Likely (and Unlikely) Voters and the Assessment of Campaign Dynamics
In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 68, Heft 4, S. 588-601
ISSN: 1537-5331
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In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 68, Heft 4, S. 588-601
ISSN: 1537-5331
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 21, Heft 2, S. 269-282
ISSN: 0261-3794
In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 72, Heft 2, S. 190-215
ISSN: 1537-5331
In: International journal of public opinion research, Band 19, Heft 1, S. 74-88
ISSN: 1471-6909
In: Public opinion quarterly: journal of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Band 59, Heft 4
ISSN: 0033-362X
Presents a 'bottom-line' assessment of the accuracy of midterm congressional election forecasts. Analyzes frequency distributions extending back to 1950, obtained from Roper Center's on-line POLL data base. In every case, these distributions summarize responses to the generic vote question.