Suchergebnisse

Responding to a recent call for more in-depth qualitative studies of electoral management bodies (EMBs), this article examines formally independent EMBs by using the example of the Election Commission of Thailand (ECT) and the role it played in the recent 2019 election. We argue that in non-democratic regimes with high levels of political polarisation and entrenched elites, formal EMB independence may become part of the problem why elections fail. It creates opportunities for long-term EMB capture by actors who wield power outside of formal politics and are unaccountable to public interest. In case of the ECT, this has led to the decreasing electoral standards culminating in the highly contentious 2019 election where the ECT's administrative efficiency and effectiveness of voting came secondary to pleasing the entrenched old Thai elite. Its conduct has reduced Thailand's prospects for a peaceful transition to democratic rule as those who oppose the country's old elite have increasingly limited opportunities to challenge it through formal means.

Thailand's August 2016 constitutional referendum marked the second occasion on which a military junta has sought popular endorsement to legitimize its efforts to reform the country's political system. As in the previous referendum of August 2007, Thai voters endorsed military plans to reduce levels of democracy. Draconian moves by the regime curtailed open debate about the content of the draft constitution, which virtually nobody had read. Partly as a result of the junta's suppression of dissent, "No" votes declined - but the draft charter was still opposed by almost 40 per cent of voters, testifying to continuing high levels of political polarization along regional lines. This article argues that the referendum process may have helped the military to impose order on [End Page 65] Thai society during the difficult period of royal transition, but did not create any genuine peace between the country's fractious competing groups and interests. (Contemp Southeast Asia/GIGA)

Introduction : the impact of prevention / Jonas Claes -- Bangladesh : political intransigence and weak prevention / Geoffrey Macdonald -- Thailand : electoral intimidation / Duncan McCargo and Petra Desatova -- Malawi : widespread tension, limited violence / Manuela Travaglianti -- Moldova : tense calm, regional instability / Dominik Tolksdorf -- Honduras : unrealized fears, ordinary violence / Elizabeth Murray -- Findings and conclusion / Jonas Claes and Geoffrey Macdonald