Suchergebnisse

In the past the emphasis has been upon machinery to prevent juveniles from being committed to penal institutions. It is now desirable to develop more resources for adult offenders to prevent their institutionalization. State and local agencies must act to provide a preface for such a development. Screening devices can determine to what extent commitment to prison is used unnecessarily. The need for efficiency in prison industries, and forewarning concerning potential escape behavior, makes a screening technique as necessary as in a large industrial concern. The general objectives of such a 'personnel department' are: (1) study of the personality and social background of the newcomer, (2) determine assignment to special units and activities, (3) plan individual treatment, (4) make work assignments producing maximum in training value, and (5) recognition of prison subversives to avoid assault, riot, and destruction of property. In small systems members of the screening staff can continue to counsel and treat the man from reception to discharge; in large systems a centralized separate reception process is necessary. In the latter the reception center should have an independent location and administered separately. Otherwise the host institution may influence the activities of this department in its favor. Physical facilities must be planned to adapt to different types of inmates and the program aimed at obtaining the most complete picture of the inmates and his needs. The staff conference, its problems, the relation between subsequent treatment and staff analysis are considered at length, H. M. Trice.

This report describes the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) to model statistical loss distributions in financial operational risk scenarios. Its focus is on modeling "long" tail, or unexpected, loss events using mixtures of appropriate loss frequency and severity distributions where these mixtures are conditioned on causal variables that model the capability or effectiveness of the underlying controls process. The use of causal modeling is discussed from the perspective of exploiting local expertise about process reliability and formally connecting this knowledge to actual or hypothetical statistical phenomena resulting from the process. This brings the benefit of supplementing sparse data with expert judgment and transforming qualitative knowledge about the process into quantitative predictions. We conclude that BNs can help combine qualitative data from experts and quantitative data from historical loss databases in a principled way and as such they go some way in meeting the requirements of the draft Basel II Accord (Basel, 2004) for an advanced measurement approach (AMA).

Contiene: In The United States / Pearce Bailey. [et al.] -- In The American expeditionary forces / Thomas W. Salmon, Norman Fenton ; En: The Medical Department of The United States Army in the World War