safely.
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