U.S. Trade Policy under the New Biden Administration ; KIEP Opinions ; No. 200
In: http://hdl.handle.net/11540/12876
Before the COVID-19 pandemic was prevailing in the U.S., many people had expected that Trump could easily start his second term in the White House. This was because the U.S. economy was in good shape in the sense that the unemployment rate (3.5%) was at a historic low for the last five decades. The broad spread of COVID-19 starting from the first quarter of 2020, however, brought about a huge number of layoffs in the U.S. labor market. The unemployment rate in April skyrocketed to 14.7%, the highest in U.S. history since 1948. Accordingly, the disposable income of U.S. workers significantly decreased, so that year-on-year growth rates in private consumption expenditure plummeted by more than 19% in April. From now on, Biden will make changes in policies implemented under the Trump administration. Among other things, we need to focus on international trade policy under the new Biden administration. Biden's trade policy will affect our trade relationship with the U.S. as well as other countries' strategies for the U.S. standpoint. First and foremost, the Biden administration will basically support free trade as he advocated it as Vice President of the Obama administration. For example, he put much effort into reaching an agreement for the TPP during the second term of Obama's presidency. As a result, a mega agreement of free trade in the Asia-Pacific region was signed by 12 countries in 2016, although the Trump administration withdrew from the agreement in 2017.