Suchergebnisse

Cover -- Half Title -- Title -- Copyright -- Dedication -- Contents -- List of Tables and Figures -- Acknowledgments -- 1 Introduction: The Conservative Shift in American Politics -- Notes -- 2 Defining Conservatism in the United States -- Conservative Issue-Positions -- Summary -- 3 Changing Campaign Rhetoric -- Democratic Nomination Addresses -- Democratic Platforms -- Republican Nomination Addresses -- Republican Platforms -- Summary -- Notes -- 4 Changes in Policy -- The Carter Years -- The Reagan Years -- Summary -- Notes -- 5 Issue Preferences and Ideological Symbols -- The Issue Dimensions -- The Tests: An Overview -- The Late 1960s: A Cultural Backlash? -- The Late 1970s: Institutional Malaise? -- The Reagan Years: A Sweeping Mandate? -- Symbolic Conservatism -- Summary -- Notes -- 6 Assessments of the Political Parties -- Dimensions of Partisan Assessments -- Summary -- Notes -- 7 Generational Change and the Conservative Shift -- Defining the Age Cohorts -- A Cohort Analysis of the Conservative Shift -- Summary -- Notes -- 8 The Rise of De Facto Conservatism -- Ideological Versus De Facto Conservatism -- Summary -- Notes -- 9 Conclusion: Leading with the Right -- The Theory of Managerial Conservatism -- The Two-Tiered Conservative Shift -- The Anglo-American Conservative Shift -- Future Directions -- Notes -- Appendix A: Survey Questions and Figures -- Appendix B: Tables of Partisan Assessments by Generational Cohort -- Appendix C: Description of Partisan Assessments -- References -- About the Book and Author -- Index.

Drawing on survey data from ANES, Gallup, Pew, and other polls, this article examines attitudes toward the parties and the party system from 1996 to 2014. A previous Poll Trends analysis of the parties, through 1995, found antipathy toward the party system but not toward the parties themselves. The data since 1996 demonstrate that extreme discontent now extends beyond the party system to the Republican and Democratic parties. The data also show that Americans have grown more likely to see sharp differences between the major parties, and to perceive both parties as too ideological. As for the party system, Americans express a high degree of ambivalence. On one hand, many believe that the major parties do not do an adequate job of representing the people, and that the country needs a third political party. On the other hand, there is skepticism that a third party would improve the quality of American democracy. Surveys continually register almost no support or even willingness to seriously consider support for a third-party candidate.

This article analyzes the election of gubernatorial candidates Angus King of ME (1994 & 1998) & Jesse Ventura of MN (1998) in an attempt to determine the factors that produced these third-party victories. Previous studies point to a 'culture of independence' explanation for third-party success. This approach focuses on attributes of the electorate, such as anti-partisan sentiment, previous support for a third-party candidate, economic discontent, issue concerns, & youth. Using VNS exit poll data & a multinomial logit model, I find that only two factors -- anti-partisan sentiment & prior support for a third-party candidate -- are powerful explanations for the success of both King & Ventura. The analysis suggests that the MN case comes closer to the more familiar model of a third-party candidate who runs against the establishment & who mobilizes disaffected voters. There are, however, certain features of the electoral context -- registration rules, money, candidate reputation, & ideological profile -- that bind these two cases & that also serve as powerful explanations for third-party success. 1 Table, 1 Appendix. Adapted from the source document.

Examines validity of traditional explanations for third party success, including low levels of partisanship, dissatisfaction with major party candidates, and economic discontent; based on a study of the 1968, 1980, and 1992 presidential elections.

1. Political parties in the twenty-first century -- 2. Parties and the electorate I : images of the parties -- 3. Parties and the electorate II : the dynamics of party polarization -- 4. The midterm elections of 1994 and 2006 -- 5. Parties in power : Congress, presidents, partisanship, and gridlock -- 6. Political parties in Anglo-America -- 7. Looking backward and forward : the election of 2008 and the future of American politics