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Intro -- Contents -- Preface -- 1 Introduction -- The Value of Population Projections -- Projections, Forecasts, and Estimates: Definitions -- The Basic Demographic Equation -- Overview of the Book -- 2 Mathematical Extrapolation I -- The Linear Function -- A Numerical Illustration -- The Exponential Function -- Linear Transformation of the Exponential Function -- A Numerical Illustration -- Polynomial Functions -- Linear Transformation of a Polynomial Function -- A Numerical Illustration -- The Hyperbolic Function -- Linear Transformation of the Hyperbolic Function -- A Numerical Example -- Summary -- 3 Mathematical Extrapolation II -- The Modified Exponential Function -- Linear Transformation of the Modified Exponential Function -- A Numerical Illustration -- Mathematical Extrapolation: A Review -- Choosing among Extrapolations -- Measuring the Prediction Error -- A Four-Step Projection Procedure -- Summary -- 4 Comparative Methods -- Ratio Methods -- Constant Share Method -- Projected Share Methods -- Difference Methods -- Constant Difference Method -- Projected Difference Method -- Choosing among Methods -- Summary -- 5 The Cohort-Survival Population Model -- The Basic Cohort Model -- A Numerical Illustration -- An Algebraic Summary -- Mortality -- Basic Measures -- Projecting Death Rates -- Fertility -- Basic Measures -- Projecting Birth Rates -- Summary -- 6 Migration Models -- Basic Concepts -- Immigration and Emigration -- In-Migration and Out-Migration -- Gross and Net Migration -- Causes of Migration -- Estimating Past Migration -- Direct Estimation of Migration -- Indirect Estimation of Migration -- Projecting Future Migration -- Extrapolation of Past Trends -- Regression Models -- Summary -- 7 A Final Note -- Mathematical Extrapolation -- Comparative Methods -- The Cohort-Survival Model -- Migration Models -- Summary.

Intro -- Contents -- Preface -- 1 INTRODUCTION -- PART ONE: REGIONAL ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS -- 2 Economic Base Analysis -- Case Study 1: An Economic Base Study of a Nova Scotia Region -- Case Study 2: A Regression Base Multiplier Model for Kentucky Counties -- 3 Income-Expenditure Analysis -- Case Study 1: An Income-Expenditure Multiplier for a Newly Locating Firm -- Case Study 2: The Local Economic Impact of Kent State University -- 4 Input-Output Analysis -- Case Study 1: An Input-Output Model of Metropolitan Vancouver -- Case Study 2: An Input-Output Model of the Yukon Territory -- Appendix 1: A Mathematical Summary of the Input-Output Model -- Appendix 2: The Rectangular Commodity by Industry Input-Output Format -- 5 Regional Economic Impact Analysis: A Comparison of Approaches -- PART TWO: PROJECT EVALUATION ANALYSIS -- 6 Cost-Benefit Analysis: The Evaluation of Social Costs and Benefits -- Case Study 1: The Evaluation of Recreation Benefits at Grafham Water -- Case Study 2: Cost-Benefit Analysis in the Evaluation of STOL Air Transport -- 7 Cost-Benefit Analysis: Discounting Future Benefits and Costs -- Case Study 1: A Cost-Benefit Analysis of an Urban Renewal Project -- Case Study 2: A Cost-Benefit Analysis of a New Zealand Aluminum Smelter -- 8 Cost-Benefit Analysis: Risk Adjustment and Distributional Considerations -- Case Study 1: Distributional Analysis and the Third London Airport -- Case Study 2: An Evaluation of Alternative Uses for an Urban Land Parcel -- 9 Economic Evaluation Analysis: A Summary -- Notes -- Indexes -- Author Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- S -- T -- V -- W -- Y -- Subject Index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- R -- S -- T -- U -- V -- W.