Suchergebnisse

The phrase "unintended consequences" is often used in the political (science) discourse, yet it still remains theoretically underspecified. We conceptualize unintended consequences in role theoretical terms in three steps, and then apply it to the United States' policy vis-a-vis the Asia-Pacific region under the Obama administration - the so-called "Pivot to Asia." First, we model unintended consequences as a gap be-tween the initial role-taking of an actor and the deviant but commensurate counter-role taking of an Other. Second, we examine the Obama administration's initial role-taking in the diplomatic, security, and economic realms, under the assumption that domestic contestation in the US may lead to unclear signaling about the Pivot's intentions. Third, we investigate counter-role taking by Japan, the Philippines, and Indonesia in order to draw conclusions about their interpretation of US role-taking and its consequences for the region's social structure. Our analysis exposes differentiated patterns of unintended consequences due to deviant counter-role taking by these nations vis-a-vis the US, China, and other actors in the region along all three dimensions of the Pivot. (Asien/GIGA)

Introduction : defining roles in a polycentric world / Michael Grossman, Francis Schortgen, and Gordon Friedrichs -- Shrinking the U.S. leadership role : populism and the change of domestic and international "others" / Sebastian Harnisch & Gordon Friedrichs -- The evolution of Russia's national role conceptions : from cooperation to great power competition / Michael Grossman -- A Chinese grand strategy in the making? : the 'China dream', the 'Belt and Road Initiative' and national role conceptualization in a changing world / Francis Schortgen -- A tenuous island : the destabilization of Britain's role in the international system of the 21st century / Spencer Whyte -- Berlin, we have a problem : explaining crises in US-German relations after the Cold War / Florian Böller -- Contesting Japan's international role : the responses of Japanese non-governmental organizations to the transformation of Japanese ODA policy / Kamila Szczepanska -- The EU's self-conception of its roles in global affairs / Rikard Bengtsson -- NATO's changing roles in a post-hegemonic order / Sebastian Mayer -- ASEAN : the center of Asian regionalization? : a model for a global future? / Joel Campbell -- The Organization of American States' role as facilitator of democracy promotion : persuasion and social influence during the political crisis in Venezuela / Gordon Friedrichs -- Conclusion : turbulence in the 21st century international order / Francis Schortgen, Gordon Friedrichs, and Michael Grossman.