Determinants of Art Prices and Performance by Movements: Long-Run Evidence from an Emerging Market
In: Journal of Business Research, Forthcoming
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In: Journal of Business Research, Forthcoming
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Working paper
In: Academia Revista Latinoamericana de Administración, Band 31, Heft 1, S. 239-276
Objective
The purpose of this paper is to present the progress and trends of the literature on art as an investment and to outline potential research lines to be developed.
Design/methodology/approach
This work gathers, analyses and critically discusses the attributes of investments in art in general, and in Latin American art in particular.
Findings
Most studies report that art (art in general, and Latin American in particular) has offered relatively low but positive real returns, which have tended to be below those offered by stocks and similar to those realized by bonds. Art has a low correlation with other investments.
Research limitations and implications
The literature on the attributes of Latin American art as an investment is limited and new research would help to close the knowledge gap with respect to this segment of the art market as it continues to grow.
Practical implications
Similarly to the research carried out into other segments of the art market, studies on Latin American art suggest that the works of art are worth more, ceteris paribus: the more renowned the artist, the larger the work, whether they were executed in oil, and if they were auctioned at Sotheby's or Christie's. The paper also details a series of practical implications for those who participate in the art market.
Originality/value
To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first exhaustive review of the literature on the attributes of Latin American art as an investment. The findings of this study are useful for academics, art collectors, auction houses, gallerists and others who take part in the arts market.
In: Garay, U. "Listed versus Unlisted Real Estate Investments." In Kazemi, H.; Black, K.; and D. Chambers (Editors), Alternative Investments: CAIA Level II, Chapter 17, Wiley Finance, 3rd Edition, 2016, pp. 423-449.
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In: Garay, U. "International Real Estate Investments." In Kazemi, H.; Black, K.; and D. Chambers (Editors), Alternative Investments: CAIA Level II, Chapter 18, Wiley Finance, 3rd Edition, 2016, pp. 451-477.
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In: Garay, U. "Structured Products I: Fixed-income Derivatives and Asset-backed Securities" In Kazemi, H.; Black, K.; and D. Chambers (Editors), Alternative Investments: CAIA Level II, Chapter 35, Wiley Finance, 3rd Edition, 2016, pp. 981-1019.
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Working paper
In: Alternative Investments: CAIA Level II, Chapter 36, Wiley Finance, 3rd Edition, 2016, pp. 1021-1052.
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Working paper
In: Garay, U. "Investment Styles, Portfolio Allocation, and Real Estate Derivatives." In Kazemi, H.; Black, K.; and D. Chambers (Editors), Alternative Investments: CAIA Level II, Chapter 16, Wiley Finance, 3rd Edition, 2016, pp. 401-421.
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Working paper
In: Garay, U. "Real Estate Indices and Smoothing Techniques." In Kazemi, H.; Black, K.; and D. Chambers (Editors), Alternative Investments: CAIA Level II, Chapter 15, Wiley Finance, 3rd Edition, 2016, pp. 361-399.
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Working paper
In: Corporate governance: an international review, Band 16, Heft 3, S. 194-209
ISSN: 1467-8683
ABSTRACTManuscript Type: EmpiricalResearch Question/Issue: We examine the relationship between corporate governance and firm value, and evaluate the relatively understudied governance practices in Venezuela.Research Findings/Results: We construct a corporate governance index (CGI) for publicly‐listed firms that is free of self‐selection and self‐reported bias and find that its mean value is below the emerging market average in general, and below the Latin American average in particular. This weak investor protection environment makes Venezuela a good setting to study how corporate governance practices affect firm value. We show that an increase of 1 per cent in the CGI results in an average increase of 11.3 per cent in dividend payouts, 9.9 per cent in price‐to‐book, and 2.7 per cent in Tobin's Q. These findings are robust after considering the potential endogeneity of our regression variables.Theoretical Implications: Results contrast to those reported in the US due to the higher interfirm variations in CGI. Our findings are consistent with the theoretical models that relate good corporate governance practices to higher investor confidence, and with the agency model of dividend payout. Furthermore, we conjecture that our results are generalizable mainly to other countries where investor protection is low.Practical Implications: Two direct insights to policy makers and practitioners follow from our analysis: first, managers in weak investor protection environments could differentiate their firms adopting corporate policies to improve their governance structure; and second, our measure of governance practices gives investors a quantitative tool to better assess Venezuelan firms.
