Suchergebnisse

1. From Evolving Systems to Evolving Environments -- 1.1.1. Type 1: Random, placid environments -- 1.1.2. Type 2: Clustered, placid environments -- 1.1.3. Type 3: Disturbed, reactive environments -- 1.1.4. Type 4: Turbulent environments -- 2. Three Patterns of Maladaptive Response to Turbulence; Three Possible Scenarios -- 2.1. Superficiality: Marcuse's scenario -- 2.2. Segmentation: the Orwellian scenario -- 2.3. Dissociation: Neumann's scenario -- 3. The Doomsday Scenarios -- 4. Active Adaptation: The Emergence of Ideal Seeking Systems -- 4.1. Turbulence, values and ideals -- 4.2. A theoretical note on the parameters of choice (and hence decision making) -- 4.3. The embodiment of ideals -- 5. The Most Probable Future for Western Societies -- 5.1. Probable futures in work -- 5.2. Education -- 5.3. The family -- 5.4. Life patterns: security, mobility and leisure -- 6. A Scenario for Asia and the West -- 6.1. China as the leading part in Asia -- 6.2. China and the leading role of the West -- 6.3. China and the U.S.S.R -- 6.4. China and the rest of Asia -- 6.5. Japan -- 6.6. 'Maphilindo' -- 6.7. India -- 6.8. India 1976: a new path? -- 7. Notes for a World Scenario -- 7.1. The 'Third World' -- 7.2. International co-operation about international concerns -- 8. Epilogue: Social Sciences and Social Futures -- 8.1. Social science roles -- 8.2. Examples of ethical problems -- 8.3. Conclusions -- Appendix I. Social Forecasting -- A. Methodological premises of social forecasting -- B. Forecasting social futures as a problem in reduction of complexity -- C. The problem of detecting emerging processes.

Cover Page -- Title Page -- Copyrigt Page -- dedication -- Contents -- Aldine Transaction Introduction -- Preface -- I Foundations -- 1 On Human Behavior as a System -- 2 Structure, Function, and Purpose -- 3 The Individuality of Psychological Systems -- II The Process of Pursuing Purposes -- 4 Generation of Inputs: Perception, Consciousness, and Memory -- 5 Modeling the Situation: Beliefs -- 6 Evaluating the Situation: Feelings and Attitudes -- 7 Formulation and Evaluation of Choices : Thought and Intuition -- 8 Purposeful Systems and their Environments -- Conclusion to Part II: A Paradigm for Inquiry -- II Interactions of Purposeful Systems -- 9 Feelings and Communication -- 10 Signs, Messages, and Language -- 11 Models of Communication -- 12 Conflict, Cooperation, and Competition -- IV Social Systems and Beyond -- 13 Social Groups as Systems -- 14 Ideal-Seeking Systems -- 15 Epilogue: Rounding the Conceptual Circle -- Appendix I. -- Appendix II. -- Appendix III. -- Name Index -- Subject Index

I A model of man as communicator, Introduction -- 1. Persuasion and communication -- 2. Informational structure of the physical world -- 3. Assumptions relating an individual to the informational structure of his environment -- 4. Basic characteristics of interpersonal situations -- 5. Awareness, images (symbolization) and psycho-logic -- 6. The extended social field and its informational structure -- II The modern media and man -- 7. Differences between the communication functions of the mass media, for individuals -- 8. Television and maladaptation -- 9. Television is a dissociative medium OR tele turns you off -- 10. The long term consequences of regular viewing -- 11. Further notes on maladaptive strategies -- 12. Taking stock of McLuhan -- III Human communication and the adaptive response, Introduction -- 13. Communication requirements in an adaptive society -- 14. Human communications in work -- 15. Human communication and community life -- 16. Leisure: recreation or the pursuit of beauty? -- Epilogue -- Appendix A. War and the stability of Australia's future -- Appendix B. Computers and communication -- Appendix C. Computers, communications and containerization.