Betydningen av samfunnsøkonomiske analyser
In: Stat & styring, Band 23, Heft 3, S. 27-28
ISSN: 0809-750X
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In: Stat & styring, Band 23, Heft 3, S. 27-28
ISSN: 0809-750X
An increase in the market share of electric vehicles is one possible policy strategy for greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement. Many governments have introduced schemes to increase the market uptake - fiscal incentives, subsidies and various regulatory policies such as support for charging stations, free parking facilities or access to restricted road lanes as well as R&D funding. A number of partial studies do exist, but the comprehensive comparative study on the effect of these different incentives has yet to be done. Based on the experience until today it is, however, possible to explore the policy options.
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In: Østli , V , Fridstrøm , L , Johansen , K W & Tseng , Y Y 2017 , ' A generic discrete choice model of automobile purchase ' , European Transport Research Review , vol. 9 , no. 2 , 16 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s12544-017-0232-1
Purpose: The introduction of novel fuel and propulsion technologies, such as battery, (plug-in) hybrid and fuel cell electric vehicles, and the need to combat the exhaust emission of local and global pollutants from the passenger car fleet have enhanced the political interest in the vehicle purchase choices made by private households and firms, and in how these choices can be influenced through fiscal and regulatory penalties and incentives. Methods: As a tool to understand and analyse such questions, we have developed a generic nested logit model of automobile choice, based on complete disaggregate vehicle sales data for Norway for the period ranging from January 1996 until July 2011. The data set contains 1.6 million vehicle transactions. Results: Being sensitive to changes in the vehicle purchase tax and the fuel tax, the model discriminates well between various fiscal policy scenarios. In using the model for such purposes, one is greatly helped by the fact that the model distinguishes between price changes due to taxation and those originating from the manufacturing or marketing side. Conclusions: The strongly CO 2 graduated vehicle purchase tax, with exemptions granted for battery electric vehicles, is shown to have a major impact on the average type approval rate of CO 2 emissions from new passenger cars registered in Norway. The fuel tax also helps induce car customers to buy low emission vehicles.
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