Specialization Dynamics, Convergence, and Idea Flows
In: SERIES Working Papers N. 09/2016
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In: SERIES Working Papers N. 09/2016
SSRN
Working paper
In: Economics letters, Band 141, S. 80-83
ISSN: 0165-1765
In: Defence & peace economics, Band 28, Heft 3, S. 298-318
ISSN: 1476-8267
In: IWH discussion papers 2020, no. 19 (October 2020)
Using a newly collected dataset of robot use at the plant level from 2014 to 2018, we provide the first microscopic portrait of robotisation in Germany and study the potential determinants of robot adoption. Our descriptive analysis uncovers five stylised facts concerning both extensive and, perhaps more importantly, intensive margin of plant-level robot use: (1) Robot use is relatively rare with only 1.55% German plants using robots in 2018. (2) The distribution of robots is highly skewed.(3) New robot adopters contribute substantially to the recent robotisation. (4) Robot users are exceptional along several dimensions of plant-level characteristics. (5) Heterogeneity in robot types matters. Our regression results further suggest plant size, low-skilled labour share, and exporter status to have strong and positive effect on future probability of robot adoption. Manufacturing plants impacted by the introduction of minimum wage in 2015 are also more likely to adopt robots. However, controlling for plant size, we find that plant-level productivity has no, if not negative, impact on robot adoption.
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 16128
SSRN
In: CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP16897
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SSRN
In: IWH discussion papers 2023, no. 5 (January 2023)
We analyse the impact of robot adoption on employment composition using novel micro data on robot use in German manufacturing plants linked with social security records and data on job tasks. Our task-based model predicts more favourable employment effects for the least routine-task intensive occupations and for young workers, with the latter being better at adapting to change. An event-study analysis of robot adoption confirms both predictions. We do not find adverse employment effects for any occupational or age group, but churning among low-skilled workers rises sharply. We conclude that the displacement effect of robots is occupation biased but age neutral, whereas the reinstatement effect is age biased and benefits young workers most.