In: Corporate Governance: An International Review (2008, 16, 3, May, pp. 194-209)
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In: Academia Revista Latinoamericana de Administración, Band 30, Heft 3, S. 362-382
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to present the formulation of the first exhaustive price index for Argentinian (and other Latin American countries) visual artists using 5,069 works sold in auctions by 71 Argentinian artists during the years 1980-2014.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors estimated a regression of hedonic prices using the ordinary least squares method. When the regression was run and the results were analysed, the authors then estimated the annual price index of Argentinian artists' work to then compare them with different financial and economic variables.
Findings
The average annual nominal arithmetic rate of return in dollars for Argentinian art during this period was 6.81 per cent, with a 29.11 per cent standard deviation. Argentinian art shows a low correlation with Argentinian and US companies' shares and a slightly negative correlation with US bonds. This is the reason for artworks to be included in investors' portfolios despite the relatively high volatility.
Research limitations/implications
Valuating works of art in Argentina can be explained by a series of their attributes. The benefits of art as an investment should be contrasted with factors including illiquidity and high transaction costs that are inherent when investing in works of art.
Practical implications
Argentinian artists' works have higher prices when, ceteris paribus, they are dated; they are auctioned in either Christie's, Sotheby's, Galería Arroyo, Roldan & Cia, Meeting Art, or Naon & Cia; they are oil or acrylic paintings; they are larger in size – although the price increase is decreasing when the size of the painting increases; and when the artist dies before their work is auctioned.
Originality/value
This work presents the first rigorous price index of Argentinian artists' works. Additionally, and as far as the authors have been able to observe, the time-period in this article is the longest that has been used in studies on art as an investment in emerging markets.
In: Editorial UPTC, Colombia
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In: Emerging markets, finance and trade: EMFT, Band 43, Heft 3, S. 16-33
ISSN: 1558-0938
In: Academia Revista Latinoamericana de Administración, Band 35, Heft 3, S. 303-328
PurposeThe price of a painting is determined by multiple variables, including color-related variables. Colors are important in an economic analysis. This study aims to analyze the paintings executed by Jean-Michel Basquiat (the famous street artist from the 1980s' New York City) and sold at auction to study the potential effect of color intensity, luminosity and color contrast on the prices of his paintings. The authors also study the case of the op art master, Carlos Cruz-Diez, as a robustness analysis to the main results. The analysis that the authors present may be of interest to academicians and to participants in the art market.Design/methodology/approachThe authors run a hedonic regression model considering 306 paintings (executed by Basquiat alone), and 41 works painted collaboratively between Basquiat and Warhol and sold at auction (2003–2017). The data and the images corresponding to each painting were hand-collected from the websites of several auction houses and complemented with information obtained from the Artprice and Blouin websites.FindingsIncreases in color intensity, luminosity and color contrast have a positive effect on art prices. The authors also find that color intensity is even more recognized (as reflected by higher prices) for paintings belonging to Basquiat's most appreciated (understood as most expensive) artistic period (1980–1983) and during the second part of the sample period (2011–2017). The authors find similar results for Cruz-Diez. The authors also estimate that Basquiat's artworks made collaboratively with Andy Warhol are worth 55% less than those made only by Basquiat. An investment in Basquiat's paintings generated an average annual compounded return of 16.81% (2003–2017), clearly overperforming the S&P 500.Research limitations/implicationsThe main limitation of the hedonic regression method lies in the need to have a significant and varied sample to identify the true effect of each variable on the price of the good. Another limitation is that we are only able to use art prices from auctions, as this is the only comprehensive source of data that is publicly available. These two limitations are common to all studies that use the hedonic pricing model. This paper has implications not only for the art pricing (and more generally, asset pricing) literature, but also for the fields of psychology and marketing.Originality/valueThis is the first paper that highlights the importance of analyzing the price impact of color intensity throughout the artistic periods of a painter, finding that color intensity is even more appreciated (as reflected by higher prices) for paintings belonging to an artist's most recognized period. In the case of color contrast, the authors present a novel way to estimate this variable.